{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:20.734Z", "seo": { "title": "Estonia exports to New Zealand: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Estonia to New Zealand, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "EST", "country_name": "Estonia" }, "importer": { "iso3": "NZL", "country_name": "New Zealand" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "all_history_lane_count": 32, "current_lane_count": 16, "current_product_count": 16, "first_observed_last_year": 2001, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 2627445.109810889, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 898606.4153722512, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 310286.613428621, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 1753150.5980576274, "access_friction_trade_usd": 2627445.109810889, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 6, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 3, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 8, "access_friction_lane_count": 16, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.7486402334625177, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 13.799192047656463, "product_concentration_hhi": 1203.0346928364665, "top1_product_share_pct": 19.459764629469063, "top3_product_share_pct": 49.66188199515973, "top_product_hs6": "510610", "top_product_trade_usd": 511294.63413769385, "top_product_description": "Yarn: of carded wool, containing 85% or more by weight of wool, not put up for retail sale", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 17411.41796875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.4508000314235687, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 3.868491324789272, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 3.868491324789272, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 0.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 249991.512237, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 48802, "buyer_population_latest": 5122.6, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.081545685717014, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.801671873563638, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.2449931881725718, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.52, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 23.785999999999998, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 249991.512237, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 48802, "buyer_population_2024": 5122.6 }, "history": [ { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "export_value_usd": 563.8761523735566, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "export_value_usd": 884.300777906518, "yoy_growth_pct": 56.82535503304749, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "export_value_usd": 25110.36234316506, "yoy_growth_pct": 2739.572571971609, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "export_value_usd": 7097.112221396892, "yoy_growth_pct": -71.73632094827697, "cagr_3y_pct": 132.61228542120534 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "export_value_usd": 138775.74344854074, "yoy_growth_pct": 1855.3832477123515, "cagr_3y_pct": 439.3920218558664 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "export_value_usd": 197835.58973704613, "yoy_growth_pct": 42.55775888558313, "cagr_3y_pct": 98.98353750300872 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "export_value_usd": 124562.97725855702, "yoy_growth_pct": -37.0371238945832, "cagr_3y_pct": 159.877752692381 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "export_value_usd": 520326.4561261593, "yoy_growth_pct": 317.7215955958654, "cagr_3y_pct": 55.3534069403655 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "export_value_usd": 332585.0671609584, "yoy_growth_pct": -36.08146131237285, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.90481493072482 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "export_value_usd": 596367.7930284833, "yoy_growth_pct": 79.31285914886375, "cagr_3y_pct": 68.54209983159767 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "export_value_usd": 1048627.609398823, "yoy_growth_pct": 75.83572111995981, "cagr_3y_pct": 26.313119236023887 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "export_value_usd": 427762.8176823371, "yoy_growth_pct": -59.20736648088324, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.751042456416425 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "export_value_usd": 1106123.47219475, "yoy_growth_pct": 158.58336126263634, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.865459445848124 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "export_value_usd": 1437853.2789600068, "yoy_growth_pct": 29.990305341504463, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.09583087363255 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "export_value_usd": 2447012.925782449, "yoy_growth_pct": 70.18516155920744, "cagr_3y_pct": 78.84538745199596 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "export_value_usd": 1125473.0677499978, "yoy_growth_pct": -54.00624753994219, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.5797378984868651 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "export_value_usd": 1114203.4620344264, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.0013216698380178, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.149122338391868 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "export_value_usd": 2174197.6674577952, "yoy_growth_pct": 95.13470757736862, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.863659282119747 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "export_value_usd": 1270285.0744478006, "yoy_growth_pct": -41.57453604790702, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.117091934301276 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "export_value_usd": 2302395.3912971197, "yoy_growth_pct": 81.25029078988295, "cagr_3y_pct": 27.371364472034898 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "export_value_usd": 4108808.176747875, "yoy_growth_pct": 78.45797434614656, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.634292222821408 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "export_value_usd": 6296437.5238382, "yoy_growth_pct": 53.24243072408008, "cagr_3y_pct": 70.50268968679907 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "export_value_usd": 5391369.861640326, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.374281627845964, "cagr_3y_pct": 32.79235504540987 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "export_value_usd": 9402527.026680589, "yoy_growth_pct": 74.39959171749102, "cagr_3y_pct": 31.7779988107441 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "export_value_usd": 7407817.624355296, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.214609611491785, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.56787859943948 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "export_value_usd": 12215628.973734092, "yoy_growth_pct": 64.90185899787484, "cagr_3y_pct": 31.34258784449542 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "export_value_usd": 12483442.516637862, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.19238439117313, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.90815691752891 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "export_value_usd": 8540405.318035377, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.586136543242993, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.856671308322125 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "export_value_usd": 8821963.407787539, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.296776666530987, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.28126541548563 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "hs_code": "510610", "hs_description": "Yarn: of carded wool, containing 85% or more by weight of wool, not put up for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10519303.227602929, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "hs_code": "850300", "hs_description": "Electric motors and generators: parts suitable for use solely or principally with the machines of heading no. 8501 or 8502", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 21369514.49239452, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6429752837765731, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "hs_code": "852580", "hs_description": "Television cameras, digital cameras and video camera recorders", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 97772816.06531282, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9942046594124052, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "hs_code": "850440", "hs_description": "Electrical static converters", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 150401255.57884508, "current_below_peak_pct": 17.50436172861934, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0791367958566946, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "hs_code": "854430", "hs_description": "Insulated electric conductors: ignition wiring sets and other wiring sets of a kind used in vehicles, aircraft or ships", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12564639.204651648, "current_below_peak_pct": 22.668656095614274, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0899390056664902, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "hs_code": "441233", "hs_description": "Plywood: with sheets of wood only: not bamboo: each ply 6mm or less, with at least one outer ply of alder, ash, beech, birch, cherry, chestnut, elm, eucalyptus, hickory, horse chestnut, lime, maple, oak, plane, poplar, aspen, robinia, tulipwood or walnut", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 23259523.56608992, "current_below_peak_pct": 50.062831017875155, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0000083100995978, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "hs_code": "843680", "hs_description": "Machinery: for agricultural, horticultural or forestry use and n.e.s. in heading no. 8436", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 21035913.15756715, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7991847580393148, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "hs_code": "901480", "hs_description": "Navigational instruments and appliances: for navigation other than aeronautical or space navigation (excluding direction finding compasses)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17535854.209559463, "current_below_peak_pct": 70.23186808734634, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9301988493356714, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "hs_code": "950450", "hs_description": "Games: video game consoles and machines, other than those of subheading 9504.30", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 58833831.18594543, "current_below_peak_pct": 16.61540152407006, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.547587673833372, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "hs_code": "853650", "hs_description": "Electrical apparatus: switches n.e.c. in heading no. 8536, for a voltage not exceeding 1000 volts", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 35009488.805432215, "current_below_peak_pct": 48.50878256816195, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4137628915547091, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "distance_km": 16707, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 1, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 249991.512237, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 48801.685128059966, "importer_population": 5122.6, "importer_biz_entry_days": 0.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.2, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 36262.924354, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 27280.658439997173, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 3.868491324789272, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 3.868491324789272, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EST-NZL/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EST-NZL/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EST-NZL/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EST-NZL/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EST-NZL/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }