{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:15.211Z", "seo": { "title": "Estonia exports to Japan: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Estonia to Japan, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "EST", "country_name": "Estonia" }, "importer": { "iso3": "JPN", "country_name": "Japan" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "all_history_lane_count": 100, "current_lane_count": 56, "current_product_count": 56, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 105539251.44807632, "attention_trade_usd": 74363317.18926093, "critical_trade_usd": 18546712.20730891, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 34693068.82742183, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 39484996.49669676, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 1582372.5090939857, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 46720527.631202124, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 105539251.44807632, "critical_lane_count": 1, "high_attention_lane_count": 8, "high_volatility_lane_count": 15, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 25, "declining_demand_lane_count": 5, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 31, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9597557038477018, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 42.73225097252633, "product_concentration_hhi": 1180.0265943885058, "top1_product_share_pct": 24.051023284197008, "top3_product_share_pct": 52.10201738855113, "top_product_hs6": "441899", "top_product_trade_usd": 25383269.939744063, "top_product_description": "Wood: builders' joinery and carpentry of wood n.e.c. in heading no. 4418, other than of bamboo or cellular wood panels", "top_attention_product_hs6": "441899", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 7890.77880859375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.0551999993622303, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 2.0095237123850573, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 3.1693676000306508, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.4889549171530176, "tariff_advantage_pp": 1.6804126828776336, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 11.1, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 4937421.880462, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 39285, "buyer_population_latest": 125681.595, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": -4.67885267787802, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -4.27363742210356, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.4233058113377264, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 24.977999999999998, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 24.869999999999997, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer economy and income contracted", "attention_trade_share_pct": 70.4603416917795, "critical_trade_share_pct": 17.57328382837129, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "declining_buyer_demand", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "buyer_macro_weakness" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 4937421.880462, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 39285, "buyer_population_2024": 125681.595 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 12582095.213406703, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 15547257.38390578, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.566521475211722, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 11766031.150479404, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.32085698497941, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 9791852.3196283, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.778629986634584, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.017764031049769 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 9100364.868571464, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.061865605047091, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.349538953723265 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 14130432.643411655, "yoy_growth_pct": 55.27325384734589, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.293935864048872 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 27189126.861044317, "yoy_growth_pct": 92.41538845395019, "cagr_3y_pct": 40.554083862022836 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 19962277.03195042, "yoy_growth_pct": -26.579926108065965, "cagr_3y_pct": 29.932289484117945 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 22103510.03707858, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.72639660145498, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.08299251692442 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 19096791.808773383, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.602899373273459, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.109561048391182 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 25664148.77114488, "yoy_growth_pct": 34.38984426354978, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.735726863849958 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 54579107.0817776, "yoy_growth_pct": 112.6667343167167, "cagr_3y_pct": 35.16214034973522 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 68387447.22885512, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.29968129817155, "cagr_3y_pct": 52.99315231746864 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 60237599.91167326, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.917168497178732, "cagr_3y_pct": 32.89651686303077 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 57748824.37789113, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.131598100574118, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.8995439659113433 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 63192844.486745834, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.42706655503609, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.598905449186506 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 104292806.2912118, "yoy_growth_pct": 65.03894885296124, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.07766421460815 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 170046849.15478042, "yoy_growth_pct": 63.04753434284505, "cagr_3y_pct": 43.331555444929634 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 122240270.0248291, "yoy_growth_pct": -28.11376945093331, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.59926065471061 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 88675848.25429337, "yoy_growth_pct": -27.457745114370436, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.263573409727639 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 85711692.1892847, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.342687014967638, "cagr_3y_pct": -20.416354926205138 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 86110779.60971725, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.46561607901896007, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.022320871904224 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 87721455.48719697, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.8704695100657975, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.3600519415529968 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 98830813.7664292, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.664356989441039, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.861830346437013 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 118416769.16071475, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.81766075565645, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.203527099196364 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 118325456.06084847, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.07711162913280889, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.490291504211902 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 182436788.28417537, "yoy_growth_pct": 54.18219743886543, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.67046614410344 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 179027913.03625342, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.8685240405636017, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.771972893135942 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 170615359.72170836, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.699017696107255, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.974383403870494 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 119608959.88923514, "yoy_growth_pct": -29.895549800246613, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.12721085305456 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "hs_code": "441899", "hs_description": "Wood: builders' joinery and carpentry of wood n.e.c. in heading no. 4418, other than of bamboo or cellular wood panels", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1068624609.333203, "current_below_peak_pct": 44.103485053647255, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7126863603659435, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "hs_code": "851762", "hs_description": "Communication apparatus (excluding telephone sets or base stations): machines for the reception, conversion and transmission or regeneration of voice, images or other data, including switching and routing apparatus", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 5876386616.3168335, "current_below_peak_pct": 52.37160243675777, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2266428422587685, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "hs_code": "440712", "hs_description": "Wood: coniferous species, of fir (Abies spp.) and spruce (Picea spp.), sawn or chipped lengthwise, sliced or peeled, whether or not planed, sanded or finger-jointed, of a thickness exceeding 6mm", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 721204129.6829238, "current_below_peak_pct": 43.75844844127031, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8987831989694642, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened", "risk_driver_labels": [ "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "hs_code": "854231", "hs_description": "Electronic integrated circuits: processors and controllers, whether or not combined with memories, converters, logic circuits, amplifiers, clock and timing circuits, or other circuits", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 8417743430.722703, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8563512737537755, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "hs_code": "284690", "hs_description": "Compounds, inorganic or organic (excluding cerium), of rare-earth metals, of yttrium, scandium or of mixtures of these metals", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 213235507.5252533, "current_below_peak_pct": 74.78386283776679, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5375985120319458, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "hs_code": "440711", "hs_description": "Wood: coniferous species, of pine (Pinus spp.), sawn or chipped lengthwise, sliced or peeled, whether or not planed, sanded or finger-jointed, of a thickness exceeding 6mm", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 488597532.24675137, "current_below_peak_pct": 61.75791872055346, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8173330705891501, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "hs_code": "711299", "hs_description": "Waste and scrap of precious metals: waste and scrap of precious metals including metal clad with precious metals, other than that of gold and platinum and excluding ash which contains precious metal or precious metal compounds", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2407544912.119498, "current_below_peak_pct": 54.41364177017783, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7668096542886861, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "hs_code": "902519", "hs_description": "Thermometers and pyrometers: (other than liquid filled, for direct reading), not combined with other instruments", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 152833674.11806417, "current_below_peak_pct": 40.56926547473273, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6768092096102734, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened", "risk_driver_labels": [ "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "hs_code": "940610", "hs_description": "Buildings: prefabricated, of wood", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15341599.856157025, "current_below_peak_pct": 21.03396128659332, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.49946813681786467, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened", "risk_driver_labels": [ "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "hs_code": "811292", "hs_description": "Gallium, germanium, hafnium, indium, niobium (columbium), rhenium and vanadium: articles thereof, unwrought, including waste and scrap, powders", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 144664478.16144642, "current_below_peak_pct": 21.456675447549745, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.743734879281365, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "distance_km": 7897, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 1, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 4937421.880461999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 39285.162481125415, "importer_population": 125681.595, "importer_biz_entry_days": 11.1, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 7.5, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 36262.924354, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 27280.658439997173, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 2.0095237123850573, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 3.1693676000306508, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.4889549171530176, "tariff_advantage_pp": 1.6804126828776336 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EST-JPN/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EST-JPN/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EST-JPN/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EST-JPN/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EST-JPN/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }