{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:15.257Z", "seo": { "title": "Estonia exports to Italy: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Estonia to Italy, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "EST", "country_name": "Estonia" }, "importer": { "iso3": "ITA", "country_name": "Italy" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "all_history_lane_count": 217, "current_lane_count": 153, "current_product_count": 153, "first_observed_last_year": 1998, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 220664806.6214489, "attention_trade_usd": 75353233.13240063, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 133252621.47889943, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 40471743.48757943, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 1462086.8474992993, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 74420059.77821547, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 19, "high_volatility_lane_count": 98, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 70, "declining_demand_lane_count": 2, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 48, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.2551045255638098, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 22.481744743829413, "product_concentration_hhi": 455.1595517516066, "top1_product_share_pct": 11.459678761395804, "top3_product_share_pct": 29.276247860883654, "top_product_hs6": "851712", "top_product_trade_usd": 25287477.978273302, "top_product_description": "Telephones for cellular networks or for other wireless networks", "top_attention_product_hs6": "851712", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 2126.435546875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.14414583146572113, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.7279243709195404, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 2.3991419084291183, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.1053247136398467, "tariff_advantage_pp": 1.2938171947892718, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 11, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 2099880.198259, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 35551, "buyer_population_latest": 59066.223, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.3456337761183397, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.6164129413341017, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.26132844935394806, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 21.387999999999998, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 22.601999999999997, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 34.148278688440485, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "declining_buyer_demand", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 2099880.198259, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 35551, "buyer_population_2024": 59066.223 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 18112447.602588017, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 22585887.300330263, "yoy_growth_pct": 24.698151215648267, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 21053419.1860642, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.785069339488182, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 23659409.067224186, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.377988858384391, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.313949022737766 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 35196816.16749484, "yoy_growth_pct": 48.76456156402333, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.937004283157052 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 37020000.2717635, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.179968823294923, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.6992560702709 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 43323360.810190625, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.026905705440853, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.34120360566383 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 45122678.691453375, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.153227837392315, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.63351479826726 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 60318415.384238176, "yoy_growth_pct": 33.67649513162214, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.671467246177542 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 51970774.117042735, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.83929139056389, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.254096326959457 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 56195769.14656666, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.129559548235443, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.58942391210089 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 77617912.31327811, "yoy_growth_pct": 38.120562263040505, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.76871836263653 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 108051422.71415597, "yoy_growth_pct": 39.20939058247719, "cagr_3y_pct": 27.631273101170216 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 148652629.82844025, "yoy_growth_pct": 37.57581908170937, "cagr_3y_pct": 38.300258652397126 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 102327679.95035066, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.163222562260174, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.650442864419206 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 107417603.99738428, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.974141942339805, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.1959135322996186 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 236790552.18142503, "yoy_growth_pct": 120.43924214432403, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.7877409421471 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 182428812.12041128, "yoy_growth_pct": -22.957731869032806, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.255124224433676 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 148328238.11812934, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.69253743743834, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.356641882765972 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 147228008.25845134, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.7417534743463849, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.64898525070516 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 139716264.21179354, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.102116190739547, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.507707126895149 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 123647623.3311612, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.500909340285649, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.886054981231048 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 148906065.64029005, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.427762077949563, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.3784882480719842 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 169338220.05089518, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.721505784702392, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.619344606682787 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 158438300.3750747, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.43677468237499, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.615415346055322 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 170813698.66064677, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.810862813016484, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.68153988387936 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 228234998.19432452, "yoy_growth_pct": 33.616331701683876, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.461028736145872 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 287608238.853536, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.01408247154968, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.987046348283346 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 248146828.4323389, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.720542422045412, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.256206455341847 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 256755374.81530538, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.4691341563181544, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.00297621692185 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "851712", "hs_description": "Telephones for cellular networks or for other wireless networks", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 6828141870.664677, "current_below_peak_pct": 27.36437279883065, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6084210347818257, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "040690", "hs_description": "Dairy produce: cheese (not grated, powdered or processed), n.e.c. in heading no. 0406", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1482574658.7178004, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6366210397500441, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "843131", "hs_description": "Lifts, skip hoists or escalators: parts thereof", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 342100014.25181466, "current_below_peak_pct": 28.871427756870816, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6209463082256929, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "040610", "hs_description": "Dairy produce: fresh cheese (including whey cheese), not fermented, and curd", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1175373769.5723493, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7817108337225476, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "440890", "hs_description": "Wood: n.e.s. in heading no. 4408, sheets for veneer or plywood, other wood sawn lengthwise, sliced or peeled, whether or not planed, sanded or finger-jointed, not thicker than 6mm", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 164225743.17550233, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.635699319549431, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "441233", "hs_description": "Plywood: with sheets of wood only: not bamboo: each ply 6mm or less, with at least one outer ply of alder, ash, beech, birch, cherry, chestnut, elm, eucalyptus, hickory, horse chestnut, lime, maple, oak, plane, poplar, aspen, robinia, tulipwood or walnut", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 162838499.96879166, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1121734000188603, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "440131", "hs_description": "Wood: for fuel, sawdust and wood waste and scrap, agglomerated in wood pellets", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 469481985.1468455, "current_below_peak_pct": 58.49489799974064, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9700402785878578, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "480421", "hs_description": "Kraft paper and paperboard: sack kraft paper, uncoated, unbleached, in rolls or sheets, other than that of heading no. 4802 or 4803", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 102965040.04126835, "current_below_peak_pct": 43.00553363959788, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6483261542657063, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "470500", "hs_description": "Wood pulp: obtained by a combination of mechanical and chemical pulping processes", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 57990377.89621423, "current_below_peak_pct": 70.12477241952296, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.480691646700237, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "853710", "hs_description": "Boards, panels, consoles, desks and other bases: for electric control or the distribution of electricity, (other than switching apparatus of heading no. 8517), for a voltage not exceeding 1000 volts", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1713881391.4575953, "current_below_peak_pct": 23.257575016410637, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4163889765948077, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "distance_km": 2128, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 1, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 2099880.198259, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 35551.286193786254, "importer_population": 59066.223, "importer_biz_entry_days": 11, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 13.8, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 36262.924354, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 27280.658439997173, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.7279243709195404, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 2.3991419084291183, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.1053247136398467, "tariff_advantage_pp": 1.2938171947892718 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EST-ITA/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EST-ITA/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EST-ITA/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EST-ITA/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EST-ITA/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }