{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:18.003Z", "seo": { "title": "Estonia exports to Ethiopia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Estonia to Ethiopia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "EST", "country_name": "Estonia" }, "importer": { "iso3": "ETH", "country_name": "Ethiopia" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "all_history_lane_count": 16, "current_lane_count": 3, "current_product_count": 3, "first_observed_last_year": 2010, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 2435844.79586581, "attention_trade_usd": 1437776.9645690084, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 0, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 2435844.79586581, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 1, "high_volatility_lane_count": 0, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 0, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 3, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.4035487532839979, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 11.278521182132424, "product_concentration_hhi": 4524.279579167619, "top1_product_share_pct": 59.02580357374359, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "852349", "top_product_trade_usd": 1437776.9645690084, "top_product_description": "Optical media: recorded, excluding products of Chapter 37", "top_attention_product_hs6": "852349", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 5729.82958984375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 22.449483704980846, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 22.449483704980846, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 32, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 111271.11233, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 944, "buyer_population_latest": 117876.228, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 10.27232952973971, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 7.4007157215487895, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.6737380555600376, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": null, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": null, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 59.02580357374359, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 111271.11233, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 944, "buyer_population_2024": 117876.228 }, "history": [ { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 34264.18113345252, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 160429.50103184517, "yoy_growth_pct": 368.21343958871375, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 4806707.487197044, "yoy_growth_pct": 2896.149371706215, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 137578.00346785874, "yoy_growth_pct": -97.13779122540105, "cagr_3y_pct": 58.94110028842343 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 147413.72808015518, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.149198537827517, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.780981488074419 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 50664.76970839266, "yoy_growth_pct": -65.63090129513307, "cagr_3y_pct": -78.0743340539389 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 786280.2473416635, "yoy_growth_pct": 1451.9270133214786, "cagr_3y_pct": 78.78982020484871 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 1700614.719670307, "yoy_growth_pct": 116.28607934892408, "cagr_3y_pct": 125.95537048791417 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 12263.264400791557, "yoy_growth_pct": -99.27889225825535, "cagr_3y_pct": -37.679154079818865 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 24116.471577355464, "yoy_growth_pct": 96.65621476610109, "cagr_3y_pct": -68.69751611453678 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 6511329.3942785915, "yoy_growth_pct": 26899.51099145244, "cagr_3y_pct": 56.442438720394385 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 146026.37767011384, "yoy_growth_pct": -97.7573492473223, "cagr_3y_pct": 128.35388609562446 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 93684.31805758578, "yoy_growth_pct": -35.8442498181892, "cagr_3y_pct": 57.19945791899692 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 82843.06835800484, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.572107183314351, "cagr_3y_pct": -76.65491264501124 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 2624904.8500385084, "yoy_growth_pct": 3068.5268328003367, "cagr_3y_pct": 161.95543751001034 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 446738.2850770342, "yoy_growth_pct": -82.98078175784237, "cagr_3y_pct": 68.31730064799748 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 90912.41753303511, "yoy_growth_pct": -79.64973664225835, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.1467804766887264 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 621849.8096949263, "yoy_growth_pct": 584.0097607886876, "cagr_3y_pct": -38.12375075996235 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 7064415.117708399, "yoy_growth_pct": 1036.0323678757957, "cagr_3y_pct": 151.0003610407602 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 1416186.298148464, "yoy_growth_pct": -79.95324064976725, "cagr_3y_pct": 149.7462986566049 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 1399922.758267669, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.1484039848470573, "cagr_3y_pct": 31.060812507955895 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 3213515.106579051, "yoy_growth_pct": 129.54945818265054, "cagr_3y_pct": -23.09261497946007 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 2230696.995175795, "yoy_growth_pct": -30.58389579034888, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.351878142313513 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 3836508.530559249, "yoy_growth_pct": 71.98698607907097, "cagr_3y_pct": 39.94069661080415 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "hs_code": "852349", "hs_description": "Optical media: recorded, excluding products of Chapter 37", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12086164.792324446, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.37180697797245593, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "hs_code": "190110", "hs_description": "Food preparations: of flour, meal, starch, malt extract or milk products, for infant use, put up for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22097704.56654268, "current_below_peak_pct": 27.377756734397362, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5476693549970043, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "hs_code": "852352", "hs_description": "Semiconductor media: smart cards, whether or not recorded, excluding products of Chapter 37", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13109063.456356453, "current_below_peak_pct": 27.95770777175107, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.16250485511236665, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "distance_km": 5716, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 0, "exporter_is_eu": 1, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 111271.11232999999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 943.9656682091999, "importer_population": 117876.228, "importer_biz_entry_days": 32, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 45.4, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 36262.924354, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 27280.658439997173, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 22.449483704980846, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 22.449483704980846, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EST-ETH/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EST-ETH/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EST-ETH/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EST-ETH/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EST-ETH/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }