{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:20.786Z", "seo": { "title": "Estonia exports to Botswana: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Estonia to Botswana, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "EST", "country_name": "Estonia" }, "importer": { "iso3": "BWA", "country_name": "Botswana" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "all_history_lane_count": 3, "current_lane_count": 2, "current_product_count": 2, "first_observed_last_year": 2015, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 33824.766732975055, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 19584.569371439655, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 33824.766732975055, "access_friction_trade_usd": 33824.766732975055, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 0, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2, "access_friction_lane_count": 2, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.4852537557764727, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 40.10978252007406, "product_concentration_hhi": 5124.822749728971, "top1_product_share_pct": 57.90008701626039, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "843143", "top_product_trade_usd": 19584.569371439655, "top_product_description": "Boring or sinking machinery: parts of the machinery of item no. 8430.41 or 8430.41", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 9368.2958984375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 48, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 17613.846473, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 7348, "buyer_population_latest": 2397.24, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.0129069649398543, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.4194113162523392, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.571193944045457, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 32.758, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 32.414, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 17613.846473, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 7348, "buyer_population_2024": 2397.24 }, "history": [ { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 330.99564567930116, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 2766.366969040924, "yoy_growth_pct": 735.7714082200443, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 38847.13708727589, "yoy_growth_pct": 1304.2655049754253, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 4968.277345596941, "yoy_growth_pct": -87.21069886196513, "cagr_3y_pct": 146.67654122651115 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 3768.335358637225, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.152073314166856, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.852778987748257 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 35.97579772484055, "yoy_growth_pct": -99.0453132669739, "cagr_3y_pct": -90.25271185097716 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 213.12841025015072, "yoy_growth_pct": 492.42163823650236, "cagr_3y_pct": -64.99378375001965 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 6643.457404412548, "yoy_growth_pct": 3017.11488703691, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.804061700796762 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 3163.0168843339284, "yoy_growth_pct": -52.38899428732591, "cagr_3y_pct": 344.66235030225266 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 9816.750169144345, "yoy_growth_pct": 210.36034672358593, "cagr_3y_pct": 258.46118077402923 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 305486.46600248985, "yoy_growth_pct": 3011.8899914829644, "cagr_3y_pct": 258.2607850304469 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 315.99598730647796, "yoy_growth_pct": -99.89655974241953, "cagr_3y_pct": -53.599069917998875 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 34820.81593441934, "yoy_growth_pct": 10919.38547740081, "cagr_3y_pct": 52.50721897305617 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 23569.329939877352, "yoy_growth_pct": -32.31252827542226, "cagr_3y_pct": -57.42855216997498 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 100135.83483920599, "yoy_growth_pct": 324.85651944557173, "cagr_3y_pct": 581.7670142652338 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 32332.934651059233, "yoy_growth_pct": -67.7109251618283, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.440688435854077 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 54647.53881900644, "yoy_growth_pct": 69.01509067694904, "cagr_3y_pct": 32.35523508388758 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 686304.4116176729, "yoy_growth_pct": 1155.8743292917995, "cagr_3y_pct": 89.95136665819979 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 936659.3893147899, "yoy_growth_pct": 36.47870732857608, "cagr_3y_pct": 207.1228921341659 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 947836.7766506588, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.1933246453703639, "cagr_3y_pct": 158.85366366354705 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "hs_code": "843143", "hs_description": "Boring or sinking machinery: parts of the machinery of item no. 8430.41 or 8430.41", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16242541.844724359, "current_below_peak_pct": 51.8507562326024, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6015935977760681, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "hs_code": "901890", "hs_description": "Medical, surgical or dental instruments and appliances: n.e.c. in heading no. 9018", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13787780.260449572, "current_below_peak_pct": 23.962399985730606, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.3252513591483309, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "distance_km": 9320, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": 1, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 1, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 17613.846473, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 7347.552382323007, "importer_population": 2397.24, "importer_biz_entry_days": 48, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.6, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 36262.924354, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 27280.658439997173, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EST-BWA/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EST-BWA/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EST-BWA/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EST-BWA/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EST-BWA/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }