{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:20.765Z", "seo": { "title": "Estonia exports to Bahamas: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Estonia to Bahamas, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "EST", "country_name": "Estonia" }, "importer": { "iso3": "BHS", "country_name": "Bahamas" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "all_history_lane_count": 7, "current_lane_count": 4, "current_product_count": 4, "first_observed_last_year": 1998, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 292676.570917349, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 265989.827089359, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 147638.31929005732, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 292676.570917349, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 3, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 3, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 4, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.4375309318477991, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 65.36301319126994, "product_concentration_hhi": 3932.8428009257623, "top1_product_share_pct": 49.55581212827933, "top3_product_share_pct": 95.76871827705634, "top_product_hs6": "761090", "top_product_trade_usd": 145038.2516272917, "top_product_description": "Aluminium: structures (excluding prefabricated buildings of heading no. 9406) and parts of structures, n.e.c. in heading no. 7610, plates, rods, profiles, tubes and the like", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 8283.4423828125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.4002000093460083, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 28.830004707279688, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 31.463789946360144, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 3.30374525, "tariff_advantage_pp": 28.160044696360142, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 11.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 11208.6, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 28239, "buyer_population_latest": 396.914, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.5837320057948707, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.240316033278101, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.33263746733016575, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 28.464, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 21.665999999999997, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 11208.6, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 28239, "buyer_population_2024": 396.914 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "export_value_usd": 693580.9906193399, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "export_value_usd": 272310.8138019823, "yoy_growth_pct": -60.738426011528986, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "export_value_usd": 605754.3154565429, "yoy_growth_pct": 122.44959977866779, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "export_value_usd": 254791.8152958844, "yoy_growth_pct": -57.9380932509158, "cagr_3y_pct": -28.380805789534158 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "export_value_usd": 934598.3915933886, "yoy_growth_pct": 266.80863963705394, "cagr_3y_pct": 50.8412237390236 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "export_value_usd": 500945.56826766947, "yoy_growth_pct": -46.399911151825144, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.136227000900307 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "export_value_usd": 509921.40127657476, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.7917781047439574, "cagr_3y_pct": 26.01993623434018 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "export_value_usd": 1167878.5568614318, "yoy_growth_pct": 129.03109262283925, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.710378431172593 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "export_value_usd": 1540113.0190824762, "yoy_growth_pct": 31.8727028623071, "cagr_3y_pct": 45.40768194593219 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "export_value_usd": 767361.8696449059, "yoy_growth_pct": -50.17496377622581, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.594997257081088 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "export_value_usd": 92980.5174357761, "yoy_growth_pct": -87.88309386824204, "cagr_3y_pct": -56.98055947114214 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "export_value_usd": 104788.40148908974, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.699309897333745, "cagr_3y_pct": -59.1755626651407 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "export_value_usd": 182376.94450712515, "yoy_growth_pct": 74.04306384625374, "cagr_3y_pct": -38.05733209607274 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "export_value_usd": 134335.02190978953, "yoy_growth_pct": -26.3421030148132, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.04874981600479 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "export_value_usd": 35848.69701197606, "yoy_growth_pct": -73.31396049791866, "cagr_3y_pct": -30.060897768699178 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "export_value_usd": 3214.1203167336716, "yoy_growth_pct": -91.03420602522897, "cagr_3y_pct": -73.97659834262402 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "export_value_usd": 183445.09033549076, "yoy_growth_pct": 5607.4742778115915, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.944458336301711 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "export_value_usd": 4892854.98704915, "yoy_growth_pct": 2567.2041089248705, "cagr_3y_pct": 414.8685010989259 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "export_value_usd": 2218357.1206510067, "yoy_growth_pct": -54.66129434608722, "cagr_3y_pct": 783.7371473280459 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "export_value_usd": 1189017.2293659607, "yoy_growth_pct": -46.40100016822235, "cagr_3y_pct": 86.4492689822864 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "export_value_usd": 13989378.817528484, "yoy_growth_pct": 1076.549714505674, "cagr_3y_pct": 41.93146821574791 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "export_value_usd": 819837.02333971, "yoy_growth_pct": -94.13957521607416, "cagr_3y_pct": -28.237313541625852 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "export_value_usd": 400560.3435641682, "yoy_growth_pct": -51.14146688174256, "cagr_3y_pct": -30.41858316741155 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "export_value_usd": 4377681.3586846795, "yoy_growth_pct": 992.8893558788833, "cagr_3y_pct": -32.10852583675256 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "export_value_usd": 16685206.987665357, "yoy_growth_pct": 281.1425643066585, "cagr_3y_pct": 173.0243345438201 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "export_value_usd": 1233545.986628127, "yoy_growth_pct": -92.60694825338376, "cagr_3y_pct": 45.488655763145445 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "export_value_usd": 19782.023132817005, "yoy_growth_pct": -98.39632868597865, "cagr_3y_pct": -83.46736087331831 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "export_value_usd": 480690.6248034551, "yoy_growth_pct": 2329.936622640091, "cagr_3y_pct": -69.34429197280055 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "export_value_usd": 1681836.2895603464, "yoy_growth_pct": 249.8791536132031, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.885848701821077 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "export_value_usd": 947522.9236914897, "yoy_growth_pct": -43.6614057162969, "cagr_3y_pct": 263.1669679309741 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "hs_code": "761090", "hs_description": "Aluminium: structures (excluding prefabricated buildings of heading no. 9406) and parts of structures, n.e.c. in heading no. 7610, plates, rods, profiles, tubes and the like", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 26251446.703708887, "current_below_peak_pct": 46.6940609749959, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5225624277892666, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "hs_code": "940360", "hs_description": "Furniture: wooden, other than for office, kitchen or bedroom use", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 28798650.309418567, "current_below_peak_pct": 92.77615812472574, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5023354035781618, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "hs_code": "761010", "hs_description": "Aluminium: structures (excluding prefabricated buildings of heading no. 9406) and parts of structures, doors, windows and their frames and thresholds for doors", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18169910.43595306, "current_below_peak_pct": 57.782476419809555, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8396551910626432, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "hs_code": "441820", "hs_description": "Wood: doors and their frames and thresholds", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11867083.620547995, "current_below_peak_pct": 60.02002033224231, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1619223021172729, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "EST", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "distance_km": 8292, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 0, "exporter_is_eu": 1, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 11208.6, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 28239.366714200056, "importer_population": 396.914, "importer_biz_entry_days": 11.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 11, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 36262.924354, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 27280.658439997173, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 28.830004707279688, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 31.463789946360144, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 3.30374525, "tariff_advantage_pp": 28.160044696360142 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EST-BHS/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EST-BHS/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EST-BHS/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EST-BHS/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EST-BHS/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }