{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:15.216Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Estonia exports to the United Arab Emirates: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Estonia to the United Arab Emirates, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "EST",
    "country_name": "Estonia"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "ARE",
    "country_name": "United Arab Emirates"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "EST",
    "importer_iso3": "ARE",
    "all_history_lane_count": 107,
    "current_lane_count": 61,
    "current_product_count": 61,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1997,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 60632910.55074827,
    "attention_trade_usd": 17017755.646635696,
    "critical_trade_usd": 13254993.500811879,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 24603920.15504028,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 19192671.934206422,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 20037009.712701328,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 1,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 3,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 31,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 22,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 24,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9637408065745281,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 24.807152780415926,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 2955.725537793471,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 49.424347683806644,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 73.8402110705716,
    "top_product_hs6": "851762",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 29967420.521413304,
    "top_product_description": "Communication apparatus (excluding telephone sets or base stations): machines for the reception, conversion and transmission or regeneration of voice, images or other data, including switching and routing apparatus",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "270799",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 4521.90869140625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 5.154220090038312,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.154220090038312,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 3.8,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 358868.765175,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 36285,
    "buyer_population_latest": 9991.083,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.943547237156554,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.819807045643529,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 3.0679101465127756,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 26.395999999999997,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 61.2,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 28.066862520795947,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 21.861054302708713,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Critical attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 358868.765175,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 36285,
    "buyer_population_2024": 9991.083
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 563408.9999999979,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 149511,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -73.46315021591765,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 93453,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -37.49423119369143,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 93280.01520199413,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.1851035258428002,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -45.089557608295586
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 1905604.479395948,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1942.8861158195975,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 133.58944039970135
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 428628.0807709183,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -77.5069755867289,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 66.14825741529562
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 505713.1870340723,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.98414749787529,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 75.67308314407539
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 943873.4074512996,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 86.64203972749209,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -20.87865490502755
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 3049680.190802183,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 223.10267104961693,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 92.33481012235956
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 1725052.233553728,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -43.43497922318297,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 50.533325903582885
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 2464209.0333307926,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 42.848372089832296,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 37.69598114160206
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 5176464.195024723,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 110.0659532129002,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.286960283195032
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 32905271.95873386,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 535.6708115620744,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 167.1905403497314
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 18281978.937446684,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -44.440577909904796,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 95.03619681398543
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 63525210.67858348,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 247.4744768930119,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 130.65929832332978
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 8245992.30662234,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -87.01933890728151,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -36.95376638538139
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 9749586.800491799,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.234245654848902,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -18.906196826813126
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 35251747.0924948,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 261.57170364098505,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -17.824029108057605
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 15847282.017531177,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -55.045399662177005,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.32847894959087
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 68617133.48148818,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 332.9899184325738,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 91.63821647851375
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 39105679.978681564,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -43.00886965901649,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.5189199195933885
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 38340135.01873678,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.9576311174287708,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 34.24546300614415
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 34030720.53251106,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.239956468905788,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -20.844786535210925
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 43853071.914200924,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 28.863189576918092,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.893105100311778
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 51000902.49169842,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.299497995219838,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.978571515054258
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 58368190.47563899,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.445407088903517,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.702079459926615
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 77630786.81968118,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 33.00187342981238,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.97008586878646
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 129954060.44191228,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 67.40015883616672,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 36.585311502242554
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 64837856.96712159,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -50.10709419418007,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.5660646766681348
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 81330288.3647013,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 25.436422745962737,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.5639168846470763
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "hs_code": "851762",
      "hs_description": "Communication apparatus (excluding telephone sets or base stations): machines for the reception, conversion and transmission or regeneration of voice, images or other data, including switching and routing apparatus",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2246279907.74616,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6126355482296935,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "hs_code": "270799",
      "hs_description": "Oils and other products of the distillation of high temperature coal tar: n.e.s. in heading no. 2707",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 258427658.62355605,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 67.87754940959046,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1199718054420544,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "hs_code": "880510",
      "hs_description": "Aircraft launching gear, deck-arrestor or similar gear and parts thereof",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13644642.83942374,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8649547208254793,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "hs_code": "440711",
      "hs_description": "Wood: coniferous species, of pine (Pinus spp.), sawn or chipped lengthwise, sliced or peeled, whether or not planed, sanded or finger-jointed, of a thickness exceeding 6mm",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 86785361.03604619,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 15.183232099064552,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3044874300577087,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "hs_code": "854430",
      "hs_description": "Insulated electric conductors: ignition wiring sets and other wiring sets of a kind used in vehicles, aircraft or ships",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 71740379.97137506,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8437409249679249,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "hs_code": "852351",
      "hs_description": "Semiconductor media: solid-state non-volatile storage devices, whether or not recorded, excluding products of Chapter 37",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 324351230.5601235,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 94.87953263063,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.99236693940644,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "hs_code": "842839",
      "hs_description": "Elevators and conveyors: continuous-action, for goods or materials, n.e.c. in item no. 8428.20, 8428.31, 8428.32 or 8428.33",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 74578091.22843444,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.9677232326024883,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "hs_code": "851761",
      "hs_description": "Base stations",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 32263767.79283417,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 97.01048747503492,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.58190893827562,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "hs_code": "121490",
      "hs_description": "Forage products including swedes, mangolds, fodder roots, hay, sainfoin, clover, forage kale, lupines, vetches etc., pelletised or otherwise",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 174965070.5964595,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 78.21955681530174,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8466830388114852,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "hs_code": "440712",
      "hs_description": "Wood: coniferous species, of fir (Abies spp.) and spruce (Picea spp.), sawn or chipped lengthwise, sliced or peeled, whether or not planed, sanded or finger-jointed, of a thickness exceeding 6mm",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 103289892.8637373,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 54.617513634042666,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.9470410126197426,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "EST",
    "importer_iso3": "ARE",
    "distance_km": 4472,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 358868.765175,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 35918.90540545004,
    "importer_population": 9991.083,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 3.8,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 17.2,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 36262.924354,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 27280.658439997173,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 5.154220090038312,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.154220090038312,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EST-ARE/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EST-ARE/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EST-ARE/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EST-ARE/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EST-ARE/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}