{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:20.747Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Spain exports to Tajikistan: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Spain to Tajikistan, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "ESP",
    "country_name": "Spain"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "TJK",
    "country_name": "Tajikistan"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "ESP",
    "importer_iso3": "TJK",
    "all_history_lane_count": 15,
    "current_lane_count": 6,
    "current_product_count": 6,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2002,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 1126761.4863513259,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 61536.38294052384,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 169610.4151381927,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 936408.1399964809,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 2,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 3,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 5,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.6669411101617715,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 15.947094135429536,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 3967.9724956637765,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 59.11843788315665,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 85.60384603451973,
    "top_product_hs6": "401110",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 666123.7893999412,
    "top_product_description": "Rubber: new pneumatic tyres, of a kind used on motor cars (including station wagons and racing cars)",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 6048.09619140625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.004999999888241291,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.525382681609196,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.525382681609196,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 7,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 8746.270636,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 897,
    "buyer_population_latest": 9749.625,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 11.342641385471342,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 9.016690878247392,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.133572839613729,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": null,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": null,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 8746.270636,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 897,
    "buyer_population_2024": 9749.625
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "ESP",
      "importer_iso3": "TJK",
      "export_value_usd": 532906.2719637849,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "ESP",
      "importer_iso3": "TJK",
      "export_value_usd": 141740.13800664584,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -73.40242638084804,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "ESP",
      "importer_iso3": "TJK",
      "export_value_usd": 297373.80030060245,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 109.80211003227565,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "ESP",
      "importer_iso3": "TJK",
      "export_value_usd": 787510.7698833128,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 164.8218400838446,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.903015904065864
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "ESP",
      "importer_iso3": "TJK",
      "export_value_usd": 530525.1286620809,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -32.63265101241855,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 55.26409492290074
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "ESP",
      "importer_iso3": "TJK",
      "export_value_usd": 490206.57440966106,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -7.599744493554573,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.129620703236917
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "ESP",
      "importer_iso3": "TJK",
      "export_value_usd": 1355305.2753204212,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 176.47635631010638,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.837721279523922
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "ESP",
      "importer_iso3": "TJK",
      "export_value_usd": 1182022.8888270038,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -12.78548749487085,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 30.609061555235396
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "ESP",
      "importer_iso3": "TJK",
      "export_value_usd": 325659.58914856974,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -72.44896082581427,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -12.74407777032196
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "ESP",
      "importer_iso3": "TJK",
      "export_value_usd": 482238.5693217014,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 48.080567988955636,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -29.138837769006965
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "ESP",
      "importer_iso3": "TJK",
      "export_value_usd": 479978.3220217017,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.46869898921167996,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -25.948832124007936
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "ESP",
      "importer_iso3": "TJK",
      "export_value_usd": 354749.45472447685,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -26.09052566577429,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.8930297103195723
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "ESP",
      "importer_iso3": "TJK",
      "export_value_usd": 148948.77699999997,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -58.01296520224846,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -32.40337702156836
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "ESP",
      "importer_iso3": "TJK",
      "export_value_usd": 867034.35,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 482.1023626128868,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.78811075185778
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "ESP",
      "importer_iso3": "TJK",
      "export_value_usd": 1234404.03,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 42.370833404697294,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 51.534620186724055
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "ESP",
      "importer_iso3": "TJK",
      "export_value_usd": 1120271.2748638445,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.245980437714184,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 95.92751017399486
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "ESP",
      "importer_iso3": "TJK",
      "export_value_usd": 2059518.1765073417,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 83.84102339477117,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 33.42681172179345
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "ESP",
      "importer_iso3": "TJK",
      "export_value_usd": 2173725.7294288934,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.545352996846664,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.75797036214617
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "ESP",
      "importer_iso3": "TJK",
      "export_value_usd": 2477308.790125692,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 13.966024167021263,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 30.2823692392614
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "ESP",
      "importer_iso3": "TJK",
      "export_value_usd": 4768274.423071193,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 92.47800040419119,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 32.291478714050314
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "ESP",
      "importer_iso3": "TJK",
      "export_value_usd": 3289863.1727470607,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -31.005162856627354,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.812990740140597
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "ESP",
      "importer_iso3": "TJK",
      "export_value_usd": 3054270.221203526,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -7.161177811137131,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.228221981877048
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "ESP",
      "importer_iso3": "TJK",
      "export_value_usd": 3254881.698694963,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.568229493865374,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.95095385898587
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "ESP",
      "importer_iso3": "TJK",
      "export_value_usd": 4595278.749229401,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 41.18112959595022,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.783578467542078
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "ESP",
      "importer_iso3": "TJK",
      "export_value_usd": 2643354.0032242476,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -42.47674303397763,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.70225513328697
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "ESP",
      "importer_iso3": "TJK",
      "export_value_usd": 5038655.173517829,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 90.61598133930974,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.680407504580373
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "ESP",
      "importer_iso3": "TJK",
      "export_value_usd": 16934406.87920268,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 236.08981555647145,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 54.461190029339605
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "ESP",
      "importer_iso3": "TJK",
      "export_value_usd": 10018418.702682095,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -40.83986068041262,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 55.912624892668546
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "ESP",
      "importer_iso3": "TJK",
      "export_value_usd": 4547602.875671251,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -54.607578195411385,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.360212826811171
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "ESP",
      "importer_iso3": "TJK",
      "export_value_usd": 3804229.120269073,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -16.346496730817805,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -39.209988557841456
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ESP",
      "importer_iso3": "TJK",
      "hs_code": "401110",
      "hs_description": "Rubber: new pneumatic tyres, of a kind used on motor cars (including station wagons and racing cars)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11968971.114994908,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 4.694407767844985,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.46080264946110344,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ESP",
      "importer_iso3": "TJK",
      "hs_code": "300490",
      "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 39590552.59441067,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8395265411113926,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ESP",
      "importer_iso3": "TJK",
      "hs_code": "854449",
      "hs_description": "Insulated electric conductors: for a voltage not exceeding 80 volts, not fitted with connectors",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 29793997.06666164,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 85.14312171343478,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9540346238039904,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ESP",
      "importer_iso3": "TJK",
      "hs_code": "870324",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 3000cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 25707425.788423885,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9634165270853843,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ESP",
      "importer_iso3": "TJK",
      "hs_code": "853710",
      "hs_description": "Boards, panels, consoles, desks and other bases: for electric control or the distribution of electricity, (other than switching apparatus of heading no. 8517), for a voltage not exceeding 1000 volts",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11518309.228804622,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 97.5020654744356,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1552744446729524,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ESP",
      "importer_iso3": "TJK",
      "hs_code": "848180",
      "hs_description": "Taps, cocks, valves and similar appliances: for pipes, boiler shells, tanks, vats or the like, including thermostatically controlled valves",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17895968.743581094,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 82.15682849021726,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.732006291771684,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "ESP",
    "importer_iso3": "TJK",
    "distance_km": 6056,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 8746.270636000001,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 897.0879019449467,
    "importer_population": 9749.625,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 7,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 17.5,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 1425276.586283,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 30115.705886680804,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.525382681609196,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.525382681609196,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ESP-TJK/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ESP-TJK/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ESP-TJK/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ESP-TJK/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ESP-TJK/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}