{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:15.186Z", "seo": { "title": "Spain exports to Sweden: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Spain to Sweden, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "ESP", "country_name": "Spain" }, "importer": { "iso3": "SWE", "country_name": "Sweden" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "ESP", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "all_history_lane_count": 1222, "current_lane_count": 1141, "current_product_count": 1141, "first_observed_last_year": 1997, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 3015846226.4085436, "attention_trade_usd": 886717310.1211011, "critical_trade_usd": 100537699.99573947, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 1364822909.4896772, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 692207544.7001746, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 1024159.5600879891, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 1031023657.1799206, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 3, "high_attention_lane_count": 112, "high_volatility_lane_count": 615, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 592, "declining_demand_lane_count": 5, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 331, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.1316392357185612, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 27.512897863896512, "product_concentration_hhi": 87.03765404001969, "top1_product_share_pct": 3.780655685052439, "top3_product_share_pct": 9.003741358304152, "top_product_hs6": "151800", "top_product_trade_usd": 114018761.81115405, "top_product_description": "Animal or vegetable fats and oils and their fractions: oxidised, boiled or otherwise chemically modified, (excluding those of heading no. 1516), inedible mixtures or preparations of fats or oils", "top_attention_product_hs6": "151800", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 2596.90771484375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.30054420232772827, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 2.0748499880808082, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 2.0748499880808082, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 2.0748499880808082, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 7.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 627437.8988869999, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 60239, "buyer_population_latest": 10415.811, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 2.6041298879049046, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.033187461230712, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.559565412862506, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 24.328000000000003, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 28.238, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 29.40194040254695, "critical_trade_share_pct": 3.333648085746931, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "declining_buyer_demand", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 627437.8988869999, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 60239, "buyer_population_2024": 10415.811 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "ESP", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 750248055.5250552, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "ESP", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 880866473.960977, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.410030918975128, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "ESP", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 935304025.442593, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.180000384942308, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "ESP", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 1205723687.4224663, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.912487771225905, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.13345984877874 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "ESP", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 1216176656.7785208, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.8669456746263515, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.3513604544357 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "ESP", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 1047875891.5038548, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.838513043036926, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.8609637944600816 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "ESP", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 1033741662.650438, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.3488456951836314, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.000480439506472 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "ESP", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 1081617373.4228342, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.631303206803761, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.8330895486201944 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "ESP", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 1376614762.1585827, "yoy_growth_pct": 27.273728768077564, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.521871889365862 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "ESP", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 1635438209.4561477, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.801443541962335, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.521850584281083 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "ESP", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 1822356831.362334, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.429268365225775, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.992591107438205 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "ESP", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 1951303217.3714387, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.075803365727706, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.332160740549725 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "ESP", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 2198909510.562565, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.689278169933615, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.371701867525985 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "ESP", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 2326057216.951277, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.78230735634877, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.474833307717278 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "ESP", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 1664111896.0394475, "yoy_growth_pct": -28.457826234361917, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.168506963256081 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "ESP", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 1850426072.55588, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.196012537369416, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.589247224058136 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "ESP", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 2462683929.7724533, "yoy_growth_pct": 33.08739896703352, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.9207852424610206 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "ESP", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 2166098061.483684, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.043196640186515, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.185557555557988 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "ESP", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 2240301003.6006293, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.4256501788344496, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.580612436810029 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "ESP", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 2372063405.0947323, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.881459736094996, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.2419425114034377 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "ESP", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 2081015045.733337, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.269838940067112, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.3268402675746471 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "ESP", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 2047032897.2680407, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.632960248652171, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.962525978922559 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "ESP", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 2244039179.2121754, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.623991984059387, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.832428549299292 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "ESP", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 2438111606.37824, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.648352888125533, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.420754602615219 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "ESP", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 2420276266.237297, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.7315227118514511, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.7418018701069995 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "ESP", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 2570096361.659432, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.190206362476713, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.626008502627288 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "ESP", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 3201097330.691791, "yoy_growth_pct": 24.551646329126008, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.500247076304902 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "ESP", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 3584376424.998157, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.973365840255013, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.98548638390389 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "ESP", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 3595389201.6468053, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.30724386456297825, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.840431581696276 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ESP", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 3208884135.3519197, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.750020223620126, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.08101908465205643 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "ESP", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "hs_code": "151800", "hs_description": "Animal or vegetable fats and oils and their fractions: oxidised, boiled or otherwise chemically modified, (excluding those of heading no. 1516), inedible mixtures or preparations of fats or oils", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 289847970.4841221, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.769226328680352, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ESP", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "hs_code": "870421", "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), for transport of goods, (of a gvw not exceeding 5 tonnes), n.e.c. in item no 8704.1", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 816133899.6512465, "current_below_peak_pct": 21.62030217165059, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7518255492587459, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ESP", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "hs_code": "841290", "hs_description": "Engines: parts, for engines and motors of heading no. 8412", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 241305001.28939933, "current_below_peak_pct": 32.95130055882148, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5468439594702248, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ESP", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "hs_code": "870321", "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity not exceeding 1000cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 231227090.36213273, "current_below_peak_pct": 12.854073355532941, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5438885937195959, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ESP", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "hs_code": "870360", "hs_description": "Vehicles: with both spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine and electric motor for propulsion, capable of being charged by plugging to external source of electric power", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1435667974.2259364, "current_below_peak_pct": 54.04708107318024, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8132834192756004, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ESP", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "hs_code": "300490", "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2898066640.379899, "current_below_peak_pct": 24.07183397437573, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4551565359725288, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ESP", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "hs_code": "870322", "hs_description": "Vehicles: with only spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine, cylinder capacity over 1000 but not over 1500cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 763346213.8313396, "current_below_peak_pct": 54.42908714955846, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5617352308563341, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ESP", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "hs_code": "850231", "hs_description": "Electric generating sets: wind-powered, (excluding those with spark-ignition or compression-ignition internal combustion piston engines)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 110385460.08372621, "current_below_peak_pct": 51.80481746534392, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9120330859422989, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ESP", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "hs_code": "700910", "hs_description": "Glass: rear-view mirrors for vehicles", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 95191148.79481287, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7719255992959917, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ESP", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "hs_code": "870829", "hs_description": "Vehicles: parts and accessories, of bodies, other than safety seat belts", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1148830996.1517732, "current_below_peak_pct": 4.063056439631502, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6825701607054643, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ESP", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "distance_km": 2596, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 1, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 627437.8988869999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 60238.98656446434, "importer_population": 10415.811, "importer_biz_entry_days": 7.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.5, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 1425276.586283, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 30115.705886680804, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 2.0748499880808082, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 2.0748499880808082, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 2.0748499880808082 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ESP-SWE/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ESP-SWE/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ESP-SWE/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ESP-SWE/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ESP-SWE/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }