{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:15.263Z", "seo": { "title": "Egypt exports to Ukraine: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Egypt to Ukraine, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "EGY", "country_name": "Egypt" }, "importer": { "iso3": "UKR", "country_name": "Ukraine" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "all_history_lane_count": 156, "current_lane_count": 81, "current_product_count": 81, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 117521503.7007277, "attention_trade_usd": 67652794.914993, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 60413795.63085053, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 32652554.989938032, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 69046877.75090179, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 7, "high_volatility_lane_count": 42, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 34, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 26, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.4710078333878052, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 22.03810403068614, "product_concentration_hhi": 1347.1226454138862, "top1_product_share_pct": 27.874343738979203, "top3_product_share_pct": 58.23747605408147, "top_product_hs6": "250100", "top_product_trade_usd": 32758347.908758003, "top_product_description": "Salt (including table salt and denatured salt): pure sodium chloride whether or not in aqueous solution: sea water", "top_attention_product_hs6": "250100", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 2267.6591796875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.74256830099617, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 6.74256830099617, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 6.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 200085.537744, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 4567, "buyer_population_latest": 43814.583, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.388047577338883, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 8.285640541163119, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -3.37794288946095, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.714000000000002, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 10.852, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 57.56631151288961, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 200085.537744, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 4567, "buyer_population_2024": 43814.583 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 5772355.547199541, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 13829485.277096016, "yoy_growth_pct": 139.58131414488827, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 6867320.60478824, "yoy_growth_pct": -50.34290526949913, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 9217113.548673945, "yoy_growth_pct": 34.21702697624618, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.881906812512383 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 2464829.302583542, "yoy_growth_pct": -73.25812154133487, "cagr_3y_pct": -43.7235175636655 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 2305705.615417157, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.455769046546056, "cagr_3y_pct": -30.496686221709147 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 9878259.34130881, "yoy_growth_pct": 328.4267373622022, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.3360135806716142 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 7198536.834297499, "yoy_growth_pct": -27.12747675904067, "cagr_3y_pct": 42.9395665993624 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 8237598.060818035, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.434339233633132, "cagr_3y_pct": 52.87351337270885 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 18740228.381801106, "yoy_growth_pct": 127.49627067796152, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.79358834129657 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 32730530.11203596, "yoy_growth_pct": 74.65384863623663, "cagr_3y_pct": 65.6670997567236 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 33351920.303291634, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.8985032907461896, "cagr_3y_pct": 59.3822972727962 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 62111250.505633086, "yoy_growth_pct": 86.22990802572492, "cagr_3y_pct": 49.09570444847902 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 90734050.91841705, "yoy_growth_pct": 46.083117277099525, "cagr_3y_pct": 40.47717140036702 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 67855517.13035928, "yoy_growth_pct": -25.214937012598348, "cagr_3y_pct": 26.71307787112225 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 76314061.82364978, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.46552240850296, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.105415945784976 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 103147499.21790488, "yoy_growth_pct": 35.16185189600196, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.3669040600508024 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 116083392.20689693, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.541160073754432, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.599209365258254 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 97658299.2556469, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.872290256999689, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.567922892733183 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 67438504.68093254, "yoy_growth_pct": -30.944420295100482, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.207324490171334 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 40632681.9077906, "yoy_growth_pct": -39.74854261666477, "cagr_3y_pct": -29.524992207940848 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 39894616.81025554, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.8164321498885583, "cagr_3y_pct": -25.800374420334883 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 69724659.44393241, "yoy_growth_pct": 74.77209964329971, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.1174610816434338 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 79681644.68808708, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.280435822223492, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.16827501426939 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 94185026.13782543, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.201659248515355, "cagr_3y_pct": 33.15450206299475 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 72822987.00508624, "yoy_growth_pct": -22.680929239727654, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.459806321453705 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 129661946.07719749, "yoy_growth_pct": 78.05084824128595, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.620967834392467 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 108345269.75218956, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.44019465226637, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.779429830494308 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 122274290.96276331, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.856141520928976, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.856304102626687 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 135418151.142041, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.749487955142122, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.4584246776699672 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "hs_code": "250100", "hs_description": "Salt (including table salt and denatured salt): pure sodium chloride whether or not in aqueous solution: sea water", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 67427217.6307357, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.5751031159705033, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "hs_code": "080510", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: oranges, fresh or dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 56792319.025556035, "current_below_peak_pct": 65.3498662096339, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8935651761651698, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "hs_code": "271112", "hs_description": "Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons: liquefied, propane", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 78066520.92745975, "current_below_peak_pct": 10.809875617094121, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9106827293973103, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "hs_code": "080521", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: mandarins (including tangerines and satsumas), fresh or dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 90827685.24750638, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2506338942933384, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "hs_code": "700529", "hs_description": "Glass: float glass and surface ground or polished glass, in sheets, non-wired, (other than coloured throughout the mass (body tinted), opacified, flashed or merely surface ground)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 53017544.218020916, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6369428698818789, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "hs_code": "310210", "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: nitrogenous, urea, whether or not in aqueous solution", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 192640980.3065679, "current_below_peak_pct": 70.23820482156121, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6620374309495658, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "hs_code": "841370", "hs_description": "Pumps: centrifugal, n.e.c. in heading no. 8413, for liquids", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 105719377.40544519, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.1531492067157467, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "hs_code": "080550", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: lemons (Citrus limon, Citrus limonum), limes (Citrus aurantifolia , Citrus latifolia), fresh or dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 46150150.08259634, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6017450601612933, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "hs_code": "310520", "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: containing the three fertilizing elements nitrogen, phosphorus and potassium", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 311910961.52455753, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.46892046837631174, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "hs_code": "310530", "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: diammonium hydrogenorthophosphate (diammonium phosphate)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 40793140.83683301, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8054619914283975, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "distance_km": 2267, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 200085.537744, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4566.642520459455, "importer_population": 43814.583, "importer_biz_entry_days": 6.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.5, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 404142.76609299995, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3876.3597052739883, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.74256830099617, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 6.74256830099617, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EGY-UKR/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EGY-UKR/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EGY-UKR/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EGY-UKR/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EGY-UKR/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }