{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:17.909Z", "seo": { "title": "Egypt exports to Chad: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Egypt to Chad, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "EGY", "country_name": "Egypt" }, "importer": { "iso3": "TCD", "country_name": "Chad" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "all_history_lane_count": 16, "current_lane_count": 7, "current_product_count": 7, "first_observed_last_year": 2000, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 18594853.535, "attention_trade_usd": 17997878.235, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 9098662.079, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 236815, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 18594853.535, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 5, "high_volatility_lane_count": 3, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 7, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.001388766102741, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 2.7488930456734195, "product_concentration_hhi": 2566.4377722873423, "top1_product_share_pct": 38.52930028469836, "top3_product_share_pct": 77.93345707038397, "top_product_hs6": "170199", "top_product_trade_usd": 7164466.955999997, "top_product_description": "Sugars: sucrose, chemically pure, in solid form, not containing added flavouring or colouring matter", "top_attention_product_hs6": "170199", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 2603.49267578125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.2574000060558319, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 58, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 11779.980802, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 696, "buyer_population_latest": 16914.986, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.541022538450768, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.4827542743241162, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 3.998973316349397, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 32.208000000000006, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 24.294, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 96.7895670763077, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 11779.980802, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 696, "buyer_population_2024": 16914.986 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 72548.92832284403, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 82045.65820007204, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.090103598729108, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 365700.2404942333, "yoy_growth_pct": 345.7277185862252, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 424607.7093946696, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.108129658548908, "cagr_3y_pct": 80.21279589961527 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 121843.99999999999, "yoy_growth_pct": -71.30433637822932, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.090508253288903 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 559614.5629999998, "yoy_growth_pct": 359.28774744755583, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.235932519697393 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 103874.24299999997, "yoy_growth_pct": -81.43825234941214, "cagr_3y_pct": -37.457774339543256 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 90204.22200000002, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.160164257466555, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.536322397733077 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 595466.294423834, "yoy_growth_pct": 560.1312901117132, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.091454682363314 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 360417.92499999993, "yoy_growth_pct": -39.47299311899156, "cagr_3y_pct": 51.39080678219414 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 470377.0176970662, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.508774694562234, "cagr_3y_pct": 73.4095760083727 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 565141.884, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.146576626319046, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.7271758153626804 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 925366.7409999998, "yoy_growth_pct": 63.740605182255415, "cagr_3y_pct": 36.93122752468947 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 2288103.353999999, "yoy_growth_pct": 147.26449013364737, "cagr_3y_pct": 69.43762207499047 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 6566422.672999999, "yoy_growth_pct": 186.9810343803203, "cagr_3y_pct": 126.4942145407713 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 13946445.999999998, "yoy_growth_pct": 112.39031805469035, "cagr_3y_pct": 147.01114819751396 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 5555484.069793428, "yoy_growth_pct": -60.16559294179012, "cagr_3y_pct": 34.40499930566763 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 6855466.268343363, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.399980671680186, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.446263279231852 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 6438796.8908275375, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.077914487594938, "cagr_3y_pct": -22.711705248663428 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 7632981.6420668345, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.546706341063302, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.170810113369868 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 8415576.402697314, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.252805487143423, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.073571642796406 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 5554056.452665943, "yoy_growth_pct": -34.00266141145379, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.807692443814371 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 6784721.216031449, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.157944807615127, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.8507436120823413 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 21257567.671029307, "yoy_growth_pct": 213.315271094711, "cagr_3y_pct": 36.18937736527468 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 5153690.635, "yoy_growth_pct": -75.75597210952944, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.4630093833073907 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 6585631.3500000015, "yoy_growth_pct": 27.78476273440502, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.9878548924670771 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 8045016.860001666, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.16014581505028, "cagr_3y_pct": -27.66678042682633 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 7317063.150594281, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.048504460278206, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.393057563971821 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 15114080.939825378, "yoy_growth_pct": 106.55938904392039, "cagr_3y_pct": 31.905055959066964 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 29482534.41466667, "yoy_growth_pct": 95.06667016041068, "cagr_3y_pct": 54.17452480513041 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "hs_code": "170199", "hs_description": "Sugars: sucrose, chemically pure, in solid form, not containing added flavouring or colouring matter", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12325352.162370166, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "hs_code": "110100", "hs_description": "Wheat or meslin flour", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17421315.176300563, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.0761714961868485, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "hs_code": "300490", "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 53046596.44299666, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.481819184633807, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "hs_code": "190219", "hs_description": "Food preparations: pasta, uncooked (excluding that containing eggs), not stuffed or otherwise prepared", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12809708.688454788, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5939054760851374, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "hs_code": "200990", "hs_description": "Juices: mixtures of fruits or vegetables (but not nut juice), unfermented, not containing added spirit, whether or not containing added sugar or other sweetening matter", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14778786.490814596, "current_below_peak_pct": 14.071074004560513, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7750230336861911, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "hs_code": "170490", "hs_description": "Sugar confectionery: (excluding chewing gum, including white chocolate), not containing cocoa", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12197685.0601656, "current_below_peak_pct": 15.601850561924682, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9571928197557003, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "hs_code": "330290", "hs_description": "Odoriferous substances and mixtures: used as raw materials in industries other than the food or drink industries", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11579691.767457034, "current_below_peak_pct": 89.04128545990415, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8792512535363658, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "EGY", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "distance_km": 2596, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "shares_ethnic_language": 1, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 11779.980801999998, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 696.42273437294, "importer_population": 16914.986, "importer_biz_entry_days": 58, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 169.3, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 404142.76609299995, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3876.3597052739883, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EGY-TCD/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EGY-TCD/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EGY-TCD/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EGY-TCD/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EGY-TCD/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }