{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:17.978Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Egypt exports to Lithuania: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Egypt to Lithuania, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "EGY",
    "country_name": "Egypt"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "LTU",
    "country_name": "Lithuania"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
    "importer_iso3": "LTU",
    "all_history_lane_count": 67,
    "current_lane_count": 32,
    "current_product_count": 32,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 79476905.03100981,
    "attention_trade_usd": 3635661.0426471946,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 2342318.64119128,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 3987386.1458436437,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 3648146.797018124,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 2,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 4,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 6,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 6,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.5747695882227251,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 6.621837471842384,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 2570.238383626617,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 45.03267376883897,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 73.25192555345018,
    "top_product_hs6": "721420",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 35790575.36418461,
    "top_product_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: bars and rods, hot-rolled, hot-drawn or hot-extruded, containing indentations, ribs, grooves or other deformations produced during the rolling process or twisted after rolling",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "310530",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 2782.399658203125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 3.681487642203065,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 3.681487642203065,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 5.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 65503.849705,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 23433,
    "buyer_population_latest": 2795.321,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 9.014668841947326,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 8.425656534698645,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.5432407108000303,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.136,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 21.744,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 4.5744874454140545,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 65503.849705,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 23433,
    "buyer_population_2024": 2795.321
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 97986.05511015838,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 8824.76929515617,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -90.99385184429035,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 61214.64742145331,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 593.6685297263627,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 43227.72440752499,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -29.383364556674085,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -23.874054414544855
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 119715.10952251813,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 176.94057728765938,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 138.4964224910155
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 321992.5594940378,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 168.96568092223293,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 73.91224497157735
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 345102.97679525474,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.177314077546204,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 99.8613318398046
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 429231.87710634706,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 24.37791209231004,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 53.05505113722469
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 909431.2740376204,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 111.87412271626287,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 41.35397189552796
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 1930090.0929110812,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 112.23045083352163,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 77.50460537614714
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 1832036.7799507235,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.08024538960602,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 62.21116381877447
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 2658017.2333452795,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 45.085364138637686,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 42.97583311012427
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 3964626.373894374,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 49.15728627179161,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 27.11834443318464
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 5791390.3337828,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 46.07657286237623,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 46.76287684472869
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 9142341.906205796,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 57.86091731506955,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 50.950036447750556
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 5748702.096737291,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -37.12002727840349,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.185079264384347
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 13722910.456165962,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 138.71319517416777,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 33.31769537610669
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 16425940.2890472,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 19.69720520668934,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.569396354423766
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 14545619.881649153,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.447261918100615,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 36.26599030923421
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 13258221.357652644,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.850764247048005,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.1417286511616997
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 10832018.107020319,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -18.29961338842726,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -12.958497494711896
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 9333436.548304243,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.834740155620985,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.747879339761383
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 17098646.941818766,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 83.19776272465637,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.8492630609305
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 23176221.933849752,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 35.54418669916417,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 28.85791143183505
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 15947846.74672664,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -31.188755474272522,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.55107659128079
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 14358897.234857146,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.963410967663277,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.654806230330777
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 30203446.993658405,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 110.34656422178158,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.228999664830372
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 101703433.75902143,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 236.72790321043604,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 85.44331726514069
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 69032287.36625457,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -32.123936415144705,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 68.77588431211173
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 96156672.51640236,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 39.29231695052764,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 47.10958559274181
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "hs_code": "721420",
      "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: bars and rods, hot-rolled, hot-drawn or hot-extruded, containing indentations, ribs, grooves or other deformations produced during the rolling process or twisted after rolling",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 170235179.03630346,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5623922407584904,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "hs_code": "721391",
      "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: bars and rods, hot-rolled, in irregularly wound coils, n.e.s. in heading no. 7213, of circular cross-section measuring less than 14mm in diameter",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 61980215.59074636,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7310087120432929,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "hs_code": "854449",
      "hs_description": "Insulated electric conductors: for a voltage not exceeding 80 volts, not fitted with connectors",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 154522952.16982457,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.2677413642640556,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "hs_code": "080510",
      "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: oranges, fresh or dried",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14444168.22517851,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 38.123431755588186,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6530592643651866,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "hs_code": "250100",
      "hs_description": "Salt (including table salt and denatured salt): pure sodium chloride whether or not in aqueous solution: sea water",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 29258437.864486217,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.40878495273535215,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "hs_code": "310530",
      "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: diammonium hydrogenorthophosphate (diammonium phosphate)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 36918208.3297503,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 61.50173162507401,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.444061375977524,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "hs_code": "854460",
      "hs_description": "Insulated electric conductors: for a voltage exceeding 1000 volts",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 40809092.39282811,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6602020934431073,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "hs_code": "390761",
      "hs_description": "Poly(ethylene terephthalate): in primary forms, having a viscosity of 78ml/g or higher",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 76731562.22328739,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 68.42408605833667,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2438985235133,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "hs_code": "721310",
      "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: bars and rods, hot-rolled, in irregularly wound coils, containing indentations, ribs, grooves or other deformations produced during the rolling process",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15205747.271222237,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "hs_code": "390120",
      "hs_description": "Ethylene polymers: in primary forms, polyethylene having a specific gravity of 0.94 or more",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 63988912.20574593,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.85790802741853,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
    "importer_iso3": "LTU",
    "distance_km": 2779,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": null,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 1,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 65503.84970499999,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 23433.3909075201,
    "importer_population": 2795.321,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 5.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.5,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 404142.76609299995,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3876.3597052739883,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 3.681487642203065,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 3.681487642203065,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EGY-LTU/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EGY-LTU/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EGY-LTU/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EGY-LTU/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EGY-LTU/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}