{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:15.216Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Egypt exports to India: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Egypt to India, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "EGY",
    "country_name": "Egypt"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "IND",
    "country_name": "India"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
    "importer_iso3": "IND",
    "all_history_lane_count": 348,
    "current_lane_count": 113,
    "current_product_count": 113,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 501007649.06571513,
    "attention_trade_usd": 289862519.73530805,
    "critical_trade_usd": 13163477.099726826,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 201797476.55856976,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 71090027.20710549,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 289163590.4765221,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 1,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 16,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 59,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 46,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 63,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.0630127482965746,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 21.449881560064306,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 1386.873834119111,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 26.599143396676762,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 58.48665121558073,
    "top_product_hs6": "251010",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 133263743.00330864,
    "top_product_description": "Natural calcium phosphates, natural aluminium calcium phosphates and phosphatic chalk: unground",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "251010",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
    "distance_km": 4432.62451171875,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 51.904826222828284,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 53.23102001373737,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 10.278314765656566,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 42.95270524808081,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 17.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 3173397.590817,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 2277,
    "buyer_population_latest": 1393409.058,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.63597808578098,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.710094876388561,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.8758701905197341,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 35.896,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 30.939999999999998,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 57.85590704570021,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 2.6274004247787897,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 3173397.590817,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 2277,
    "buyer_population_2024": 1393409.058
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 62180144.55871047,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 44716667.6386026,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -28.08529482207759,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 142539281.74154097,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 218.7609660306864,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 156780883.5912749,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.9913523316032,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 36.106999536842885
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 382439326.10486007,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 143.9323706720986,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 104.50206803024984
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 309234378.91913074,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -19.141584609334195,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 29.454673812387334
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 343289525.96327853,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.012729943928301,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 29.854144408903416
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 751509988.7253368,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 118.91433670065581,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.253750156752687
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 958289199.4628261,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 27.515164647141276,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 45.79286631680159
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 671657091.8489991,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -29.910814791035946,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.072649696393512
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 1157594653.1979344,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 72.34905538050702,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.488990437020057
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 1506396597.0660217,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 30.131613246873435,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.273544254694983
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 1783890897.7895632,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.42106529343013,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 38.48632639019818
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 1828905318.2202873,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.5233841647211763,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.469328135732052
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 1570980040.8782759,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -14.102713506951758,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.409143298266624
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 1277859302.4046273,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -18.658463560732173,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.524338790803977
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 2487349566.7955008,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 94.64972099157556,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.793734307278168
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 2243204721.356522,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.815461754879717,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.607179566466375
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 2177718478.882715,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.9193163624497753,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.446354370531903
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 1828893016.1217906,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -16.017931892642544,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.742390751003638
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 1232190368.4499834,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -32.62643809188626,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -18.10269075819172
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 846758490.3959364,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -31.280221621833938,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -27.011807651998332
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 1040360483.1364907,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 22.86389743196171,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -17.14249556991834
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 1422840112.729362,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 36.76414433194994,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.912224787650832
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 1720874858.895946,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 20.946467807607625,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.666929563922448
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 1528949134.806275,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.1527995831611,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.693699057989118
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 2473994836.6692967,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 61.810146613069875,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.248840171618255
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 2308937041.855859,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.671711370087285,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.294604343098746
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 1259477602.566284,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -45.45205955230589,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.258376568203616
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 613769849.0399156,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -51.2679028361194,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -37.16490821830377
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "251010",
      "hs_description": "Natural calcium phosphates, natural aluminium calcium phosphates and phosphatic chalk: unground",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1238749359.3701296,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8734227303065248,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "520100",
      "hs_description": "Cotton: not carded or combed",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 988593873.325769,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 20.6783520241282,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6213284806239034,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "080510",
      "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: oranges, fresh or dried",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 67965734.50701557,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 22.843339199277626,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0605244932127436,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "283650",
      "hs_description": "Carbonates: calcium carbonate",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 71463128.67434826,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 27.530338920813673,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.146383757503124,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "310530",
      "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: diammonium hydrogenorthophosphate (diammonium phosphate)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2720463788.0554085,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 65.51188372507862,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8036002204077806,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "530129",
      "hs_description": "Flax: hackled or otherwise processed, but not spun",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 123815612.66980845,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 3.589451818090532,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "271012",
      "hs_description": "",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2174626560.3870435,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 90.26831100133909,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5787015352719533,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "530121",
      "hs_description": "Flax: broken or scutched, but not spun",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 143196478.82787588,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8177384775810552,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "382499",
      "hs_description": "Chemical products, mixtures and preparations: n.e.c. heading 3824",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1731422011.0465543,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6993812396105452,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "251020",
      "hs_description": "Natural calcium phosphates, natural aluminium calcium phosphates and phosphatic chalk: ground",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 304452055.18904847,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 76.71891844839176,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1679742327735185,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
    "importer_iso3": "IND",
    "distance_km": 4437,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 1,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 3173397.5908170003,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2277.434305882774,
    "importer_population": 1393409.058,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 17.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 7.2,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 404142.76609299995,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3876.3597052739883,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 51.904826222828284,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 53.23102001373737,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 10.278314765656566,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 42.95270524808081
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EGY-IND/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EGY-IND/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EGY-IND/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EGY-IND/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EGY-IND/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}