{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:20.758Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Egypt exports to Honduras: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Egypt to Honduras, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "EGY",
    "country_name": "Egypt"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "HND",
    "country_name": "Honduras"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
    "importer_iso3": "HND",
    "all_history_lane_count": 14,
    "current_lane_count": 2,
    "current_product_count": 2,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1998,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 467275.35802638246,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 0,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 416344.10386758065,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 467275.35802638246,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 0,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 2,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.7691904966268427,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 4.997829717733701,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 8057.678904107577,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 89.10037662291487,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "520100",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 416344.10386758065,
    "top_product_description": "Cotton: not carded or combed",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 11817.0048828125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.772604024242424,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.772604024242424,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 42,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 28488.668302000002,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 2831,
    "buyer_population_latest": 10062.994,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 8.313320948476278,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 6.487754088318409,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.7143444105730765,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 26.909999999999997,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 7.446000000000001,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 28488.668302000002,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 2831,
    "buyer_population_2024": 10062.994
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "HND",
      "export_value_usd": 4126.870394698542,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "HND",
      "export_value_usd": 102137.60124344224,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2374.9408504480825,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "HND",
      "export_value_usd": 66276.89099255175,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -35.110194300938645,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "HND",
      "export_value_usd": 6600.302777145318,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -90.04132107239752,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.944825316432667
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "HND",
      "export_value_usd": 9667.841951913626,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 46.47573419495525,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -54.426264301726036
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "HND",
      "export_value_usd": 50092.51710303024,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 418.13545724250343,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.91009639976945
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "HND",
      "export_value_usd": 558480.5680632176,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1014.898193106438,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 339.01706576229947
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "HND",
      "export_value_usd": 146203.31747513154,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -73.82123464346176,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 147.29152250580583
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "HND",
      "export_value_usd": 98462.51053158974,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -32.653709757073244,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.265848147949676
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "HND",
      "export_value_usd": 195032.76002934334,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 98.07819136073212,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -29.57938179028815
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "HND",
      "export_value_usd": 41127.529131685136,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -78.91250212246528,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -34.47729818864346
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "HND",
      "export_value_usd": 70657.06145667259,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 71.7999183234121,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.471449000918042
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "HND",
      "export_value_usd": 154200.49765532964,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 118.23791490378706,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.531729202032389
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "HND",
      "export_value_usd": 861072.8032703536,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 458.41117010856306,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 175.61472590399427
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "HND",
      "export_value_usd": 215215.74277348077,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -75.00609217291597,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 44.95709874458094
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "HND",
      "export_value_usd": 240803.98922048302,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.889579320381994,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.018158360218358
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "HND",
      "export_value_usd": 53345.59919546408,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -77.84687896236628,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -60.431197379137046
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "HND",
      "export_value_usd": 472666.22322619625,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 786.0453914751165,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 29.98508149662873
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "HND",
      "export_value_usd": 398185.38603152963,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.757596700330234,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.25165105372171
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "HND",
      "export_value_usd": 712535.6399880912,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 78.94570342962568,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 137.26626739701646
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "HND",
      "export_value_usd": 364962.7332321598,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -48.77972233946648,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.258750558831785
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "HND",
      "export_value_usd": 930875.5656546247,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 155.06044340764979,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 32.719714259556135
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "HND",
      "export_value_usd": 1286858.923567628,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 38.24177699440023,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.7796669965163
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "HND",
      "export_value_usd": 797370.0444413963,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -38.037493478243555,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 29.758893019091893
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "HND",
      "export_value_usd": 6042075.047433771,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 657.7504434175971,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 86.53693139292069
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "HND",
      "export_value_usd": 2619466.7598373406,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -56.64623925931047,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.73424573113614
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "HND",
      "export_value_usd": 1932452.9099138556,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -26.227240614656477,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 34.322778871112504
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "HND",
      "export_value_usd": 3070246.697734448,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 58.87821545267631,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -20.201317841175936
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "HND",
      "hs_code": "520100",
      "hs_description": "Cotton: not carded or combed",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 145783555.39562324,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7505280635436616,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "HND",
      "hs_code": "382499",
      "hs_description": "Chemical products, mixtures and preparations: n.e.c. heading 3824",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 21402774.112598605,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 45.8532331331825,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9217489620787075,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
    "importer_iso3": "HND",
    "distance_km": 11820,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 28488.668302000002,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2831.033020788843,
    "importer_population": 10062.994,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 42,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 28.1,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 404142.76609299995,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3876.3597052739883,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.772604024242424,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.772604024242424,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EGY-HND/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EGY-HND/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EGY-HND/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EGY-HND/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EGY-HND/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}