{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:15.215Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Egypt exports to Hong Kong: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Egypt to Hong Kong, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "EGY",
    "country_name": "Egypt"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "HKG",
    "country_name": "Hong Kong"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
    "importer_iso3": "HKG",
    "all_history_lane_count": 95,
    "current_lane_count": 26,
    "current_product_count": 26,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 31516989.136814304,
    "attention_trade_usd": 27441015.509212192,
    "critical_trade_usd": 13790570.837117607,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 29552002.674285755,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 18159266.25260172,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 17895034.979171295,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 31516989.136814304,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 1,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 4,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 16,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 12,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 14,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 26,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.4583992731554551,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 46.5133547056504,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 2536.243623323483,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 43.75599070473754,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 73.38890727519313,
    "top_product_hs6": "870210",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 13790570.837117607,
    "top_product_description": "Vehicles: public transport type (carries 10 or more passengers), compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel)",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "870210",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 8148.943359375,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 1.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 368139.247671,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 49661,
    "buyer_population_latest": 7413.1,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 2.303516880397938,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.259425330431597,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.04311734573498871,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.188,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 22.356,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 87.06737623347067,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 43.75599070473754,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Critical attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 368139.247671,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 49661,
    "buyer_population_2024": 7413.1
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 11506790.756519921,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 15742743.861300658,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 36.812636941195635,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 22990938.526937656,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 46.04149524057717,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 27135091.71094142,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.025158821368727,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 33.10438382779124
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 26032118.769338757,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.064747425039739,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.252327058976746
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 15940020.88707443,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -38.76786969084913,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.493045856117135
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 18829397.173816033,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.126552701600062,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.467708052466563
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 29227872.463799585,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 55.22468507087186,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.9351775296189384
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 31783439.262217633,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.743595010493044,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.86471632130096
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 52205258.65903479,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 64.2530194052771,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 40.48370266575865
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 103277754.14395346,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 97.83017419468321,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 52.312843940812016
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 60201360.94776758,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -41.709266001412026,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.72813681489834
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 89131832.60265373,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 48.056175474150905,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.519709261618566
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 142928268.9193013,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 60.356030775749915,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.438976874852624
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 175585972.38489398,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 22.84901630203857,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 42.876620523708155
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 183111522.69167092,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.285963283149141,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 27.12401846144217
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 105811820.81331004,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -42.214548130059846,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.536785041125507
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 127191650.10596053,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 20.205520638731066,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.190365653222877
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 86683174.7559812,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -31.84837630161462,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -22.063712984717597
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 55763020.947975084,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -35.67030614078035,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -19.226165186862943
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 41737276.63647811,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -25.152411173315905,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -31.025509347395563
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 33618232.28495612,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -19.45274106462902,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -27.074398223600827
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 43780057.05698769,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 30.227124037627952,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.747811745993227
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 43942669.517255455,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.37143044390302027,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.7311864744921523
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 50813731.24710918,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.636423106146502,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.76304712869847
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 80074252.8973019,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 57.583887134557465,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 22.294105279612086
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 63427529.49232673,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -20.78910861188451,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.013533288910839
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 58057298.44017668,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.466719569772497,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.542266693655117
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 42557935.092424594,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -26.696666507352074,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -18.997973494422794
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 37672331.277486876,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.479889248215347,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -15.94151335921027
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "hs_code": "870210",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: public transport type (carries 10 or more passengers), compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 85446488.57510245,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 64.44885249928417,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3211128635112137,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "hs_code": "847990",
      "hs_description": "Machines and mechanical appliances: parts, of those having individual functions",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 160061825.61432964,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.9959742023868907,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "hs_code": "030819",
      "hs_description": "Aquatic invertebrates: sea cucumbers (Stichopus japonicus, Holothuroidea), dried, salted or in brine, smoked, whether or not cooked before or during the smoking process",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 95693567.23126625,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 37.823455663413505,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.251209790825325,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "hs_code": "080550",
      "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: lemons (Citrus limon, Citrus limonum), limes (Citrus aurantifolia , Citrus latifolia), fresh or dried",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 28954011.18900311,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 45.7252879470836,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3585648316231,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "hs_code": "080510",
      "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: oranges, fresh or dried",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 128125582.71046449,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 91.26577348942065,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2228077529983856,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "hs_code": "080610",
      "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: grapes, fresh",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 94000761.65050583,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 64.92549533752349,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8828133019936782,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "hs_code": "610990",
      "hs_description": "T-shirts, singlets and other vests: of textile materials (other than cotton), knitted or crocheted",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 138093010.75444728,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 67.99272169021715,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 3.0379899241742008,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "hs_code": "081090",
      "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: fruits n.e.c. in heading no. 0801 to 0810, fresh",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 98221746.71450709,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 64.93886377555867,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9652832768914592,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "hs_code": "620331",
      "hs_description": "Jackets and blazers: men's or boys', of wool or fine animal hair (not knitted or crocheted)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 21796844.882676516,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 37.7895262734988,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.776950805111599,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "hs_code": "620341",
      "hs_description": "Trousers, bib and brace overalls, breeches and shorts: men's or boys', of wool or fine animal hair (not knitted or crocheted)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11749269.916305346,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 5.142937867258201,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1036568659290567,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
    "importer_iso3": "HKG",
    "distance_km": 8159,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 1,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 368139.247671,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 49660.63423817296,
    "importer_population": 7413.1,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 1.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.5,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 404142.76609299995,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3876.3597052739883,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EGY-HKG/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EGY-HKG/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EGY-HKG/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EGY-HKG/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EGY-HKG/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}