{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:15.246Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Egypt exports to Germany: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Egypt to Germany, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "EGY",
    "country_name": "Egypt"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "DEU",
    "country_name": "Germany"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
    "importer_iso3": "DEU",
    "all_history_lane_count": 441,
    "current_lane_count": 291,
    "current_product_count": 291,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 1258081506.1654398,
    "attention_trade_usd": 130216536.68085673,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 437740183.16077346,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 297445388.23570246,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 13739039.72303873,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 123495124.46499164,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 29,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 187,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 114,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 7,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 58,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.0050486218454806,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 23.43167587696613,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 326.7372601921701,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 13.14991876424686,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 22.626345740667443,
    "top_product_hs6": "270900",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 165436696.0487687,
    "top_product_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "880510",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 3111.572509765625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.00989999994635582,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.4721304755123457,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.8782636827160495,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.2391513551859583,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.639112327530091,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 4223116.205969,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 50802,
    "buyer_population_latest": 83129.288,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.422772294996279,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.3176380750794765,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.10175824948728263,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.237999999999996,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 27.802,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 10.350405442152095,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "declining_buyer_demand",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 4223116.205969,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 50802,
    "buyer_population_2024": 83129.288
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 335582116.12539774,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 243531746.28796747,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -27.43005822248096,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 293839526.77265394,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 20.657586229106784,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 251105310.96772587,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -14.543385729719027,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.213968990439925
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 221121507.6089467,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.940728470945372,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.1666103489398245
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 224617368.2407558,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.5809681607234394,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.56530100540528
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 243770763.62415636,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.527121270012849,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.9832715084547416
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 222142048.88887998,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.872563064463023,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.15360713826324535
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 371932124.4543371,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 67.42986134983622,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.30600397678104
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 540119157.6777939,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 45.21981893072682,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 30.367495189329752
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 671405167.6032903,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 24.306860450933065,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 44.583245347201704
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 746101857.6314182,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.125426736700895,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.118310285660872
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 759615804.7578553,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.8112737541410961,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.038719562392664
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 1240472184.458928,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 63.302576998691684,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 22.70646652474426
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 865264016.0910853,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -30.247205303640236,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.063091029726929
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 973136330.4967467,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.466982608728493,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.607520303285776
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 1639195392.0135322,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 68.44457869297607,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.735689820792537
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 1249393369.1265767,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -23.78008288616136,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.027342842100765
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 1368352148.4440658,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.521323088232059,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.031821541488652
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 1441517723.2712047,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.346984320544568,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.193181056452511
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 1366375546.7655218,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.2127126356216085,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.028401435525452
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 967712930.4302754,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -29.176650393002035,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.905774833925685
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 1149771546.4806664,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.81328752830056,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.260690742256881
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 1161739274.2632964,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.0408787571115186,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.264475594043816
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 1207163015.9258516,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.909977278796939,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.648122365407728
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 926518350.7700375,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -23.24828224964873,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.943333833174259
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 1020402255.7350951,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.132978465783204,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.231890840556285
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 1166223101.494839,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.290525617732474,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.143497888821543
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 1216074480.6091373,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.274600550306373,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.4885530765368
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 1325131359.8523645,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.967944067751521,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.101111209577063
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "hs_code": "270900",
      "hs_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 38792530009.57262,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 76.26236172670379,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7333461235244265,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "hs_code": "854430",
      "hs_description": "Insulated electric conductors: ignition wiring sets and other wiring sets of a kind used in vehicles, aircraft or ships",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 6093561346.944844,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.897632393721371,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "hs_code": "620342",
      "hs_description": "Trousers, bib and brace overalls, breeches and shorts: men's or boys', of cotton (not knitted or crocheted)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2733442677.6433687,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9425720818106464,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "hs_code": "081110",
      "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: strawberries, uncooked or cooked by steaming or boiling in water, frozen, whether or not containing added sugar or other sweetening matter",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 125912163.24142666,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0.9305914989596764,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2801658057024365,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "hs_code": "271290",
      "hs_description": "Paraffin wax: containing by weight 0.75% or more of oil, obtained by synthesis or by other processes, whether or not coloured",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 189566693.11413726,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.637408113983455,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "hs_code": "080610",
      "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: grapes, fresh",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 962141993.6050917,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 5.6094849496087695,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8130890352215173,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "hs_code": "620462",
      "hs_description": "Trousers, bib and brace overalls, breeches and shorts: women's or girls', of cotton (not knitted or crocheted)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1784652071.537712,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9869400712790418,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "hs_code": "070190",
      "hs_description": "Vegetables: potatoes (other than seed), fresh or chilled",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 294277311.0410187,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 2.1002028764397993,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.3042174310540753,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "hs_code": "611020",
      "hs_description": "Jerseys, pullovers, cardigans, waistcoats and similar articles: of cotton, knitted or crocheted",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2345416149.838025,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7775588406854703,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "hs_code": "691010",
      "hs_description": "Ceramic sinks, wash basins, wash basin pedestals, baths, bidets, water closet pans, flushing cisterns, urinals and similar sanitary fixtures: of porcelain or china",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 265255581.407527,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 6.220655356219527,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1069862491237699,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
    "importer_iso3": "DEU",
    "distance_km": 2892,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 1,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 4223116.205968999,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 50801.7848771783,
    "importer_population": 83129.288,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 8,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6.5,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 404142.76609299995,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3876.3597052739883,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.4721304755123457,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.8782636827160495,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.2391513551859583,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.639112327530091
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EGY-DEU/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EGY-DEU/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EGY-DEU/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EGY-DEU/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EGY-DEU/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}