{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:17.973Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Egypt exports to Cuba: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Egypt to Cuba, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "EGY",
    "country_name": "Egypt"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "CUB",
    "country_name": "Cuba"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
    "importer_iso3": "CUB",
    "all_history_lane_count": 15,
    "current_lane_count": 11,
    "current_product_count": 11,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2015,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 5699729.433799056,
    "attention_trade_usd": 4193013.2088929345,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 4341674.517520296,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 2040229.2135965198,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 568304.2739383595,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 5699729.433799056,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 2,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 3,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 6,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 11,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.382491633599164,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 24.125914864475433,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 2927.0645771671943,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 40.378150062287915,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 86.24397384976457,
    "top_product_hs6": "300490",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 2301445.3039237764,
    "top_product_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "300490",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 10803.046875,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 11.87570508787879,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 11.87570508787879,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 107352,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 9478,
    "buyer_population_latest": 11317.498,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 0.7476068045427997,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 0.7953232349502848,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.4014356936967167,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": null,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": null,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 73.56512721513789,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 107352,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 9478,
    "buyer_population_2024": 11317.498
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "CUB",
      "export_value_usd": 327677.2562715918,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "CUB",
      "export_value_usd": 451154.5729418644,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 37.68260210526473,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "CUB",
      "export_value_usd": 916421.9879593148,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 103.12816114963877,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "CUB",
      "export_value_usd": 3180302.5042080753,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 247.0347226488925,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 113.30811484786132
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "CUB",
      "export_value_usd": 2037222.0550036284,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -35.942506968816936,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 65.28660848705098
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "CUB",
      "export_value_usd": 491353.49520835595,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -75.8812008734374,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -18.760698066471793
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "CUB",
      "export_value_usd": 962766.7018480793,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 95.94176315766778,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -32.854402404301275
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "CUB",
      "export_value_usd": 400121.32111266453,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -58.44046949851802,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -41.872125665957086
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "CUB",
      "export_value_usd": 2456799.077762362,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 514.0135374267113,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 70.99832785264952
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "CUB",
      "export_value_usd": 2375168.3186396,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.3226469295613126,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 35.12149555342854
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "CUB",
      "export_value_usd": 1689828.641466986,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -28.854362522195853,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 61.640551765837024
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "CUB",
      "export_value_usd": 665363.0349215859,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -60.625413808587936,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -35.3011825203365
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "CUB",
      "export_value_usd": 2484816.044316603,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 273.45267378874485,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.5157163572250942
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "CUB",
      "export_value_usd": 2900302.134624468,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.720999981394446,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.72923063682672
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "CUB",
      "export_value_usd": 2129683.401187197,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -26.570291565056248,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 47.37329449964047
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "CUB",
      "export_value_usd": 1183668.820788298,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -44.42043262728821,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -21.90102721094481
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "CUB",
      "export_value_usd": 17793046.314455673,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1403.2115404210685,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 83.0637504896975
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "CUB",
      "export_value_usd": 584108.4422124668,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -96.71720945424664,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -35.02801344947246
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "CUB",
      "export_value_usd": 479469.92243880284,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -17.91422828564464,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -26.009314049429676
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "CUB",
      "export_value_usd": 768452.0843916456,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 60.271176236237636,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -64.91494503461881
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "CUB",
      "export_value_usd": 479821.5824714202,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -37.55998685965219,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.345475078481311
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "CUB",
      "export_value_usd": 264563.7716474407,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -44.86205262282069,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -17.97938874319538
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "CUB",
      "export_value_usd": 528365.1521746675,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 99.71183086956069,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.738265506432422
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "CUB",
      "export_value_usd": 15047791.253257878,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2747.9908622519006,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 215.35350312092558
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "CUB",
      "export_value_usd": 11775683.408936882,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -21.744771636253112,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 254.3930931743084
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "CUB",
      "export_value_usd": 6777081.226702895,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -42.44851027873604,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 134.0828024295622
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "CUB",
      "export_value_usd": 18768095.98208424,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 176.93479470387095,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.642180326882442
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "CUB",
      "export_value_usd": 9523858.955541434,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -49.25506047799002,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.830103868142279
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "CUB",
      "export_value_usd": 7431635.966142488,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -21.96822736629873,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.1210308169906664
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "CUB",
      "export_value_usd": 12538215.596889872,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 68.71407122216777,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -12.581133194608707
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "CUB",
      "hs_code": "300490",
      "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18463392.78437238,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.0140209079830855,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "CUB",
      "hs_code": "390120",
      "hs_description": "Ethylene polymers: in primary forms, polyethylene having a specific gravity of 0.94 or more",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 32868266.0488751,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 63.13609289802711,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1797437240163622,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "CUB",
      "hs_code": "190219",
      "hs_description": "Food preparations: pasta, uncooked (excluding that containing eggs), not stuffed or otherwise prepared",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19169167.84206742,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.847789900337156,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "CUB",
      "hs_code": "220210",
      "hs_description": "Waters: including mineral and aerated, containing added sugar or other sweetening matter or flavoured",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 36598330.174795404,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8056844597940218,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "CUB",
      "hs_code": "401120",
      "hs_description": "Rubber: new pneumatic tyres, of a kind used on buses or lorries",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17593031.79334138,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 24.27817648766175,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.26100844439600135,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "CUB",
      "hs_code": "870210",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: public transport type (carries 10 or more passengers), compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16995672.339778632,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 92.7808994560335,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0823510011505721,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "CUB",
      "hs_code": "151219",
      "hs_description": "Vegetable oils: sunflower seed or safflower oil and their fractions, other than crude, whether or not refined, but not chemically modified",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 27142165.235714763,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "CUB",
      "hs_code": "190230",
      "hs_description": "Food preparations: pasta (excluding stuffed), cooked or otherwise prepared",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13216213.40771445,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "CUB",
      "hs_code": "110100",
      "hs_description": "Wheat or meslin flour",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 43032042.36435675,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.36540164463334285,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
      "importer_iso3": "CUB",
      "hs_code": "200290",
      "hs_description": "Vegetable preparations: tomatoes, (other than whole or in pieces), prepared or preserved otherwise than by vinegar or acetic acid",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10664455.838404097,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "EGY",
    "importer_iso3": "CUB",
    "distance_km": 10807,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 107352,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9485.488753786394,
    "importer_population": 11317.498,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": null,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 404142.76609299995,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3876.3597052739883,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 11.87570508787879,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 11.87570508787879,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EGY-CUB/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EGY-CUB/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EGY-CUB/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EGY-CUB/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EGY-CUB/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}