{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:15.175Z", "seo": { "title": "Ecuador exports to the United States: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Ecuador to the United States, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "ECU", "country_name": "Ecuador" }, "importer": { "iso3": "USA", "country_name": "United States" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "USA", "all_history_lane_count": 391, "current_lane_count": 263, "current_product_count": 263, "first_observed_last_year": 1998, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 7636452189.182165, "attention_trade_usd": 4078170694.4524317, "critical_trade_usd": 2908381425.73596, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 1420696614.516048, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 3175874471.3888865, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 7000417.295932914, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 5983500871.685859, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 2, "high_attention_lane_count": 45, "high_volatility_lane_count": 155, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 83, "declining_demand_lane_count": 2, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 131, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.788021837467279, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 34.64877061455561, "product_concentration_hhi": 1812.0002365725086, "top1_product_share_pct": 37.35899677023693, "top3_product_share_pct": 60.01636448406433, "top_product_hs6": "270900", "top_product_trade_usd": 2852901926.7172523, "top_product_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude", "top_attention_product_hs6": "270900", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 4584.07275390625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.15680000185966492, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.8957132223623032, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.674475463696968, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.576001655610909, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.09847380808606, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 4.2, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 22996100, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 69288, "buyer_population_latest": 331893.738, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.1023377268677015, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.47830267128826, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.5916240968762754, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.094, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 17.618, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 53.403996953318035, "critical_trade_share_pct": 38.08550559454804, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "declining_buyer_demand", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 22996100, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 69288, "buyer_population_2024": 331893.738 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 1923131413.7757056, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 1882112578.0115728, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.1329190231259343, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 2004513532.67252, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.503381152165844, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 1717013119.9943466, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.342652618306994, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.708441207737867 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 1808905580.7302136, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.351878775170316, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.3137225617973702 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 1992168861.383226, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.13116895681383, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.20570410130745787 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 1826194318.1453452, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.331349136871824, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.07619146465976 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 2148305575.0000253, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.638388952048167, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.899372228103439 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 2658691800.992362, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.757617721228087, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.098300770746938 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 3850299169.068182, "yoy_growth_pct": 44.819311799549325, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.22789004346116 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 5354044385.951381, "yoy_growth_pct": 39.05528248203951, "cagr_3y_pct": 35.57989833718849 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 6899449416.394072, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.864255113344228, "cagr_3y_pct": 37.419642029123864 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 6006290684.885425, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.94536241379457, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.97666703626064 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 8610700255.716537, "yoy_growth_pct": 43.36136406759332, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.161655967784494 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 4922444523.559821, "yoy_growth_pct": -42.83340056702275, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.644326662292535 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 6691395236.702266, "yoy_growth_pct": 35.936427615910894, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.6661043772704183 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 9488929646.11657, "yoy_growth_pct": 41.80793856070319, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.290311005641411 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 9887325662.233688, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.198534829269884, "cagr_3y_pct": 26.172876096874308 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 11088109428.70619, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.144677008658643, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.335106733193495 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 10790469591.399025, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.684315475247745, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.377696007991316 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 7298034134.784527, "yoy_growth_pct": -32.36592649682534, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.62624020731424 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 5722481434.565514, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.588727472641935, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.78745492654709 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 6063374026.907742, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.957076422880703, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.480230799622476 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 6553373269.693308, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.081296661084592, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.5239149557869442 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 6743000480.661254, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.893581719889138, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.622457052957741 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 5452997836.834028, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.13098846021024, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.4748862450481033 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 7376259446.089945, "yoy_growth_pct": 35.26980326793141, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.021655069887009 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 10073568978.011137, "yoy_growth_pct": 36.56744386005837, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.316799728286057 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 8130164689.521093, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.292112782789893, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.240827226550067 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 7756277093.032962, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.598770268086117, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.6886255530435434 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "270900", "hs_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 164969722936.03137, "current_below_peak_pct": 65.82465534965942, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6640999247901408, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "030617", "hs_description": "Crustaceans: frozen, shrimps and prawns, excluding cold-water varieties, in shell or not, smoked, cooked or not before or during smoking: in shell, cooked by steaming or by boiling in water", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 4646123379.330956, "current_below_peak_pct": 11.963374397573467, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7360371172943599, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "080390", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: bananas, other than plantains, fresh or dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2075963005.6340954, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.24003167187106886, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "710812", "hs_description": "Metals: gold, non-monetary, unwrought (but not powder)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 21528311466.103043, "current_below_peak_pct": 49.443717474592255, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.311269692074977, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "180100", "hs_description": "Cocoa beans: whole or broken, raw or roasted", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 797353213.1926153, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.784708337728261, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "060311", "hs_description": "Flowers, cut: roses, flowers and buds of a kind suitable for bouquets or ornamental purposes, fresh", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 852696764.5798739, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.506717177224929, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "271019", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 33676675741.516453, "current_below_peak_pct": 80.33401122867568, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4713975595834683, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "081090", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: fruits n.e.c. in heading no. 0801 to 0810, fresh", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 358549278.84625816, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.0977627065049345, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "060319", "hs_description": "Flowers, cut: flowers and buds of a kind suitable for bouquets or ornamental purposes, fresh, other than roses, carnations, orchids, or chrysanthemums", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1342289500.9732757, "current_below_peak_pct": 1.5164838890948227, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.48143800040266804, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "080310", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: plantains, fresh or dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 339980757.1774014, "current_below_peak_pct": 5.223388296413277, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.3490180169962547, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "USA", "distance_km": 4786, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 1, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 22996100, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 69287.53804930179, "importer_population": 331893.738, "importer_biz_entry_days": 4.2, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 106165.866, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5934.8754958080835, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.8957132223623032, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.674475463696968, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.576001655610909, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.09847380808606 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ECU-USA/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ECU-USA/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ECU-USA/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ECU-USA/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ECU-USA/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }