{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:15.244Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Ecuador exports to Türkiye: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Ecuador to Türkiye, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "ECU",
    "country_name": "Ecuador"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "TUR",
    "country_name": "Türkiye"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
    "importer_iso3": "TUR",
    "all_history_lane_count": 52,
    "current_lane_count": 13,
    "current_product_count": 13,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1996,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 142541575.69087043,
    "attention_trade_usd": 137175338.16273355,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 25392511.654935464,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 5425555.582401586,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 133678130.99330795,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 142541575.69087043,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 5,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 6,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 5,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 9,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 13,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.1205861693514199,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 40.279099226697966,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 6235.467488600029,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 78.17284477840009,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 92.713887321803,
    "top_product_hs6": "080390",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 111428804.70950983,
    "top_product_description": "Fruit, edible: bananas, other than plantains, fresh or dried",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "080390",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
    "distance_km": 11489.505859375,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.962573311212124,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.772561373939395,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 4.555012832490909,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 5.217548541448485,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 7,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 815271.751724,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 9587,
    "buyer_population_latest": 85042.732,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 11.86543006803118,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 11.08568690227736,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.7019294631897877,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 27.79,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 23.340000000000003,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 96.23531765933707,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 815271.751724,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 9587,
    "buyer_population_2024": 85042.732
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 11773824.607261403,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 18063048.484454945,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 53.416999887315455,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 15916716.563989734,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.882445658673523,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 7682985.0813485235,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -51.730087983531426,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.26305079537019
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 11705970.085426023,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 52.36226494626204,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.46227892542623
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 17629894.034243103,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 50.60600621380698,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.466257344122492
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 10941935.806947751,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -37.935328563547344,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.509205422121482
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 14467452.743529677,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 32.22023048557225,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.315277808871468
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 8230388.384061907,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -43.11100557945275,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -22.4246859255943
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 11786851.36819868,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 43.21136279575626,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.510388991220802
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 24654466.429462027,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 109.169231538633,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.444964354726068
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 42122212.3015575,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 70.85022878946414,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 72.33108182877446
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 55978801.940905996,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 32.896158302768285,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 68.09002074081967
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 55382265.63697157,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.0656467863748853,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 30.965941722629033
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 34631292.997006804,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -37.46862357706079,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.318785723517251
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 43915499.02716379,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 26.808719013059722,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.771585890375244
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 85567807.14376238,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 94.84648709293886,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.605872214560911
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 103651966.83812286,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 21.134303072623204,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 44.11292962667015
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 192861845.79156142,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 86.06674979237101,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 63.760629428476555
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 189054801.73916915,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.9739747054514867,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 30.244413165260852
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 214727534.39816675,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 13.579518966366777,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 27.47843699545831
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 153001528.46490824,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -28.746199739247547,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.42725321077754
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 169830510.86332935,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.99922501903694,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.511400852759705
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 190737160.8909509,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.310302737325053,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.8721581427890617
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 203572447.66513222,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.72930577042592,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.986929072838869
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 232753146.7585559,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.334306743427593,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.077632607678556
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 186741249.08146203,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -19.768539466761258,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.7032619715608202
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 152087442.11787978,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -18.557124970533557,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.261529921674484
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 159151127.40010318,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.644489501472782,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.90091738783553
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 148351799.27450234,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.785580662869906,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.384391129461765
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "hs_code": "080390",
      "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: bananas, other than plantains, fresh or dried",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 145186831.0727407,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 47.00746023954139,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8625260193459882,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "hs_code": "180100",
      "hs_description": "Cocoa beans: whole or broken, raw or roasted",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 481182791.7544566,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.5521175323935377,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "hs_code": "060311",
      "hs_description": "Flowers, cut: roses, flowers and buds of a kind suitable for bouquets or ornamental purposes, fresh",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14373699.936358405,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 7.153452095454904,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.7010124598332093,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "hs_code": "210111",
      "hs_description": "Extracts, essences and concentrates: of coffee, and preparations with a basis of these extracts, essences or concentrates or with a basis of coffee",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 182172569.49447,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 20.333663354849023,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7360672130061409,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "hs_code": "442199",
      "hs_description": "Wood: not of bamboo, articles n.e.c. in heading no. 4414 to 4420 (excluding clothes hangers)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 26817163.497462105,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 64.08539168544648,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0009418251142257,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "hs_code": "230120",
      "hs_description": "Flours, meals and pellets: of fish or of crustaceans, molluscs or other aquatic invertebrates",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 246717524.63719472,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 64.70175797357702,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9622556690262155,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "hs_code": "200799",
      "hs_description": "Jams, fruit jellies, marmalades, purees and pastes: of fruit or nuts n.e.c. in heading no. 2007, cooked preparations (excluding homogenised), whether or not containing added sugar or other sweetening matter",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11132125.819017127,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 12.125128645282976,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3338129925539761,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "hs_code": "200899",
      "hs_description": "Fruit, nuts and other edible parts of plants: prepared or preserved, whether or not containing added sugar, other sweetening matter or spirit, n.e.s. in heading no. 2008",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 34589546.8999233,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 51.25311929852455,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7684374974855088,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "hs_code": "090411",
      "hs_description": "Spices: pepper (of the genus piper), neither crushed nor ground",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 21128745.53070589,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 52.85208394012354,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6155679357439309,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "hs_code": "850132",
      "hs_description": "Electric motors and generators: DC, of an output exceeding 750W but not exceeding 75kW",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 23682196.750689708,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6570238665660721,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
    "importer_iso3": "TUR",
    "distance_km": 11745,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 815271.751724,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9586.612900959013,
    "importer_population": 85042.732,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 7,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 106165.866,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5934.8754958080835,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.962573311212124,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.772561373939395,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 4.555012832490909,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 5.217548541448485
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ECU-TUR/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ECU-TUR/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ECU-TUR/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ECU-TUR/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ECU-TUR/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}