{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:20.787Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Ecuador exports to Togo: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Ecuador to Togo, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "ECU",
    "country_name": "Ecuador"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "TGO",
    "country_name": "Togo"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
    "importer_iso3": "TGO",
    "all_history_lane_count": 2,
    "current_lane_count": 1,
    "current_product_count": 1,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2018,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 29983.672541401636,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 29983.672541401636,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 0,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 29983.672541401636,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 0,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 1,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9743841167586696,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 97.37136873447216,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 10000,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "030354",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 29983.672541401636,
    "top_product_description": "Fish: frozen, mackerel (Scomber scombrus, Scomber australasicus, Scomber japonicus), excluding fillets, fish meat of 0304, and edible fish offal of subheadings 0303.91 to 0303.99",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 8896.6884765625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 2.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 8413.200568,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 992,
    "buyer_population_latest": 8478.242,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 8.780521833202549,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 6.26072900486625,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.3713302665379965,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 15.99,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": -33.566,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 8413.200568,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 992,
    "buyer_population_2024": 8478.242
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "TGO",
      "export_value_usd": 2785.080232341942,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "TGO",
      "export_value_usd": 656.4468640800458,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -76.42987600655056,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "TGO",
      "export_value_usd": 15088.50607699375,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2198.511410841912,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "TGO",
      "export_value_usd": 27246.527379406933,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 80.57803231395565,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 113.87391330339342
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "TGO",
      "export_value_usd": 35045.096722675175,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 28.62225058875738,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 276.5383613870593
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "TGO",
      "export_value_usd": 601.3923382453027,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -98.28394727226937,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -65.84109952651843
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "TGO",
      "export_value_usd": 198586.54505637183,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 32921.12987268723,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 93.88589714488387
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "TGO",
      "export_value_usd": 70983.65993644543,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -64.25555421375822,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.525202675216942
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "TGO",
      "export_value_usd": 2.5691357270169544,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -99.99638066601622,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -83.77406547288324
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "TGO",
      "export_value_usd": 53661.94817629586,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2088615.9682529974,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -35.349452795220735
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "TGO",
      "export_value_usd": 536323.3755958378,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 899.4482008626524,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 96.22580196934697
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "TGO",
      "export_value_usd": 2789.6722195263574,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -99.47985257654915,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 927.8317830837727
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "TGO",
      "export_value_usd": 842095.6454633852,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 30086.18601745118,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 150.36003025205628
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "TGO",
      "export_value_usd": 890743.3574217738,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.776981774038159,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.424607890598253
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "TGO",
      "export_value_usd": 1363488.0507467443,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 53.07305290418485,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 687.7094449815728
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "TGO",
      "export_value_usd": 684838.8251775429,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -49.77302332774565,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.658311953038265
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "TGO",
      "export_value_usd": 1045105.9777575037,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 52.606122686832556,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.471692009234852
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "TGO",
      "hs_code": "030354",
      "hs_description": "Fish: frozen, mackerel (Scomber scombrus, Scomber australasicus, Scomber japonicus), excluding fillets, fish meat of 0304, and edible fish offal of subheadings 0303.91 to 0303.99",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11484598.393455064,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 97.37136873447216,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9743841167586695,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
    "importer_iso3": "TGO",
    "distance_km": 9061,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 8413.200568,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 992.3284294078891,
    "importer_population": 8478.242,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 2.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 8.1,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 106165.866,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5934.8754958080835,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ECU-TGO/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ECU-TGO/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ECU-TGO/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ECU-TGO/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ECU-TGO/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}