{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:15.204Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Ecuador exports to Singapore: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Ecuador to Singapore, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "ECU",
    "country_name": "Ecuador"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "SGP",
    "country_name": "Singapore"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
    "importer_iso3": "SGP",
    "all_history_lane_count": 84,
    "current_lane_count": 10,
    "current_product_count": 10,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 43925180.972722575,
    "attention_trade_usd": 39682105.787846655,
    "critical_trade_usd": 30881062.863247316,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 40471387.62901403,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 31458311.04691292,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 3338960.1991114174,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 43925180.972722575,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 1,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 2,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 6,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 3,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 5,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 10,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.2937815791627936,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 62.49271244753335,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 5224.122753170302,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 70.30378060917809,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 90.76743523617444,
    "top_product_hs6": "270900",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 30881062.863247316,
    "top_product_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "270900",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 19747.404296875,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.3564984112044444,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0.3564984112044444,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 1.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 396986.899888,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 72794,
    "buyer_population_latest": 5453.566,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 7.791336242259628,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 6.573928477882984,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.1423129294040102,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 27.51,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 51.083999999999996,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 90.34022150640459,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 70.30378060917809,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Critical attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 396986.899888,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 72794,
    "buyer_population_2024": 5453.566
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "SGP",
      "export_value_usd": 1512195.9719360636,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "SGP",
      "export_value_usd": 602618.9541485617,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -60.14941414127502,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "SGP",
      "export_value_usd": 591411.40710224,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.8598065940618747,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "SGP",
      "export_value_usd": 397203.4340349192,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -32.8380499150141,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -35.957495732810806
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "SGP",
      "export_value_usd": 3371191.808603178,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 748.7317882319234,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 77.51983757952297
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "SGP",
      "export_value_usd": 1903935.0576865706,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -43.523383842242765,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 47.65703540815287
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "SGP",
      "export_value_usd": 10632703.228954596,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 458.45934376953795,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 199.14165997379612
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "SGP",
      "export_value_usd": 2774072.309156328,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -73.90999965463088,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.291690181782172
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "SGP",
      "export_value_usd": 3403786.4917573007,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 22.699991652073635,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.367775841229886
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "SGP",
      "export_value_usd": 3524611.6427490674,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.5497276719429927,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -30.792070007240934
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "SGP",
      "export_value_usd": 3358583.163009562,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.710546765657542,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.5809146886463
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "SGP",
      "export_value_usd": 8367061.509595202,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 149.12473812611026,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 34.95952791055048
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "SGP",
      "export_value_usd": 5073377.379447642,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -39.364884868725056,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.909018518214488
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "SGP",
      "export_value_usd": 8191600.582261793,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 61.46247301543424,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 34.608004856248996
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "SGP",
      "export_value_usd": 6982446.144042697,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -14.760905711606798,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.851903388287683
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "SGP",
      "export_value_usd": 33951984.19259087,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 386.24770592119955,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 88.44704450271408
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "SGP",
      "export_value_usd": 8663408.996212749,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -74.48334993598604,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.8841632825084886
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "SGP",
      "export_value_usd": 3855609.518772008,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -55.495469272459545,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -17.959465144578036
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "SGP",
      "export_value_usd": 3052672.9340686165,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -20.82515308653773,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -55.200650767441516
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "SGP",
      "export_value_usd": 120949321.60046242,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3862.0792732374584,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 140.78986671804955
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "SGP",
      "export_value_usd": 6674414.535417331,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -94.48164367761794,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.071529881018414
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "SGP",
      "export_value_usd": 21779923.502311468,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 226.3196103079569,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 92.51239247942978
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "SGP",
      "export_value_usd": 8082634.899686913,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -62.88951658241997,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -59.419582734324884
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "SGP",
      "export_value_usd": 11207786.455921693,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 38.665009554691565,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.859953794602525
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "SGP",
      "export_value_usd": 12019566.890996683,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.2430041227818265,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -17.97539338249242
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "SGP",
      "export_value_usd": 14963992.122317787,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 24.496932859757536,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 22.7905193893166
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "SGP",
      "export_value_usd": 49544435.75136859,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 231.09103069812767,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 64.11880510421204
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "SGP",
      "export_value_usd": 22847873.542653322,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -53.8840776039675,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.875567156296306
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "SGP",
      "export_value_usd": 14893844.000670752,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -34.81299704820964,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.15650462961617206
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "SGP",
      "export_value_usd": 44732897.73301526,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 200.3448789379068,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.3480289554000064
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "SGP",
      "hs_code": "270900",
      "hs_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 27133233591.719215,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 73.56567604051622,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.323025952224671,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "SGP",
      "hs_code": "030617",
      "hs_description": "Crustaceans: frozen, shrimps and prawns, excluding cold-water varieties, in shell or not, smoked, cooked or not before or during smoking: in shell, cooked by steaming or by boiling in water",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 80526203.02419072,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 49.600814310693295,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3690002923085045,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "SGP",
      "hs_code": "081090",
      "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: fruits n.e.c. in heading no. 0801 to 0810, fresh",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 33850960.40530071,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 36.159523713408376,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8969355987979079,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "SGP",
      "hs_code": "180100",
      "hs_description": "Cocoa beans: whole or broken, raw or roasted",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 530573143.2258203,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 1.8587327913322342,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4451747986340018,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "SGP",
      "hs_code": "060319",
      "hs_description": "Flowers, cut: flowers and buds of a kind suitable for bouquets or ornamental purposes, fresh, other than roses, carnations, orchids, or chrysanthemums",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19442040.122566618,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 6.890230675123889,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0139835072219925,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "SGP",
      "hs_code": "080390",
      "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: bananas, other than plantains, fresh or dried",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 27629667.771146715,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 85.36208165483283,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6856932545307671,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "SGP",
      "hs_code": "180310",
      "hs_description": "Cocoa: paste, not defatted",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 80724471.23960666,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 9.160504171568206,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.546736166233137,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "SGP",
      "hs_code": "060290",
      "hs_description": "Plants, live: n.e.s. in heading no. 0602",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 41484112.73166034,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 86.661229883314,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4357017631274631,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "SGP",
      "hs_code": "180620",
      "hs_description": "Chocolate & other food preparations containing cocoa: in blocks, slabs or bars weighing more than 2kg or in liquid, paste, powder, granular or other bulk form in containers or immediate packings, content exceeding 2kg",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10287836.705404066,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.949460958783721,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "SGP",
      "hs_code": "160521",
      "hs_description": "Crustacean preparations: shrimps and prawns, prepared or preserved, not in airtight containers",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 24235171.63305665,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0907236746048365,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
    "importer_iso3": "SGP",
    "distance_km": 19607,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 396986.89988800004,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 72794.00302260944,
    "importer_population": 5453.566,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 1.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.4,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 106165.866,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5934.8754958080835,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.3564984112044444,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0.3564984112044444,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ECU-SGP/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ECU-SGP/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ECU-SGP/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ECU-SGP/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ECU-SGP/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}