{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:15.244Z", "seo": { "title": "Ecuador exports to Saudi Arabia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Ecuador to Saudi Arabia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "ECU", "country_name": "Ecuador" }, "importer": { "iso3": "SAU", "country_name": "Saudi Arabia" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "all_history_lane_count": 40, "current_lane_count": 10, "current_product_count": 10, "first_observed_last_year": 1997, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 138685312.08457902, "attention_trade_usd": 138123421.9656872, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 45613370.88752764, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 5483803.251902708, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 133565682.46984866, "access_friction_trade_usd": 138685312.08457902, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 4, "high_volatility_lane_count": 5, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 4, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 8, "access_friction_lane_count": 10, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.037057172249815, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 27.387024014361618, "product_concentration_hhi": 5229.641979385083, "top1_product_share_pct": 66.8330637229307, "top3_product_share_pct": 97.82493796805086, "top_product_hs6": "080390", "top_product_trade_usd": 92687642.999832, "top_product_description": "Fruit, edible: bananas, other than plantains, fresh or dried", "top_attention_product_hs6": "080390", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 13552.533203125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 9.920948249898988, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.920948249898988, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 10.4, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 833541.2365690001, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 23586, "buyer_population_latest": 35340.679, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.8811275779533165, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.503293336407065, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 3.2635041192047964, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 26.332, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 43.605999999999995, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 99.59484525762241, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 833541.2365690001, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 23586, "buyer_population_2024": 35340.679 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 8172358.962848722, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 12887108.980200265, "yoy_growth_pct": 57.691421030141264, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 21940501.20559523, "yoy_growth_pct": 70.2515377134203, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 27641048.178362664, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.981844805412614, "cagr_3y_pct": 50.107488215690466 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 26963916.012266707, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.4497340394855738, "cagr_3y_pct": 27.901554101714265 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 29553921.702190384, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.605450813395965, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.439099806543695 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 24687915.147400714, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.46484214116676, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.6962269090327515 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 14202599.430196673, "yoy_growth_pct": -42.47145072640124, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.240251546212438 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 18178754.585763384, "yoy_growth_pct": 27.99596774596671, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.954826902889785 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 23705447.08096081, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.401931381622994, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.3445129898487673 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 22306397.72324454, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.901805407584682, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.23953599404149 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 19140223.99850989, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.194016281863908, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.7327918789847185 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 23602802.898200743, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.31518638464354, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.1445415885631296 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 13096686.927079573, "yoy_growth_pct": -44.51215398626262, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.264297500680016 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 16912386.392775524, "yoy_growth_pct": 29.13484522414871, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.040945807362917 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 13834312.577698227, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.20011525039518, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.311714991660452 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 14479398.863477835, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.662944271040459, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.402180073866967 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 17289999.635483783, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.41103217409996, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.7387823798574278 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 25864159.599350777, "yoy_growth_pct": 49.59028423731417, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.191363611965986 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 34640597.64454723, "yoy_growth_pct": 33.93281738571068, "cagr_3y_pct": 33.74522369698458 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 58614226.39419107, "yoy_growth_pct": 69.20674116434455, "cagr_3y_pct": 50.22285715792718 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 73132644.30361357, "yoy_growth_pct": 24.769443874911133, "cagr_3y_pct": 41.40701946028136 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 92127102.78871536, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.972612731252287, "cagr_3y_pct": 38.548133425830386 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 91608643.94614229, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.5627647314190631, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.049820312355312 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 104992653.7763201, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.609985754233424, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.81041894759911 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 101239992.19630046, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.574213475939403, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.194106821580389 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 108298166.29073311, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.971725245441673, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.7372999352697684 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 115355280.19974224, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.516374330904062, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.1872856551642847 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 146366260.15031862, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.88301731561802, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.074052615979559 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 139820996.228581, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.471839285239376, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.88893821593102 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "080390", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: bananas, other than plantains, fresh or dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 146543792.61753187, "current_below_peak_pct": 32.06304609541991, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.891308077889998, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "080310", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: plantains, fresh or dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 69659308.54301241, "current_below_peak_pct": 8.774536694473472, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3187041470699639, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "081090", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: fruits n.e.c. in heading no. 0801 to 0810, fresh", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 57303744.64405214, "current_below_peak_pct": 76.69551248695076, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4141818033926339, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "060311", "hs_description": "Flowers, cut: roses, flowers and buds of a kind suitable for bouquets or ornamental purposes, fresh", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 69462637.02560912, "current_below_peak_pct": 31.07687343579731, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4606555006556254, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "170410", "hs_description": "Sugar confectionery: chewing gum, whether or not sugar-coated, not containing cocoa", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19244476.57957823, "current_below_peak_pct": 68.22436833205097, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7812494710768975, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "080440", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: avocados, fresh or dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 26371284.19561127, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0288439285223046, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "060319", "hs_description": "Flowers, cut: flowers and buds of a kind suitable for bouquets or ornamental purposes, fresh, other than roses, carnations, orchids, or chrysanthemums", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 25660049.811184704, "current_below_peak_pct": 74.82043633496741, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2592791943477402, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "080940", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: plums and sloes, fresh", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20043132.5830919, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "180310", "hs_description": "Cocoa: paste, not defatted", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15414804.319371343, "current_below_peak_pct": 71.54858570487673, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5424501516752803, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "670290", "hs_description": "Flowers, foliage and fruit, artificial, and parts thereof: articles made of artificial flowers, foliage or fruit, of materials other than plastics", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10859136.261533597, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta", "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "distance_km": 13786, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 833541.2365690001, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 23585.886297459085, "importer_population": 35340.679, "importer_biz_entry_days": 10.4, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 5.4, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 106165.866, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5934.8754958080835, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 9.920948249898988, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.920948249898988, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ECU-SAU/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ECU-SAU/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ECU-SAU/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ECU-SAU/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ECU-SAU/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }