{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:17.998Z", "seo": { "title": "Ecuador exports to the Philippines: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Ecuador to the Philippines, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "ECU", "country_name": "Ecuador" }, "importer": { "iso3": "PHL", "country_name": "Philippines" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "all_history_lane_count": 21, "current_lane_count": 6, "current_product_count": 6, "first_observed_last_year": 1998, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 3750366.0223742295, "attention_trade_usd": 1917479.0856734372, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 1917479.0856734372, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 0, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 354272.9505674614, "access_friction_trade_usd": 3750366.0223742295, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 1, "high_volatility_lane_count": 1, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 0, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 3, "access_friction_lane_count": 6, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.0065791278554423, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 17.597529899063964, "product_concentration_hhi": 3566.994999804315, "top1_product_share_pct": 51.127785241066846, "top3_product_share_pct": 90.55364333897246, "top_product_hs6": "240120", "top_product_trade_usd": 1917479.0856734372, "top_product_description": "Tobacco: partly or wholly stemmed or stripped", "top_attention_product_hs6": "240120", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 17359.478515625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.029400000348687172, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 19.392619136161613, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 19.392619136161613, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 33, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 394086.419343, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 3549, "buyer_population_latest": 111046.913, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.14271163092057, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.220520105972713, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.893418793085976, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 21.322000000000003, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 15.036000000000001, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 51.127785241066846, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 394086.419343, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 3549, "buyer_population_2024": 111046.913 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 1004519.3202838234, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 2456453.113072543, "yoy_growth_pct": 144.54015601994402, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 1348484.8529480537, "yoy_growth_pct": -45.104392761587754, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 418623.21665852465, "yoy_growth_pct": -68.9560312269484, "cagr_3y_pct": -25.30554913602341 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 243092.25440165531, "yoy_growth_pct": -41.93053688182129, "cagr_3y_pct": -53.74547621148158 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 634959.9005191326, "yoy_growth_pct": 161.20120613551268, "cagr_3y_pct": -22.202302780475648 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 405767.3868885511, "yoy_growth_pct": -36.09558862586402, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.0343208751010469 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 154374.0974158426, "yoy_growth_pct": -61.95502585863479, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.045667893139303 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 455643.8231872019, "yoy_growth_pct": 195.15561924862243, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.471825476619678 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 368136.55790977564, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.20519072667727, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.192143747594922 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 283984.2041710476, "yoy_growth_pct": -22.85900488029021, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.529290182189364 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 1074779.1330934786, "yoy_growth_pct": 278.4644065787984, "cagr_3y_pct": 33.116302590424155 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 1380400.1664821657, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.43570590257316, "cagr_3y_pct": 55.35742651147495 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 2940649.0601252187, "yoy_growth_pct": 113.02873844323105, "cagr_3y_pct": 117.96311438281015 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 3191292.4340836573, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.523403127463492, "cagr_3y_pct": 43.730562602831505 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 2085088.1452135765, "yoy_growth_pct": -34.663206575981334, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.737787751364163 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 4226577.661118318, "yoy_growth_pct": 102.70498735608071, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.853548227664424 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 4061110.1657545054, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.914928545759444, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.365920081441525 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 4066735.675223534, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.13852146923927222, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.941632300679384 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 2910089.050325409, "yoy_growth_pct": -28.44164748510606, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.697606586883003 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 6113701.005347367, "yoy_growth_pct": 110.08638909739643, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.609286339302919 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 14937108.6724479, "yoy_growth_pct": 144.32187081741668, "cagr_3y_pct": 54.29085950277872 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 13615367.65665393, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.848707234968266, "cagr_3y_pct": 67.25317266741011 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 11796679.66183297, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.35761207984827, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.494986840428968 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 19433203.85586836, "yoy_growth_pct": 64.73452202608021, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.16731326538165 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 18376569.176843133, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.437264420535303, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.512572092685279 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 25277674.343032684, "yoy_growth_pct": 37.553827919554436, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.921626506229224 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 15106441.84943155, "yoy_growth_pct": -40.23800748269646, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.05264112810027 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 12799886.673899196, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.268686024956624, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.356431653470189 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 12713152.506633949, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.6776166811078954, "cagr_3y_pct": -20.47468815670358 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "hs_code": "240120", "hs_description": "Tobacco: partly or wholly stemmed or stripped", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 156739376.82454386, "current_below_peak_pct": 14.331237517249262, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3692065357704963, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "hs_code": "240110", "hs_description": "Tobacco, (not stemmed or stripped)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17511803.96079183, "current_below_peak_pct": 21.18801000853144, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6755457730531151, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "hs_code": "230120", "hs_description": "Flours, meals and pellets: of fish or of crustaceans, molluscs or other aquatic invertebrates", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13538074.816988956, "current_below_peak_pct": 31.954320197183723, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9356081488600155, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "hs_code": "210210", "hs_description": "Yeasts: active", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 35398609.107745916, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "hs_code": "030617", "hs_description": "Crustaceans: frozen, shrimps and prawns, excluding cold-water varieties, in shell or not, smoked, cooked or not before or during smoking: in shell, cooked by steaming or by boiling in water", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22305270.19561851, "current_below_peak_pct": 31.49816558504922, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.18693069837733686, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "hs_code": "030487", "hs_description": "Fish fillets: frozen, tunas (of the genus Thunnus), skipjack or stripe-bellied bonito (Euthynnus (Katsuwonus) pelamis)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 25574598.689098198, "current_below_peak_pct": 28.13587477156811, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7129050540444899, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta", "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "distance_km": 17352, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 394086.419343, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3548.828226706311, "importer_population": 111046.913, "importer_biz_entry_days": 33, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 23.3, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 106165.866, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5934.8754958080835, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 19.392619136161613, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 19.392619136161613, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ECU-PHL/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ECU-PHL/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ECU-PHL/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ECU-PHL/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ECU-PHL/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }