{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:15.245Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Ecuador exports to Nicaragua: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Ecuador to Nicaragua, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "ECU",
    "country_name": "Ecuador"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "NIC",
    "country_name": "Nicaragua"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
    "importer_iso3": "NIC",
    "all_history_lane_count": 36,
    "current_lane_count": 15,
    "current_product_count": 15,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1997,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 177337908.12737983,
    "attention_trade_usd": 133604110.86792621,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 133996426.9768177,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 210923.62828193823,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 138130871.91414952,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 1,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 7,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 5,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 5,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.2496125400413198,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 2.029563190575029,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 5999.329867557392,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 75.33872045674514,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 96.63610007331889,
    "top_product_hs6": "271019",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 133604110.86792621,
    "top_product_description": "",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "271019",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 1620.769287109375,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.9506000280380249,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.60842076868687,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.61494578868687,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.9293382621616162,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 6.685607526525253,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 14,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 14013.022092000001,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 2091,
    "buyer_population_latest": 6702.379,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 9.172346628065231,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 7.77149231502996,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.2998375386140015,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 29.536,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 13.639999999999997,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 75.33872045674514,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 14013.022092000001,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 2091,
    "buyer_population_2024": 6702.379
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "NIC",
      "export_value_usd": 7555332.527151115,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "NIC",
      "export_value_usd": 20415967.11041562,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 170.21930586176143,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "NIC",
      "export_value_usd": 9516520.676755814,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -53.38687300343088,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "NIC",
      "export_value_usd": 3959222.008104363,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -58.39632842100792,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -19.378274194242174
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "NIC",
      "export_value_usd": 14819306.251912907,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 274.2984409961958,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.129055643361173
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "NIC",
      "export_value_usd": 12966047.155315995,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -12.505707521616872,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.860406587517502
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "NIC",
      "export_value_usd": 12983884.18602564,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.13756722072642003,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 48.57016055861683
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "NIC",
      "export_value_usd": 25500789.637362402,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 96.40339725772138,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.832674378870397
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "NIC",
      "export_value_usd": 27426574.924128447,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.551865311435235,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 28.367374782575205
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "NIC",
      "export_value_usd": 26925448.899155296,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.8271549632407291,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 27.52229102455015
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "NIC",
      "export_value_usd": 63495339.97482065,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 135.81905806893576,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 35.538520723012844
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "NIC",
      "export_value_usd": 66474902.12673256,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.6925682311386385,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 34.32660661796116
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "NIC",
      "export_value_usd": 125601122.59160824,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 88.94517866630804,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 67.08733139694183
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "NIC",
      "export_value_usd": 96556007.5733205,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -23.12488488875045,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.995050707260148
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "NIC",
      "export_value_usd": 55807659.67524985,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -42.20177379136983,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.663729823820452
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "NIC",
      "export_value_usd": 62371496.513950706,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.761533948738311,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -20.811117472480856
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "NIC",
      "export_value_usd": 17029285.99872886,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -72.69700592333888,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -43.920295949298804
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "NIC",
      "export_value_usd": 18424879.29611862,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.19525432536592,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -30.885323387307928
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "NIC",
      "export_value_usd": 18509759.176001377,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.46068079208876345,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -33.298100560648315
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "NIC",
      "export_value_usd": 20679067.106723644,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.719806346993744,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.686999505980262
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "NIC",
      "export_value_usd": 73313823.78093927,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 254.5315821191074,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 58.46270796352655
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "NIC",
      "export_value_usd": 85523566.25194597,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.654079464589454,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 66.55653525414607
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "NIC",
      "export_value_usd": 36602861.25958575,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -57.20143246627896,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.96545528936222
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "NIC",
      "export_value_usd": 39811477.06646879,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.76602455782811,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -18.415534390308853
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "NIC",
      "export_value_usd": 164402533.02314368,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 312.952608486892,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.339056469616338
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "NIC",
      "export_value_usd": 65026464.014867924,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -60.44679919517185,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.113261909638048
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "NIC",
      "export_value_usd": 107114936.57769567,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 64.72514414009112,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 39.085091760748504
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "NIC",
      "export_value_usd": 137062083.87672263,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 27.957956430571972,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.882667750848524
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "NIC",
      "export_value_usd": 192711143.99174795,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 40.60135271624616,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 43.63895280566976
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "NIC",
      "export_value_usd": 191586400.9366137,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.5836419377918234,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.386823846181713
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "NIC",
      "hs_code": "271019",
      "hs_description": "",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 505732176.04910177,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3711677503132198,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "NIC",
      "hs_code": "240110",
      "hs_description": "Tobacco, (not stemmed or stripped)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 92811038.15050481,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 10.103041752957528,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9818053653351987,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "NIC",
      "hs_code": "252310",
      "hs_description": "Cement clinkers (whether or not coloured)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 31449920.80737443,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.3737694613116464,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "NIC",
      "hs_code": "732111",
      "hs_description": "Cooking appliances and plate warmers: for gas fuel or for both gas and other fuels, of iron or steel",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14103394.32367585,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9419945835966178,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "NIC",
      "hs_code": "300490",
      "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 283798827.2239255,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 33.351724016638684,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5308883697449759,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "NIC",
      "hs_code": "482020",
      "hs_description": "Paper and paperboard: exercise books",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12045345.0764401,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 28.008949464741228,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.827094604237626,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "NIC",
      "hs_code": "300450",
      "hs_description": "Medicaments: containing vitamins or their derivatives, for therapeutic or prophylactic use, packaged for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 29255725.719365127,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1083491011094389,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "NIC",
      "hs_code": "901890",
      "hs_description": "Medical, surgical or dental instruments and appliances: n.e.c. in heading no. 9018",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20122342.92743343,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.094606214601033,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "NIC",
      "hs_code": "730890",
      "hs_description": "Iron or steel: structures and parts thereof, n.e.s. in heading no. 7308",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 26673087.154137608,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 88.11697654785421,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.255353578974224,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "NIC",
      "hs_code": "300420",
      "hs_description": "Medicaments: containing antibiotics (other than penicillins, streptomycins or their derivatives), for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 38858120.451451726,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 73.3277959991311,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.892483496896728,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
    "importer_iso3": "NIC",
    "distance_km": 1730,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 1,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 14013.022092,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2090.7534611217898,
    "importer_population": 6702.379,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 14,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 65.7,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 106165.866,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5934.8754958080835,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.60842076868687,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.61494578868687,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.9293382621616162,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 6.685607526525253
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ECU-NIC/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ECU-NIC/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ECU-NIC/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ECU-NIC/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ECU-NIC/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}