{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:20.757Z", "seo": { "title": "Ecuador exports to Nigeria: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Ecuador to Nigeria, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "ECU", "country_name": "Ecuador" }, "importer": { "iso3": "NGA", "country_name": "Nigeria" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "all_history_lane_count": 43, "current_lane_count": 2, "current_product_count": 2, "first_observed_last_year": 1998, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 480031.2978314104, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 480031.2978314104, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 480031.2978314104, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 322551.3449917261, "access_friction_trade_usd": 480031.2978314104, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 480031.2978314104, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 2, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1, "access_friction_lane_count": 2, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.4503104562950073, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 87.33478233043786, "product_concentration_hhi": 5591.254588406808, "top1_product_share_pct": 67.19381558012658, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "030366", "top_product_trade_usd": 322551.3449917261, "top_product_description": "Fish: frozen, hake (Merluccius spp., Urophycis spp.), excluding fillets, fish meat of 0304, and edible fish offal of subheadings 0303.91 to 0303.99", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 9131.47265625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 27.203475916565655, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 27.203475916565655, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 7.2, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 440776.971536, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 2085, "buyer_population_latest": 211400.711, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": -17.702539793973116, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -19.412873862302447, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.1223415578896843, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 26.304000000000002, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 20.386000000000003, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer economy and income contracted", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction", "buyer_macro_weakness" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 440776.971536, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 2085, "buyer_population_2024": 211400.711 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 3070.232158822766, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 687.9986634388426, "yoy_growth_pct": -77.59131466779225, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 14702.082442291981, "yoy_growth_pct": 2036.9347389144853, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 13338.703287709242, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.273374434772897, "cagr_3y_pct": 63.17268700193086 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 19189.725573613054, "yoy_growth_pct": 43.86500066535817, "cagr_3y_pct": 203.26832773511558 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 262.4533693964365, "yoy_growth_pct": -98.63232348795376, "cagr_3y_pct": -73.86488394420583 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 341422.378964508, "yoy_growth_pct": 129988.77719866061, "cagr_3y_pct": 194.70858734633612 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 140925.45006564254, "yoy_growth_pct": -58.72401495969537, "cagr_3y_pct": 94.37491754301846 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 156342.502280945, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.939863742227708, "cagr_3y_pct": 741.411225939162 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 1021.0010032186121, "yoy_growth_pct": -99.34694597545594, "cagr_3y_pct": -85.59285053999383 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 831.4948932538416, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.560815255555074, "cagr_3y_pct": -81.9300596636641 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 58814.38950512951, "yoy_growth_pct": 6973.331415779899, "cagr_3y_pct": -27.811362503399884 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 35979.39039743354, "yoy_growth_pct": -38.82553113248657, "cagr_3y_pct": 227.8505203672724 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 290093.01081497304, "yoy_growth_pct": 706.2755027546709, "cagr_3y_pct": 603.9782256101477 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 117109.91538883185, "yoy_growth_pct": -59.63021823248034, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.80658044659776 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 98780.56550144873, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.651407335173516, "cagr_3y_pct": 40.02510352840296 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 184724.82735762815, "yoy_growth_pct": 87.00523369135698, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.967475279524422 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 1948355.875268864, "yoy_growth_pct": 954.7341703542846, "cagr_3y_pct": 155.28475042382075 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 6334241.364399749, "yoy_growth_pct": 225.10700148789056, "cagr_3y_pct": 300.25893300055736 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 9728834.903986862, "yoy_growth_pct": 53.59116181877282, "cagr_3y_pct": 274.83936033256003 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 5402867.25642121, "yoy_growth_pct": -44.46542356056301, "cagr_3y_pct": 40.49213229819053 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 5117261.002073192, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.286197879627341, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.864699504462646 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 1478559.074421572, "yoy_growth_pct": -71.10643616140445, "cagr_3y_pct": -46.63465978550072 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 295533.2265499775, "yoy_growth_pct": -80.0120785389929, "cagr_3y_pct": -62.03990074699153 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 657787.2013105683, "yoy_growth_pct": 122.57639487427659, "cagr_3y_pct": -49.532016752593975 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 896963.8006480117, "yoy_growth_pct": 36.36078641556275, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.346403898237003 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 5381658.6360793505, "yoy_growth_pct": 499.9861568762719, "cagr_3y_pct": 163.08935552418785 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 883492.7006453306, "yoy_growth_pct": -83.58326381531748, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.333107185006774 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 485584.1283102418, "yoy_growth_pct": -45.03812788090315, "cagr_3y_pct": -18.498952812977464 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 554750.6790453296, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.243989187986173, "cagr_3y_pct": -53.112123409067394 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "hs_code": "030366", "hs_description": "Fish: frozen, hake (Merluccius spp., Urophycis spp.), excluding fillets, fish meat of 0304, and edible fish offal of subheadings 0303.91 to 0303.99", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11028784.56879452, "current_below_peak_pct": 84.24336614767576, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5716804443502537, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "hs_code": "030354", "hs_description": "Fish: frozen, mackerel (Scomber scombrus, Scomber australasicus, Scomber japonicus), excluding fillets, fish meat of 0304, and edible fish offal of subheadings 0303.91 to 0303.99", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 137895955.8874491, "current_below_peak_pct": 93.6666387331014, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2017197488244356, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "distance_km": 9304, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 440776.971536, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2085.030695738767, "importer_population": 211400.711, "importer_biz_entry_days": 7.2, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 26.1, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 106165.866, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5934.8754958080835, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 27.203475916565655, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 27.203475916565655, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ECU-NGA/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ECU-NGA/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ECU-NGA/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ECU-NGA/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ECU-NGA/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }