{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:20.783Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Ecuador exports to Luxembourg: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Ecuador to Luxembourg, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "ECU",
    "country_name": "Ecuador"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "LUX",
    "country_name": "Luxembourg"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
    "importer_iso3": "LUX",
    "all_history_lane_count": 7,
    "current_lane_count": 2,
    "current_product_count": 2,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2004,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 54291.41915252841,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 15353.586793888591,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 15353.586793888591,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 0,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 1,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 0,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9520810855380691,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 33.897816343377386,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 5943.521047467424,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 71.72004888884258,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "030617",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 38937.83235863982,
    "top_product_description": "Crustaceans: frozen, shrimps and prawns, excluding cold-water varieties, in shell or not, smoked, cooked or not before or during smoking: in shell, cooked by steaming or by boiling in water",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 9651.1435546875,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": null,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.0595983756060607,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.334022337878788,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.8487747751515151,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 3.485247562727273,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 16.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 86710.80333699999,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 135683,
    "buyer_population_latest": 639.07,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.9490070751361035,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 4.101286267407822,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.7749260109831688,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.124,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 54.153999999999996,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 86710.80333699999,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 135683,
    "buyer_population_2024": 639.07
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 49960.870682875364,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 233637.66049080325,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 367.64129066886966,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 80860.59561359856,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -65.39059865445729,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 190239.31128282027,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 135.26825376342785,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 56.15530954178818
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 241312.66789655428,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 26.84689944961245,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.0832253248391543
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 336679.12117843394,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 39.519870263405025,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 60.87667547500979
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 111679.62252011533,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -66.82906200740403,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -16.26804639921251
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 443243.1743166977,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 296.888137974197,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 22.467441536142996
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 432459.9558599948,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.4327996642759975,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.703427581678547
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 3070312.3099819855,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 609.9645339130481,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 201.81179306650537
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 2023190.424078699,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -34.10473529024903,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 65.88160729950665
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 1194318.0780882873,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -40.968577951225505,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 40.30011774423159
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 517111.5401281274,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -56.702360148826195,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -44.775233027465276
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 591585.5602296097,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.401925759194922,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -33.62667086929183
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 820792.0893109973,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 38.74444281439637,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.75209880769813
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 572722.0460939696,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -30.223249766608586,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.46335497742547
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 562364.8688039213,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.8084125381038652,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.6743395012887907
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 779558.6939444791,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 38.62151375182834,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.703387278015489
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 955800.2651574732,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 22.6078642419125,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.615401137344435
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 1031057.4685433542,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.873737445917328,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 22.392525619173664
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 914360.759364645,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.318157594413691,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.460441897984514
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 933465.7114203545,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.0894326293032117,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.7850599294267013
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 1226733.677995674,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 31.417111843249735,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.96338058437258
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 1038208.6832595841,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.368045902523498,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.325151903371127
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 1428455.8720991095,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 37.58851135922849,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.23634796134572
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 1690820.0539183302,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.366978423609105,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.28817843637493
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "hs_code": "030617",
      "hs_description": "Crustaceans: frozen, shrimps and prawns, excluding cold-water varieties, in shell or not, smoked, cooked or not before or during smoking: in shell, cooked by steaming or by boiling in water",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10110797.300971799,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 10.172308736652806,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7747127676230371,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "hs_code": "901839",
      "hs_description": "Medical, surgical instruments and appliances: catheters, cannulae and the like",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14171085.504030108,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 94.06745945126647,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4019002659955295,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
    "importer_iso3": "LUX",
    "distance_km": 9905,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 86710.803337,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 135682.79427449263,
    "importer_population": 639.07,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 16.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1.6,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 106165.866,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5934.8754958080835,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.0595983756060607,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.334022337878788,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.8487747751515151,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 3.485247562727273
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ECU-LUX/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ECU-LUX/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ECU-LUX/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ECU-LUX/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ECU-LUX/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}