{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:17.933Z", "seo": { "title": "Ecuador exports to Estonia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Ecuador to Estonia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "ECU", "country_name": "Ecuador" }, "importer": { "iso3": "EST", "country_name": "Estonia" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "EST", "all_history_lane_count": 37, "current_lane_count": 6, "current_product_count": 6, "first_observed_last_year": 1996, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 28519674.892339855, "attention_trade_usd": 11714555.940191181, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 26425412.291793466, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 1796331.1570643915, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 11742880.145105083, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 4, "high_volatility_lane_count": 5, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 5, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.2602040701357413, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 11.856420455471406, "product_concentration_hhi": 4039.3687954437087, "top1_product_share_pct": 58.82533658103123, "top3_product_share_pct": 87.26832517912686, "top_product_hs6": "180100", "top_product_trade_usd": 16776794.747234775, "top_product_description": "Cocoa beans: whole or broken, raw or roasted", "top_attention_product_hs6": "080390", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 10784.783203125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.7059110726628353, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 2.920070348183908, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.6420958771187738, "tariff_advantage_pp": 2.277974471065134, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 3.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 36262.924354, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 27281, "buyer_population_latest": 1329.254, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.235608076538068, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.522533158466936, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.6757560652948857, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 30.938, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 31.318, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 41.075348805387726, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 36262.924354, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 27281, "buyer_population_2024": 1329.254 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 373138.8837237209, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 456754.45767387905, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.408700244724077, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 1435031.938123701, "yoy_growth_pct": 214.1801714277539, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 494194.385967807, "yoy_growth_pct": -65.56213329900069, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.81856551487288 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 955120.5934955581, "yoy_growth_pct": 93.26819984510651, "cagr_3y_pct": 27.876813229625917 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 1632786.0846769225, "yoy_growth_pct": 70.95077792231857, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.397293855924889 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 512065.0436132894, "yoy_growth_pct": -68.63857130956556, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.1911288268156017 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 491399.4072690947, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.035744404338082, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.87055406893784 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 553019.2087251216, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.539657261386017, "cagr_3y_pct": -30.29397645203241 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 4127780.0782001256, "yoy_growth_pct": 646.4080836750537, "cagr_3y_pct": 100.50743150706421 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 2975792.3040177086, "yoy_growth_pct": -27.908167401319716, "cagr_3y_pct": 82.27313474146575 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 6275688.808675453, "yoy_growth_pct": 110.89135825112702, "cagr_3y_pct": 124.71931096843375 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 6152385.961968167, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.9647699314987332, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.228815649433212 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 3946700.058514819, "yoy_growth_pct": -35.85090267561404, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.86950518807137 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 1223276.2042909577, "yoy_growth_pct": -69.00508814568269, "cagr_3y_pct": -42.01873194417593 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 1403854.8259539418, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.761884603784313, "cagr_3y_pct": -38.892730877516094 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 557111.7216533831, "yoy_growth_pct": -60.315574562717565, "cagr_3y_pct": -47.93218041644999 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 1133840.0342658604, "yoy_growth_pct": 103.5211233576053, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.498996289786537 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 1758808.222624753, "yoy_growth_pct": 55.11960854015419, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.803310087437554 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 9847188.413325466, "yoy_growth_pct": 459.87846125884266, "cagr_3y_pct": 160.48935707692343 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 18278969.818178054, "yoy_growth_pct": 85.62628286306055, "cagr_3y_pct": 152.61936715296812 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 7428068.624648751, "yoy_growth_pct": -59.36276114826946, "cagr_3y_pct": 61.6413516381634 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 15600387.956667619, "yoy_growth_pct": 110.0194376893672, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.575615466249882 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 21938221.88863955, "yoy_growth_pct": 40.62613025763335, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.2714410430625644 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 12578593.809107218, "yoy_growth_pct": -42.66356738956636, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.19335983597059 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 16365330.192389742, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.104608199851658, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.6084417548416274 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 12134595.926487185, "yoy_growth_pct": -25.85181121411132, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.912953215883398 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 12870037.16374832, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.060698203026504, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.7664370095544104 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 29018533.695987, "yoy_growth_pct": 125.4735812086461, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.036650621432763 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 34507263.486375205, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.914566283365474, "cagr_3y_pct": 41.67560207638839 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "EST", "hs_code": "180100", "hs_description": "Cocoa beans: whole or broken, raw or roasted", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 141579339.57787722, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0271936434389466, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "EST", "hs_code": "080390", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: bananas, other than plantains, fresh or dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19691860.37988493, "current_below_peak_pct": 40.075916689106364, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7100855152107286, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "EST", "hs_code": "180320", "hs_description": "Cocoa: paste, wholly or partly defatted", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16266535.422600884, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9502551543991623, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "EST", "hs_code": "180310", "hs_description": "Cocoa: paste, not defatted", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 106588672.6927758, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7277860786996997, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "EST", "hs_code": "210111", "hs_description": "Extracts, essences and concentrates: of coffee, and preparations with a basis of these extracts, essences or concentrates or with a basis of coffee", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 21327598.468130425, "current_below_peak_pct": 53.41663910652167, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8188503729932939, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "EST", "hs_code": "060319", "hs_description": "Flowers, cut: flowers and buds of a kind suitable for bouquets or ornamental purposes, fresh, other than roses, carnations, orchids, or chrysanthemums", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11389028.198356183, "current_below_peak_pct": 89.67670023963299, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4550475654167687, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "EST", "distance_km": 11039, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 36262.924354, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 27280.658439997173, "importer_population": 1329.254, "importer_biz_entry_days": 3.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 106165.866, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5934.8754958080835, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.7059110726628353, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 2.920070348183908, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.6420958771187738, "tariff_advantage_pp": 2.277974471065134 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ECU-EST/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ECU-EST/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ECU-EST/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ECU-EST/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ECU-EST/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }