{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:15.254Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Ecuador exports to Germany: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Ecuador to Germany, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "ECU",
    "country_name": "Ecuador"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "DEU",
    "country_name": "Germany"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
    "importer_iso3": "DEU",
    "all_history_lane_count": 92,
    "current_lane_count": 51,
    "current_product_count": 51,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 719676007.4169455,
    "attention_trade_usd": 91798154.54668216,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 29689653.591356423,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 29489339.080419626,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 89627087.94430546,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 11,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 24,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 21,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 17,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.650300669761346,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 16.281929153504674,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 2205.4033841217592,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 34.62160926902024,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 73.88144087130615,
    "top_product_hs6": "080390",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 249163415.29077995,
    "top_product_description": "Fruit, edible: bananas, other than plantains, fresh or dried",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "261690",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
    "distance_km": 9724.27734375,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.03920000046491623,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.008109826644033,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.8782636827160495,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.7169703120501563,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 5.161293370665893,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 4223116.205969,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 50802,
    "buyer_population_latest": 83129.288,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.422772294996279,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.3176380750794765,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.10175824948728263,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.237999999999996,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 27.802,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 12.75548352322641,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 4223116.205969,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 50802,
    "buyer_population_2024": 83129.288
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 239069336.442858,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 228889704.59853628,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.258024887585221,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 228109293.0602302,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.3409552822285722,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 180448723.2959417,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -20.8937431372882,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.950692739224952
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 188737080.05134928,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.593192239888788,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.22717688113017
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 174297404.7342851,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -7.650682798067887,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.578295537667069
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 198911647.98414674,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.121979204099944,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.3004310991157304
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 224536704.2304055,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.88263231739002,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.960346704349417
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 279603090.51266706,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 24.524447560144047,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.06228999860535
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 290922285.8839032,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.0483083897541405,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.51125498077077
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 332190499.89819455,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.185305154229422,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.946228434120744
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 334219419.2802943,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.6107698392102012,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.12798150602476
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 375611235.4198706,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.384623319826593,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.889798566346151
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 490960249.46526647,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 30.709681491943375,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.90768902471291
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 441523741.59610575,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -10.069350405252752,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.725472676301994
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 414771205.5110574,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.059138742650195,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.360993428640091
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 582309502.7394431,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 40.392943146078466,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.8528402424422366
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 532178113.3219945,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.609062565801896,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.422710544753896
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 538944024.5745733,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.2713621780392703,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.121841761205207
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 624631832.7310989,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.8992036741042,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.366238506593521
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 545954316.0243583,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -12.595822464368533,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.8555413197357975
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 546755814.0261267,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.14680678918430612,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.4808382777390374
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 522434157.9192557,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.448358020699317,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.7815799946624
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 534190684.0167372,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.2503364145072924,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.7234517497343163
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 399916830.7802798,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -25.135940639550792,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.89986865608552
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 438256808.42591155,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.586987767138089,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.688271938431133
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 471013005.7025502,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.47420157470895,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.108775807210463
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 435547644.6811469,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -7.529592727169831,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.88577401458201
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 590520346.7455491,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 35.58111356057352,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.450765828112818
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 736644312.1701355,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 24.744950149456947,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.075789682864826
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "hs_code": "080390",
      "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: bananas, other than plantains, fresh or dried",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 932574797.2526557,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 23.156682114985102,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.28284040080562317,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "hs_code": "180100",
      "hs_description": "Cocoa beans: whole or broken, raw or roasted",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1674632671.1630263,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9727911386615875,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "hs_code": "160414",
      "hs_description": "Fish preparations: tunas, skipjack and Atlantic bonito (sarda spp.), prepared or preserved, whole or in pieces (but not minced)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 416800244.2137302,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 17.0446549657205,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7488906433675122,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "hs_code": "261690",
      "hs_description": "Precious metal ores and concentrates: (excluding silver)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1380996057.6524034,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6844072066579495,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "hs_code": "210111",
      "hs_description": "Extracts, essences and concentrates: of coffee, and preparations with a basis of these extracts, essences or concentrates or with a basis of coffee",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 485065369.3112953,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 32.9074622269375,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6973547068180315,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "hs_code": "071080",
      "hs_description": "Vegetables: uncooked or cooked by steaming or boiling in water, frozen, n.e.c. in chapter 7",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 447904756.3096549,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 11.157483262943337,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.29432330741194757,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "hs_code": "030617",
      "hs_description": "Crustaceans: frozen, shrimps and prawns, excluding cold-water varieties, in shell or not, smoked, cooked or not before or during smoking: in shell, cooked by steaming or by boiling in water",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 341741589.1275835,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 51.704666647434706,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8963291026135963,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "hs_code": "180400",
      "hs_description": "Cocoa: butter, fat and oil",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1876309182.8480077,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 42.768893276182915,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3612921782195266,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "hs_code": "180310",
      "hs_description": "Cocoa: paste, not defatted",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 951995257.6969739,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 30.853676460996404,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1325828157352555,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "hs_code": "200989",
      "hs_description": "Juice: of any single fruit or vegetable n.e.c. in heading no. 2009, unfermented, not containing added spirit, whether or not containing added sugar or other sweetening matter",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 273547763.69762796,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 37.75733483775255,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.30076104229074235,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
    "importer_iso3": "DEU",
    "distance_km": 10423,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 4223116.205968999,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 50801.7848771783,
    "importer_population": 83129.288,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 8,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6.5,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 106165.866,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5934.8754958080835,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.008109826644033,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.8782636827160495,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.7169703120501563,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 5.161293370665893
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ECU-DEU/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ECU-DEU/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ECU-DEU/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ECU-DEU/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ECU-DEU/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}