{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:15.203Z", "seo": { "title": "Ecuador exports to Colombia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Ecuador to Colombia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "ECU", "country_name": "Ecuador" }, "importer": { "iso3": "COL", "country_name": "Colombia" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "COL", "all_history_lane_count": 279, "current_lane_count": 213, "current_product_count": 213, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 699459088.3212252, "attention_trade_usd": 584908122.6822582, "critical_trade_usd": 33929939.736543335, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 339914237.96731836, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 137400544.11676842, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 604110463.1787711, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 1, "high_attention_lane_count": 44, "high_volatility_lane_count": 134, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 123, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 126, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9733780449832476, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 31.992388592909005, "product_concentration_hhi": 591.9407877023395, "top1_product_share_pct": 14.362872397835913, "top3_product_share_pct": 34.88765697184254, "top_product_hs6": "441019", "top_product_trade_usd": 100462416.33064397, "top_product_description": "Wafer board and similar board of wood n.e.c. in item no. 4410.1, whether or not agglomerated with resins or other organic binding substances", "top_attention_product_hs6": "441019", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 662.6531982421875, "shares_land_border": 1, "shares_official_language": 1, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.9702000021934509, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 9.789799902929294, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 10.063467751111112, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.8534003334343438, "tariff_advantage_pp": 8.210067417676768, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 10, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 314322.45322799997, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 6131, "buyer_population_latest": 51265.842, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.330966912771773, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 4.116926115920405, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.166035957976419, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 21.89, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 19.468, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 83.62292126135623, "critical_trade_share_pct": 4.850882675351139, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 314322.45322799997, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 6131, "buyer_population_2024": 51265.842 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "COL", "export_value_usd": 256251439.4002455, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "COL", "export_value_usd": 301303625.45569015, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.581242142830078, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "COL", "export_value_usd": 344459043.5806701, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.322900383197169, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "COL", "export_value_usd": 294038373.0420705, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.637638778321527, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.69177565289467 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "COL", "export_value_usd": 240012537.00809336, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.373736555210506, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.300685329005175 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "COL", "export_value_usd": 290597667.4341202, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.076036717332425, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.510218613915907 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "COL", "export_value_usd": 326386854.35459596, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.31571720326674, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.5403310455243586 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "COL", "export_value_usd": 370315102.1994344, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.458951320727387, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.552451961080017 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "COL", "export_value_usd": 389051567.7638219, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.0596007165532475, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.214401994762866 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "COL", "export_value_usd": 331929158.57275504, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.682477574732111, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.562852117923196 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "COL", "export_value_usd": 494863503.58563334, "yoy_growth_pct": 49.08708403729014, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.14666036337346 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "COL", "export_value_usd": 692748324.3952987, "yoy_growth_pct": 39.98775811427817, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.205623901301742 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "COL", "export_value_usd": 680059779.5917227, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.831624033829582, "cagr_3y_pct": 27.008824084661676 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "COL", "export_value_usd": 793536296.8784857, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.68625622219404, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.047045836571108 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "COL", "export_value_usd": 679357098.2644004, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.388654818088254, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.6485497035905841 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "COL", "export_value_usd": 801628791.0312133, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.998147524945086, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.635219435035155 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "COL", "export_value_usd": 1030416248.1992408, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.540324365560267, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.097626076071453 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "COL", "export_value_usd": 1049686407.9958706, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.8701335339292635, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.607804092436828 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "COL", "export_value_usd": 876887343.5034368, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.461970277613958, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.0362786645932394 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "COL", "export_value_usd": 918733504.562891, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.772125104721647, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.7518733097475554 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "COL", "export_value_usd": 776552098.284705, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.475805069918735, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.557961751407873 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "COL", "export_value_usd": 801235743.5987142, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.1786206448391363, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.962670116596733 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "COL", "export_value_usd": 764132679.3844981, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.630730033032393, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.957014840758646 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "COL", "export_value_usd": 807425722.2906646, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.665644733456321, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.3080589453938085 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "COL", "export_value_usd": 837463112.1654217, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.720142800199766, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.4849846829722013 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "COL", "export_value_usd": 776492890.4426817, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.280347138525278, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.5363012554639113 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "COL", "export_value_usd": 821540509.6293147, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.8014206879539065, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.5793444783647406 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "COL", "export_value_usd": 1001397071.118338, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.892598037578924, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.1402753740789295 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "COL", "export_value_usd": 752856476.041665, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.8193850616228, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.0251385943098934 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "COL", "export_value_usd": 786194955.3432521, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.428264929973458, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.4551899798479484 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "COL", "hs_code": "441019", "hs_description": "Wafer board and similar board of wood n.e.c. in item no. 4410.1, whether or not agglomerated with resins or other organic binding substances", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 101144013.9979577, "current_below_peak_pct": 25.57595823094348, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.058442870890785, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "COL", "hs_code": "160414", "hs_description": "Fish preparations: tunas, skipjack and Atlantic bonito (sarda spp.), prepared or preserved, whole or in pieces (but not minced)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 135508046.7495816, "current_below_peak_pct": 24.458538759546794, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7643650083077056, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "COL", "hs_code": "030617", "hs_description": "Crustaceans: frozen, shrimps and prawns, excluding cold-water varieties, in shell or not, smoked, cooked or not before or during smoking: in shell, cooked by steaming or by boiling in water", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 54017458.62133374, "current_below_peak_pct": 11.821003430496122, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0581575243777805, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "COL", "hs_code": "100630", "hs_description": "Cereals: rice, semi-milled or wholly milled, whether or not polished or glazed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 60868816.32415091, "current_below_peak_pct": 32.50168399944726, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9045772598208457, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "COL", "hs_code": "151190", "hs_description": "Vegetable oils: palm oil and its fractions, other than crude, whether or not refined, but not chemically modified", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 57010218.04932582, "current_below_peak_pct": 32.019002987634494, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8794686588049754, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "COL", "hs_code": "151110", "hs_description": "Vegetable oils: palm oil and its fractions, crude, not chemically modified", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 61533269.77392067, "current_below_peak_pct": 66.72265331519614, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1442774912380445, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "COL", "hs_code": "160419", "hs_description": "Fish preparations: fish prepared or preserved, whole or in pieces (but not minced), n.e.c. in heading no. 1604", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 42460333.29724151, "current_below_peak_pct": 17.38010778276433, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0570997077791635, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "COL", "hs_code": "480519", "hs_description": "Paper and paperboard: uncoated, fluting paper other than semi-chemical or straw, rolls or sheets", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 26070746.346804988, "current_below_peak_pct": 15.952290353594446, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9782007717433272, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "COL", "hs_code": "880240", "hs_description": "Aeroplanes and other aircraft: of an unladen weight exceeding 15,000kg", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 663107480.8385259, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9999473712191085, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "COL", "hs_code": "730661", "hs_description": "Iron or steel (excluding cast iron): tubes, pipes and hollow profiles (not seamless), welded, of square or rectangular cross-section, n.e.c. in chapter 73", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 35064383.81527302, "current_below_peak_pct": 29.488520901322175, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2439470073017747, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ECU", "importer_iso3": "COL", "distance_km": 990, "shares_land_border": 1, "shares_official_language": 1, "shares_ethnic_language": 1, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 314322.45322799997, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 6131.225801928699, "importer_population": 51265.842, "importer_biz_entry_days": 10, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 14.1, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 106165.866, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5934.8754958080835, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 9.789799902929294, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 10.063467751111112, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.8534003334343438, "tariff_advantage_pp": 8.210067417676768 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ECU-COL/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ECU-COL/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ECU-COL/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ECU-COL/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ECU-COL/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }