{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:15.217Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Ecuador exports to Chile: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Ecuador to Chile, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "ECU",
    "country_name": "Ecuador"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "CHL",
    "country_name": "Chile"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
    "importer_iso3": "CHL",
    "all_history_lane_count": 179,
    "current_lane_count": 110,
    "current_product_count": 110,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1996,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 849919199.3167585,
    "attention_trade_usd": 760301345.8119109,
    "critical_trade_usd": 12878275.837746507,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 105798928.86876325,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 571149126.1293737,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 797212203.337663,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 1,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 20,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 72,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 45,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 64,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8298296209874693,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 54.09590880722319,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 3769.2585299952193,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 59.503094359786026,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 77.63717136347145,
    "top_product_hs6": "270900",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 505728223.1513887,
    "top_product_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "270900",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 3792.0576171875,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.9702000021934509,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.825599229676767,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.113158209494951,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.10581203813333337,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 9.007346171361617,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 4,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 317058.508652,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 16503,
    "buyer_population_latest": 19212.362,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.4844496965667604,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.8837478598954913,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.5838646522571267,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.318,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 24.669999999999998,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 89.45572078182367,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 1.515235312733166,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 317058.508652,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 16503,
    "buyer_population_2024": 19212.362
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "export_value_usd": 195163803.4828979,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "export_value_usd": 215184664.72257218,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.258491012360649,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "export_value_usd": 233793929.7643322,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.648044258057187,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "export_value_usd": 140320567.61834422,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -39.981090287592394,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.413888476539556
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "export_value_usd": 210432767.71896324,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 49.965732957492115,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.7415818223095894
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "export_value_usd": 232305595.68454292,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.394211986410419,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.21265216304026113
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "export_value_usd": 105636946.8465036,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -54.52673168064697,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.030005330950154
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "export_value_usd": 85218067.8099264,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -19.329296847481746,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -26.0157222354777
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "export_value_usd": 71990397.61679831,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.522142819092766,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -32.32863027196504
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "export_value_usd": 127016290.6301247,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 76.43504527676978,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.3362143323984155
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "export_value_usd": 310007677.93854326,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 144.06922639655338,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 53.7966665039749
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "export_value_usd": 570643148.9806305,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 84.07387609727405,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 99.38692630090702
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "export_value_usd": 696264562.9839249,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 22.014005465184038,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 76.32137156906971
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "export_value_usd": 1536022839.2040496,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 120.60907891408985,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 70.4806428669468
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "export_value_usd": 902675678.8068386,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -41.232925984707656,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.516933025236803
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "export_value_usd": 835607595.25156,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -7.429920305810123,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.269677424727038
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "export_value_usd": 1190366552.669363,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 42.45520976996418,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.146788064508248
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "export_value_usd": 2051688571.4651723,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 72.35771341729311,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 31.480061744588394
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "export_value_usd": 2463493031.326929,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 20.07148967875154,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 43.389159726301465
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "export_value_usd": 2362621995.5144167,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.094634510014405,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.67180200772865
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "export_value_usd": 1146311992.4590373,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -51.481362882620196,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -17.637320786827672
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "export_value_usd": 1073787012.6775892,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.32680982651761,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -24.17909981733316
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "export_value_usd": 1337376391.9287288,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 24.547640839299657,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -17.278232900324042
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "export_value_usd": 1513357470.0038998,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 13.158679870322509,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.701583448694295
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "export_value_usd": 1545248859.656251,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.1073269392372307,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.89986647269561
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "export_value_usd": 842060339.3261898,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -45.506490164082,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -14.290323995634214
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "export_value_usd": 1139572296.3364532,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 35.33142972252206,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.022614354739911
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "export_value_usd": 1349791589.820533,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.44720990146058,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.4077328086995715
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "export_value_usd": 1026848259.3301944,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -23.925421741090926,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.83683641779953
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "export_value_usd": 879707385.4867717,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -14.329368775421747,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.265622456033784
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "hs_code": "270900",
      "hs_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 4672212714.575673,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 76.03450153235045,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8183569409077119,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "hs_code": "080390",
      "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: bananas, other than plantains, fresh or dried",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 114587125.10162555,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5209556428298796,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "hs_code": "160414",
      "hs_description": "Fish preparations: tunas, skipjack and Atlantic bonito (sarda spp.), prepared or preserved, whole or in pieces (but not minced)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 135654528.86481312,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 33.91501127719444,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5865445827612406,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "hs_code": "030617",
      "hs_description": "Crustaceans: frozen, shrimps and prawns, excluding cold-water varieties, in shell or not, smoked, cooked or not before or during smoking: in shell, cooked by steaming or by boiling in water",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 37937925.12555637,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 36.25383096753187,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8127834066589583,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "hs_code": "180310",
      "hs_description": "Cocoa: paste, not defatted",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 35482885.70429816,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0213553140773797,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "hs_code": "060311",
      "hs_description": "Flowers, cut: roses, flowers and buds of a kind suitable for bouquets or ornamental purposes, fresh",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13185860.856778692,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 60.17004877460499,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0452189426885972,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "hs_code": "080430",
      "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: pineapples, fresh or dried",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12163628.219873361,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 27.57939090479633,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7688262797465333,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "hs_code": "392020",
      "hs_description": "Plastics: of polymers of propylene, plates, sheets, film, foil and strip (not self-adhesive), non-cellular and not reinforced, laminated, supported or similarly combined with other materials",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 79645283.38308977,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 51.51799450020309,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2346124345846918,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "hs_code": "200891",
      "hs_description": "Fruit, palm hearts: prepared or preserved, whether or not containing added sugar, other sweetening matter or spirit",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13976337.789390149,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 56.6071818250934,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7165161146766598,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "hs_code": "880330",
      "hs_description": "Aircraft and spacecraft: parts of aeroplanes or helicopters n.e.c. in heading no. 8803",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 129973449.01868564,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0695823598828,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "ECU",
    "importer_iso3": "CHL",
    "distance_km": 3596,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 1,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 317058.508652,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 16502.838570915956,
    "importer_population": 19212.362,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 4,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 2.7,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 106165.866,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5934.8754958080835,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.825599229676767,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.113158209494951,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.10581203813333337,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 9.007346171361617
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ECU-CHL/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ECU-CHL/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ECU-CHL/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ECU-CHL/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ECU-CHL/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}