{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:54.249Z", "seo": { "title": "Algeria exports to Bulgaria: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Algeria to Bulgaria, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "DZA", "country_name": "Algeria" }, "importer": { "iso3": "BGR", "country_name": "Bulgaria" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "DZA", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "all_history_lane_count": 38, "current_lane_count": 10, "current_product_count": 10, "first_observed_last_year": 1996, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 74071832.93260045, "attention_trade_usd": 41073396.18221121, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 17583128.033722658, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 6393165.041686087, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 52282489.54153982, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 5, "high_volatility_lane_count": 2, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 5, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.835946149434455, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 5.845662148772407, "product_concentration_hhi": 2576.5688913801523, "top1_product_share_pct": 41.58355669416238, "top3_product_share_pct": 77.26922768313933, "top_product_hs6": "281410", "top_product_trade_usd": 30801702.64193315, "top_product_description": "Ammonia: anhydrous", "top_attention_product_hs6": "271112", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 1848.793212890625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.05148974061012268, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 14.115139557777775, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 15.100112106666666, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 13.533760373333333, "tariff_advantage_pp": 1.566351733333332, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 23, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 80271.119426, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 11635, "buyer_population_latest": 6899.125, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 10.593931268104285, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 11.189451881330982, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.5355909244541324, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 25.716, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 23.028, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 55.45076253153446, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 80271.119426, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 11635, "buyer_population_2024": 6899.125 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "DZA", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "export_value_usd": 30329331.293206025, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "DZA", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "export_value_usd": 13920850.24298697, "yoy_growth_pct": -54.10103141276532, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "DZA", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "export_value_usd": 2238982.366063339, "yoy_growth_pct": -83.9163389664989, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "DZA", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "export_value_usd": 3217663.3119568136, "yoy_growth_pct": 43.71097158814283, "cagr_3y_pct": -52.66025423787147 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "DZA", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "export_value_usd": 21602018.704306718, "yoy_growth_pct": 571.3573363637448, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.773596661308776 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "DZA", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "export_value_usd": 34767.56245746719, "yoy_growth_pct": -99.83905410446415, "cagr_3y_pct": -75.05168665102273 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "DZA", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "export_value_usd": 91004.4284006636, "yoy_growth_pct": 161.7509597113506, "cagr_3y_pct": -69.53223182078746 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "DZA", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "export_value_usd": 588902.5773090789, "yoy_growth_pct": 547.114198351236, "cagr_3y_pct": -69.90347372800274 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "DZA", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "export_value_usd": 311681.32935503445, "yoy_growth_pct": -47.07421204043194, "cagr_3y_pct": 107.73619917779472 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "DZA", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "export_value_usd": 30102.795051545883, "yoy_growth_pct": -90.34180356140102, "cagr_3y_pct": -30.841096575167835 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "DZA", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "export_value_usd": 9207672.951872816, "yoy_growth_pct": 30487.435273389907, "cagr_3y_pct": 150.05496186598714 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "DZA", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "export_value_usd": 585403.0613239331, "yoy_growth_pct": -93.64222573516945, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.380937886821584 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "DZA", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "export_value_usd": 100008.98258631658, "yoy_growth_pct": -82.91621803956086, "cagr_3y_pct": 49.21439730962511 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "DZA", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "export_value_usd": 7596732.100810731, "yoy_growth_pct": 7496.049779082675, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.20947316372753 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "DZA", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "export_value_usd": 1331227.4762742626, "yoy_growth_pct": -82.4763140438743, "cagr_3y_pct": 31.502021148354387 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "DZA", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "export_value_usd": 6944718.035348527, "yoy_growth_pct": 421.6777867885413, "cagr_3y_pct": 311.0284368901557 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "DZA", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "export_value_usd": 29930066.820371453, "yoy_growth_pct": 330.9759830136773, "cagr_3y_pct": 57.94054237147386 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "DZA", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "export_value_usd": 8313.236836684444, "yoy_growth_pct": -99.97222446282336, "cagr_3y_pct": -81.58496168294988 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "DZA", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "export_value_usd": 1885111.795637829, "yoy_growth_pct": 22576.02659074086, "cagr_3y_pct": -35.25183007510741 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "DZA", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "export_value_usd": 152402.96540760656, "yoy_growth_pct": -91.91544152658379, "cagr_3y_pct": -82.79603394392335 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "DZA", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "export_value_usd": 10025774.840279646, "yoy_growth_pct": 6478.464410758278, "cagr_3y_pct": 964.4271200447756 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "DZA", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "export_value_usd": 1535864.9888909166, "yoy_growth_pct": -84.68083501416358, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.601770595266121 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "DZA", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "export_value_usd": 764822.9939229506, "yoy_growth_pct": -50.20245923600051, "cagr_3y_pct": 71.20738985249461 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "DZA", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "export_value_usd": 4336486.8549244795, "yoy_growth_pct": 466.9922177263075, "cagr_3y_pct": -24.373611316169374 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "DZA", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "export_value_usd": 4886625.435214471, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.686273444257278, "cagr_3y_pct": 47.079452170855916 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "DZA", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "export_value_usd": 2425159.984253475, "yoy_growth_pct": -50.371477896033255, "cagr_3y_pct": 46.91286194925159 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "DZA", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "export_value_usd": 27173565.784276832, "yoy_growth_pct": 1020.4854921206996, "cagr_3y_pct": 84.36120259159938 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "DZA", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "export_value_usd": 45922864.44317197, "yoy_growth_pct": 68.99830080358412, "cagr_3y_pct": 111.02794643576655 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "DZA", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "export_value_usd": 62411723.95343696, "yoy_growth_pct": 35.90555534851143, "cagr_3y_pct": 195.24004426178942 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "DZA", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "export_value_usd": 75421299.04626888, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.84476163891558, "cagr_3y_pct": 40.5343401900516 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "DZA", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "hs_code": "281410", "hs_description": "Ammonia: anhydrous", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 134754437.72750175, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8507306919319292, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "DZA", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "hs_code": "271112", "hs_description": "Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons: liquefied, propane", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 59391208.12329478, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4869256127076862, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "DZA", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "hs_code": "271113", "hs_description": "Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons: liquefied, butanes", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 61687624.46933356, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "DZA", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "hs_code": "271119", "hs_description": "Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons: liquefied, n.e.c. in heading no. 2711", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 97575319.6586949, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5756251371478329, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "DZA", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "hs_code": "310210", "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: nitrogenous, urea, whether or not in aqueous solution", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 92492530.4074204, "current_below_peak_pct": 67.28002183477159, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7980625791790429, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "DZA", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "hs_code": "780199", "hs_description": "Lead: unwrought, unrefined, not containing by weight antimony as the principal other element", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13981877.126568355, "current_below_peak_pct": 68.1860297827615, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5172898568367696, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "DZA", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "hs_code": "550320", "hs_description": "Fibres: synthetic staple fibres, of polyesters, not carded, combed or otherwise processed for spinning", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 37446524.73257538, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1284663550784357, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "DZA", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "hs_code": "700529", "hs_description": "Glass: float glass and surface ground or polished glass, in sheets, non-wired, (other than coloured throughout the mass (body tinted), opacified, flashed or merely surface ground)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14609585.061993498, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.910063299454124, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "DZA", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "hs_code": "260700", "hs_description": "Lead ores and concentrates", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 83286231.16465145, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5087918298355184, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "DZA", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "hs_code": "390761", "hs_description": "Poly(ethylene terephthalate): in primary forms, having a viscosity of 78ml/g or higher", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 125890257.65984365, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "DZA", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "distance_km": 1854, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 1, "exporter_is_wto": 0, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 80271.119426, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 11634.971018208831, "importer_population": 6899.125, "importer_biz_entry_days": 23, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 167983.141738, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3765.034540553682, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 14.115139557777775, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 15.100112106666666, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 13.533760373333333, "tariff_advantage_pp": 1.566351733333332 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DZA-BGR/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DZA-BGR/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DZA-BGR/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DZA-BGR/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DZA-BGR/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }