{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:54.205Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Denmark exports to South Africa: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Denmark to South Africa, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "DNK",
    "country_name": "Denmark"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "ZAF",
    "country_name": "South Africa"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "DNK",
    "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
    "all_history_lane_count": 411,
    "current_lane_count": 360,
    "current_product_count": 360,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2000,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 311151181.4124172,
    "attention_trade_usd": 165689606.68815613,
    "critical_trade_usd": 11422062.565538408,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 100342115.79515444,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 86694256.47388928,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 434958.42086291383,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 91101526.5763771,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 311151181.4124172,
    "critical_lane_count": 1,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 30,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 151,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 196,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 2,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 119,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9514587542182716,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 24.188905359677594,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 431.4471255108294,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 14.051082884992457,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 30.835267397244092,
    "top_product_hs6": "350790",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 43720110.39789198,
    "top_product_description": "Enzymes and prepared enzymes: other than rennet and concentrates thereof",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "350790",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
    "distance_km": 9988.1259765625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.24939998984336853,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 9.82419857610707,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 11.33147539878788,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 8.401733979616163,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 2.9297414191717177,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 40,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 419946.428126,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 6994,
    "buyer_population_latest": 60041.996,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 0.5997022185294298,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -0.829491262325488,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.4411476748953822,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 19.936,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 19.216,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend weakened",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 53.25051505060553,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 3.670904450270741,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "declining_buyer_demand",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "buyer_macro_weakness"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 419946.428126,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 6994,
    "buyer_population_2024": 60041.996
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "DNK",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 114797306.49659255,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "DNK",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 123059566.0360172,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.197259057354177,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "DNK",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 114829091.08096008,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.688204111371732,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "DNK",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 149386225.1842575,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 30.09440706879145,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.175775376405548
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "DNK",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 170323852.30686468,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.015768252248195,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.443146109598445
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "DNK",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 182972373.7850914,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.426159816675848,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.80045423188883
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "DNK",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 206194723.62273777,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.69172463430024,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.341140304683961
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "DNK",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 265559221.6584272,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 28.790502973444234,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.95655527859796
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "DNK",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 249396969.65543398,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.086119661768608,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.875404331749628
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "DNK",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 225351597.19620705,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.64140522334651,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.005646181962307
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "DNK",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 248933540.65503442,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.464511346815652,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.132008317854661
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "DNK",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 286048321.9597829,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.90951408439618,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.676552483615004
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "DNK",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 319588227.8432902,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.725258744298062,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.350940168042058
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "DNK",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 425981502.31909764,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 33.29073639344979,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.610445567267277
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "DNK",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 342868531.1813942,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -19.51093432114441,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.2256525133940865
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "DNK",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 392362858.3626123,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.43536594352346,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.077701143678761
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "DNK",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 322891422.84925336,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -17.705915336449895,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.822309116135719
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "DNK",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 360696884.0481509,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.708412959779224,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.704051651870775
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "DNK",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 325918285.30703616,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.642056884658867,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.997310564722702
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "DNK",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 404384331.3333517,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 24.07537397062438,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.790198153108419
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "DNK",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 282116312.2341067,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -30.235597580177775,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.864159387474256
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "DNK",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 310135779.47381675,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.931884837789461,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.6409372211015683
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "DNK",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 304831530.568831,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.7102989258398482,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.990124062391558
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "DNK",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 311832450.0421176,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.296652009791278,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.394563218446578
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "DNK",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 350209692.0759113,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.30700718562494,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.133890985589317
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "DNK",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "hs_code": "350790",
      "hs_description": "Enzymes and prepared enzymes: other than rennet and concentrates thereof",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 87827559.39013954,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6203507676406751,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "DNK",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "hs_code": "300439",
      "hs_description": "Medicaments: containing hormones (but not insulin), adrenal cortex hormones or antibiotics, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 154640085.71413577,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8709008244158205,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "DNK",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "hs_code": "300490",
      "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1421521846.6090708,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 66.00073253565874,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5438550334806018,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "DNK",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "hs_code": "300431",
      "hs_description": "Medicaments: containing insulin, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 35603045.36438355,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 51.81424588392737,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5819977884388586,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "DNK",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "hs_code": "210690",
      "hs_description": "Food preparations: n.e.s. in item no. 2106.10",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 227402960.18957207,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4315556923249115,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "DNK",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "hs_code": "481159",
      "hs_description": "Paper and paperboard: coated, impregnated or covered with plastics (excluding adhesives), other than bleached and weighing more than 150g/m2, other than goods of heading no. 4803, 4809, or 4810",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 100183440.04026942,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6993930169578082,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "DNK",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "hs_code": "300290",
      "hs_description": "Toxins, cultures of micro-organisms (excluding yeasts) and similar products",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 48801510.08753275,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.43041310622721063,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "DNK",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "hs_code": "902140",
      "hs_description": "Hearing aids (excluding parts and accessories)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 28126908.346580163,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 2.5098199665193452,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4910519584139223,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "DNK",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "hs_code": "843699",
      "hs_description": "Machinery: parts of that machinery for agricultural, horticultural or forestry use n.e.c. in heading no. 8436",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19853274.684285656,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 1.111889581657075,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8804055072682427,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "DNK",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "hs_code": "382499",
      "hs_description": "Chemical products, mixtures and preparations: n.e.c. heading 3824",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 464653649.1836688,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.48177359749259246,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "DNK",
    "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
    "distance_km": 9190,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 1,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 419946.428126,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 6994.21165355662,
    "importer_population": 60041.996,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 40,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.2,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 397104.34347799997,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 67803.04710458886,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 9.82419857610707,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 11.33147539878788,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 8.401733979616163,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 2.9297414191717177
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DNK-ZAF/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DNK-ZAF/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DNK-ZAF/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DNK-ZAF/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DNK-ZAF/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}