{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:57.041Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Djibouti exports to France: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Djibouti to France, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "DJI",
    "country_name": "Djibouti"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "FRA",
    "country_name": "France"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
    "importer_iso3": "FRA",
    "all_history_lane_count": 40,
    "current_lane_count": 20,
    "current_product_count": 20,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 16231767.035888616,
    "attention_trade_usd": 2257041.514733994,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 5423091.180443701,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 6506129.134804791,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 2059255.9186356608,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 1,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 4,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 10,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 3,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9206367849143315,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 37.01140072129875,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 1137.6714362999892,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 20.157334572757232,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 47.62870293035918,
    "top_product_hs6": "846693",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 3271891.5884945877,
    "top_product_description": "Machine-tools: parts and accessories, for the machines of heading no. 8456 to 8461",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "848790",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 5595.45947265625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.20890720188617706,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 4,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 2937472.7579530003,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 43519,
    "buyer_population_latest": 67499.344,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.025953008194504,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.671974083461248,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.34476684401285596,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.700000000000003,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 23.02,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 13.905088150560873,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 2937472.7579530003,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 43519,
    "buyer_population_2024": 67499.344
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 604093.3264611358,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 507550.7490806063,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.981401076898083,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 1977454.3266370597,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 289.6072127209119,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 1282131.7342996234,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -35.16251085909683,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 28.511759745113906
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 850057.6861126765,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -33.699661012054385,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.756204386912678
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 407295.73110699275,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -52.086106888867654,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -40.943487197046814
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 424688.7857946507,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.270374904344143,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -30.809567092201316
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 1018973.5128799743,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 139.9341699059314,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.227794689104371
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 1587848.4724894036,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 55.82823816505203,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 57.38610918560918
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 1015487.0653359462,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -36.0463493255196,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 33.72148809100865
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 525812.9695793813,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -48.220613779513734,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -19.79105580913535
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 2568786.0430806167,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 388.5360749346846,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.39230383661765
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 955147.1254571548,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -62.817178642418405,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.0212354443745584
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 619805.8799675786,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -35.1088577405365,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.635071991327911
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 16540278.147308987,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2568.6223351372837,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 86.03941214319268
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 427107.4729438689,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -97.41777333403938,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -23.530374071290115
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 5479459.795299575,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1182.9229508751052,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 106.77308986449634
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 3447278.875842042,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -37.08724938908743,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -40.71048880652257
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 2995012.8311125156,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.119508488243625,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 91.40524704706128
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 1496477.4718592488,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -50.034355235020044,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -35.120004233352674
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 207622.1592911213,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -86.12594153969,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -60.801832735897236
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 9229677.68066512,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4345.420330940473,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 45.52221030384709
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 14147699.91818915,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 53.28487524354828,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 111.44879705189527
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 15661514.625706015,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.700076452502461,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 322.52591636958084
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 16992704.16936045,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.499749707920913,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 22.56279433245205
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 10222425.711498734,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -39.84226636552178,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.266203766921189
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 9512130.992173709,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.948396979065807,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -15.31340191675934
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 14563988.16155316,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 53.1096257351372,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.011155030711634
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 19821304.491366632,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 36.09805412841543,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.69798143461295
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 20836183.512588263,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.12014242888843,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 29.871378550139838
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "hs_code": "846693",
      "hs_description": "Machine-tools: parts and accessories, for the machines of heading no. 8456 to 8461",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 294416242.1112627,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9999978388788099,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "hs_code": "848790",
      "hs_description": "Machinery parts: not containing electrical connectors, insulators, coils, contacts or other electrical features, n.e.c. in chapter 84",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 297212680.17394346,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 53.71487976947399,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2695577051695426,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "hs_code": "490700",
      "hs_description": "Unused postage, revenue or similar stamps of current or new issue in the country in which they have, or will have, a recognised face value: stamp-impressed paper: cheque forms: banknotes, stock, share or bond certificates and the like of similar title",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20449251.51514785,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 45.35079690292411,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1384550428625835,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "hs_code": "871000",
      "hs_description": "Tanks and other armoured fighting vehicles: motorised, whether or not fitted with weapons, and parts of such vehicles",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18014257.070095934,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 61.170831978483,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7239079231264915,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "hs_code": "880310",
      "hs_description": "Aircraft and spacecraft: propellers and rotors and parts thereof",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 313898344.7110125,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5209465180341366,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "hs_code": "930690",
      "hs_description": "Ammunition: n.e.s. in chapter 93",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 114635156.28555141,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 45.95215685326662,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8521463143999454,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "hs_code": "846620",
      "hs_description": "Machine-tools: parts and accessories, work holders",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 60956319.53095617,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 47.327450724327726,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6096847817472069,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "hs_code": "850590",
      "hs_description": "Magnets: electro-magnets, holding devices and parts n.e.c. in heading no. 8505",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 82984139.0835584,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 65.66849037492311,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.066010431640194,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "hs_code": "401190",
      "hs_description": "Rubber: new pneumatic tyres, of a kind used on light commercial vehicles",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 48869558.224327005,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 80.99467119241352,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9268386238096259,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "hs_code": "901849",
      "hs_description": "Dental instruments and appliances: other than dental drill engines",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 334663620.5750668,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 19.17818327834332,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8505323628613886,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
    "importer_iso3": "FRA",
    "distance_km": 5585,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 1,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 1,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 2937472.757953,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 43518.5378683532,
    "importer_population": 67499.344,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 4,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.7,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 3371.1021239999995,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3363.7120486291615,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DJI-FRA/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DJI-FRA/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DJI-FRA/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DJI-FRA/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DJI-FRA/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}