{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:54.211Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Djibouti exports to Ethiopia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Djibouti to Ethiopia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "DJI",
    "country_name": "Djibouti"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "ETH",
    "country_name": "Ethiopia"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
    "importer_iso3": "ETH",
    "all_history_lane_count": 64,
    "current_lane_count": 57,
    "current_product_count": 57,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2000,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 693804795.3435014,
    "attention_trade_usd": 678559341.316724,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 632085767.031879,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 7823466.961151585,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 683992251.1778383,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 20,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 42,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 24,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 46,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.4283303370274798,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 20.438343628504533,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 3035.23386906803,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 53.00861627226322,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 67.42056847900646,
    "top_product_hs6": "151190",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 367776321.64219785,
    "top_product_description": "Vegetable oils: palm oil and its fractions, other than crude, whether or not refined, but not chemically modified",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "151190",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 551.2850341796875,
    "shares_land_border": 1,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": null,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 32,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 111271.11233,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 944,
    "buyer_population_latest": 117876.228,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 10.27232952973971,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 7.4007157215487895,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.6737380555600376,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": null,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": null,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 97.80263063485609,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 111271.11233,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 944,
    "buyer_population_2024": 117876.228
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 27074308.100345675,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 11547168.616872124,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -57.35008786161855,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 5646241.713213216,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -51.102803634795634,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 5311826.6798471,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.9227898901941245,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -41.892947929377314
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 4209082.566701077,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -20.760167445406285,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -28.566162885849767
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 3053646.384642566,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -27.45102201604229,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -18.525864826638973
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 9955410.874865158,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 226.01714870893454,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.293003076953923
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 13665717.415617203,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 37.26924571360095,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 48.074973514649265
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 24714827.578101806,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 80.85276335260426,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 100.77653135589135
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 10310749.521247474,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -58.281118940990886,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.1758859480487382
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 38534153.66196135,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 273.72795821054126,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 41.27689118268882
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 166523037.02266836,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 332.14401043677293,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 88.87402957558758
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 342123.0435090785,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -99.79454912087479,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -67.86605618131108
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 31392.698578363095,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -90.82414962278621,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -90.66041436727214
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 8720866.094272597,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 27679.918545401226,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -62.58649192146988
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 11999.604922139955,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -99.86240351826959,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -67.26631690610454
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 290317.41286256653,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2319.391427853715,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 109.90114693141435
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 161177.68605756902,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -44.482253245392144,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -73.56079252856867
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 769572.7008085262,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 377.4685129389761,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 300.2772450165281
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 136.1186409780031,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -99.9823124389892,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -92.23130317898283
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 24484.73663442462,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17887.790987702687,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -46.64233203881588
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 67347637.20043725,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 274959.6757726567,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 343.9740330777555
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 171325820.12318176,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 154.39024625806687,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10696.966113697781
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 199963750.47368556,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.715478338240786,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1913.810552403628
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 353265752.0971987,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 76.66489614260716,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 73.75063113539701
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 408449521.48194635,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.621035737866883,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 33.58935635583078
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 656324971.7733933,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 60.68692390484367,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 48.612686459470254
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 873314465.1138915,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 33.06128864092914,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 35.21442920870748
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 649877154.5166825,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -25.58497763667179,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.7430296124931
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 756452408.0105997,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.3992921974889,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.846569934759959
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "hs_code": "151190",
      "hs_description": "Vegetable oils: palm oil and its fractions, other than crude, whether or not refined, but not chemically modified",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 550387516.3976364,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 19.173136822151456,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2656520251981682,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "hs_code": "100640",
      "hs_description": "Cereals: rice, broken",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 56733367.605746895,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 3.4565397305745145,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "hs_code": "151110",
      "hs_description": "Vegetable oils: palm oil and its fractions, crude, not chemically modified",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 48766685.95541841,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0347178867412903,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "hs_code": "870421",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), for transport of goods, (of a gvw not exceeding 5 tonnes), n.e.c. in item no 8704.1",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 78465926.14935872,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 36.652555565495994,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.416595319887576,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "hs_code": "870331",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), cylinder capacity not exceeding 1500cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 41096530.898108624,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 40.45750341338062,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.046754154784795,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "hs_code": "870410",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: dumpers, designed for off-highway use, for transport of goods",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 37071402.66818285,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 36.98059787290654,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7982718207276941,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "hs_code": "071340",
      "hs_description": "Vegetables, leguminous: lentils, shelled, whether or not skinned or split, dried",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 30866057.478710253,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.0141087667339996,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "hs_code": "151211",
      "hs_description": "Vegetable oils: sunflower seed or safflower oil and their fractions, crude, not chemically modified",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 31714568.111225724,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 38.85717994266006,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2018714478516972,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "hs_code": "870333",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), cylinder capacity exceeding 2500cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 27382094.368577667,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 25.558641871487453,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8260193155556286,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "hs_code": "490700",
      "hs_description": "Unused postage, revenue or similar stamps of current or new issue in the country in which they have, or will have, a recognised face value: stamp-impressed paper: cheque forms: banknotes, stock, share or bond certificates and the like of similar title",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13822942.489206333,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 19.469569367773634,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8403552495257762,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "DJI",
    "importer_iso3": "ETH",
    "distance_km": 559,
    "shares_land_border": 1,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 0,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 111271.11232999999,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 943.9656682091999,
    "importer_population": 117876.228,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 32,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 45.4,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 3371.1021239999995,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3363.7120486291615,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DJI-ETH/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DJI-ETH/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DJI-ETH/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DJI-ETH/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DJI-ETH/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}