{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:54.234Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Germany exports to Uruguay: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Germany to Uruguay, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "DEU",
    "country_name": "Germany"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "URY",
    "country_name": "Uruguay"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
    "importer_iso3": "URY",
    "all_history_lane_count": 164,
    "current_lane_count": 145,
    "current_product_count": 145,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1996,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 219834408.88592073,
    "attention_trade_usd": 95325241.59532422,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 87101737.8767642,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 29527823.504357625,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 83489652.6651724,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 219834408.88592073,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 27,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 65,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 66,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 92,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 145,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.0705605519962849,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 23.813313811228063,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 709.9177208047912,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 21.527266085381978,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 36.054911504919716,
    "top_product_hs6": "300215",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 47324338.14809876,
    "top_product_description": "Blood, human or animal, antisera, other blood fractions and immunological products: immunological products, put up in measured doses or in forms or packings for retail sale",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "300220",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 11412.013671875,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.03959999978542328,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 9.724158755761318,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.724158755761318,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 6.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 59319.547636,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 17021,
    "buyer_population_latest": 3485.152,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.406280845583722,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.472294361527985,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.06258848955915663,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 19.342000000000002,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 18.974,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 43.36229350010062,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 59319.547636,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 17021,
    "buyer_population_2024": 3485.152
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "URY",
      "export_value_usd": 102878656.4796988,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "URY",
      "export_value_usd": 105306578.49947841,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.3599861262367128,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "URY",
      "export_value_usd": 130874034.5194253,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 24.279068206620646,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "URY",
      "export_value_usd": 139142553.54308888,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.31792169778056,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.588905977456452
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "URY",
      "export_value_usd": 115532369.75571686,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -16.96834159368834,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.137371660156618
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "URY",
      "export_value_usd": 121315908.41070558,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.005989808066347,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.496227048635291
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "URY",
      "export_value_usd": 95752831.39686695,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -21.07149618605404,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.712906726307814
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "URY",
      "export_value_usd": 76311986.84235448,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -20.30315372496503,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -12.911055612889877
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "URY",
      "export_value_usd": 68802708.42362912,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.840234449979723,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -17.22562186428843
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "URY",
      "export_value_usd": 87515234.05937226,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 27.197367755535385,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.9540659049281937
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "URY",
      "export_value_usd": 101511092.71769102,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.992482690297848,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.978277641300103
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "URY",
      "export_value_usd": 166484044.1986545,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 64.00576502674195,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 34.25249354686255
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "URY",
      "export_value_usd": 159192418.1860661,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.379774679120474,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 22.07111377139388
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "URY",
      "export_value_usd": 194443394.6759649,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 22.143627750347395,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.191888342866584
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "URY",
      "export_value_usd": 198367398.2600827,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.018069881292206,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.014652314954416
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "URY",
      "export_value_usd": 283549888.01268333,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 42.941778991785995,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.218535674907923
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "URY",
      "export_value_usd": 365653920.8547503,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 28.955762746904835,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.43140713350924
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "URY",
      "export_value_usd": 450638711.74303204,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 23.241865064545685,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 31.457711180841798
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "URY",
      "export_value_usd": 433296191.248158,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.8484311362853574,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.182136640292864
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "URY",
      "export_value_usd": 510240641.3150773,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.757933630866283,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.746759408800077
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "URY",
      "export_value_usd": 477332064.5221675,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.4496188912142145,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.9367314515964074
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "URY",
      "export_value_usd": 388858431.315017,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -18.535028292247013,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.542600428912479
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "URY",
      "export_value_usd": 259378989.86059007,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -33.29732134560166,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -20.190746443152886
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "URY",
      "export_value_usd": 259244791.32140917,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.05173839995792351,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -18.411338160487013
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "URY",
      "export_value_usd": 253492187.86381465,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.218985163895726,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.292295944914578
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "URY",
      "export_value_usd": 263747579.7631609,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.045644161963624,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.5582938515472868
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "URY",
      "export_value_usd": 466626393.37035996,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 76.92158304898169,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.64280331751378
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "URY",
      "export_value_usd": 355351619.9989088,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -23.846652258080205,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.917475843972536
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "URY",
      "export_value_usd": 362897089.1904637,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.1233811151833537,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.223954957476124
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "URY",
      "export_value_usd": 365697015.7060928,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.7715483532466427,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.8028763612295275
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "URY",
      "hs_code": "300215",
      "hs_description": "Blood, human or animal, antisera, other blood fractions and immunological products: immunological products, put up in measured doses or in forms or packings for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 145681522.71946156,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 27.773786797091553,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.2308708794501298,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "URY",
      "hs_code": "300490",
      "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 296460429.1981311,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 3.1262755989601314,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8285603115396135,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "URY",
      "hs_code": "300220",
      "hs_description": "Vaccines: for human medicine",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 109265479.2859009,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.5492139368449007,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "URY",
      "hs_code": "310420",
      "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: potassic, potassium chloride",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 77897194.48984802,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 37.03963975361393,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 3.0671573379615023,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "URY",
      "hs_code": "870380",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: with only electric motor for propulsion",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 126011769.24450423,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.003074434912675,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "URY",
      "hs_code": "300431",
      "hs_description": "Medicaments: containing insulin, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12994610.261804868,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.307838448663178,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "URY",
      "hs_code": "382200",
      "hs_description": "Reagents: diagnostic or laboratory reagents on a backing and prepared diagnostic or laboratory reagents whether or not on a backing, other than those of heading no. 3002 or 3006: certified reference material",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 34914296.05578855,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 11.263889948838504,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6122177276624263,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "URY",
      "hs_code": "870323",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 3000cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 84567728.26901297,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 67.06690566957657,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8037254816665955,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "URY",
      "hs_code": "870360",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: with both spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine and electric motor for propulsion, capable of being charged by plugging to external source of electric power",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16024142.269239394,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7950456312054811,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "URY",
      "hs_code": "901890",
      "hs_description": "Medical, surgical or dental instruments and appliances: n.e.c. in heading no. 9018",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 30224802.96782301,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0.2971694808135384,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6202415199494449,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
    "importer_iso3": "URY",
    "distance_km": 11786,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 59319.547636,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 17020.64863627182,
    "importer_population": 3485.152,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 6.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 24.1,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 4223116.205968999,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 50801.7848771783,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 9.724158755761318,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.724158755761318,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DEU-URY/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DEU-URY/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DEU-URY/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DEU-URY/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DEU-URY/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}