{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:56.980Z", "seo": { "title": "Germany exports to Uganda: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Germany to Uganda, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "DEU", "country_name": "Germany" }, "importer": { "iso3": "UGA", "country_name": "Uganda" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "all_history_lane_count": 75, "current_lane_count": 62, "current_product_count": 62, "first_observed_last_year": 1996, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 67785571.0617165, "attention_trade_usd": 32625884.733455043, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 52354116.91856852, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 23503415.211700987, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 30414715.258051742, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 8, "high_volatility_lane_count": 41, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 42, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 43, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.3590272937405532, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 33.02773321137982, "product_concentration_hhi": 765.4660840501696, "top1_product_share_pct": 15.60782567433156, "top3_product_share_pct": 38.22696952365896, "top_product_hs6": "382200", "top_product_trade_usd": 10579853.763662852, "top_product_description": "Reagents: diagnostic or laboratory reagents on a backing and prepared diagnostic or laboratory reagents whether or not on a backing, other than those of heading no. 3002 or 3006: certified reference material", "top_attention_product_hs6": "490700", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 6177.53857421875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.04479999840259552, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 16.4352762899177, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 16.4352762899177, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 24, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 40434.701516999994, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 858, "buyer_population_latest": 47123.531, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 8.805671720289032, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.56605150525753, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 3.0688087399671105, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 25.022, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 16.612000000000002, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 48.131017003235485, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 40434.701516999994, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 858, "buyer_population_2024": 47123.531 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 36294658.661597684, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 35737433.61613792, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.5352811295325508, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 30094897.270165883, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.788868351822682, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 28240428.17164612, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.16207153615429, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.023646631510884 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 27718431.19547992, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.8484031934412837, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.12124642226869 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 24562368.919992507, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.386150439863552, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.547169113385354 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 29105639.11711243, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.496873049659058, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.0109884732875773 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 26948141.28842059, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.412645432765485, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.9350427639780112 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 36680231.868392415, "yoy_growth_pct": 36.11414411039038, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.302029273177919 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 37872459.222313605, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.250326656055136, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.173053015614574 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 49126642.535380036, "yoy_growth_pct": 29.716008794157524, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.16011216783351 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 69364784.9764146, "yoy_growth_pct": 41.19585910325434, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.661826655613293 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 80236791.94989507, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.673669250437605, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.434988117690207 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 93368745.4409556, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.3664986746491, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.868671492327277 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 87969939.54580323, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.782241016150791, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.242650064612445 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 129735686.84343569, "yoy_growth_pct": 47.47729453182848, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.371313928262524 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 128243688.43618196, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.1500292969152448, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.1590497797722 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 122877466.0693264, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.184394906518896, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.78391551314084 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 98314204.22352582, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.990045881921258, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.829933628648313 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 124060730.1950786, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.188002206696215, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.0992820637901746 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 90277942.28000319, "yoy_growth_pct": -27.230847232604425, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.766084805781672 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 102816861.43904965, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.889238990578834, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.5038911935668198 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 115574374.25487322, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.407996740287874, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.334223813690217 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 124381077.74357872, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.619944771913101, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.273279508140854 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 124611395.09696491, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.18517073301214104, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.618149022755793 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 149378135.0350804, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.875180691816773, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.928576300038138 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 138763180.29701823, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.106096709246856, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.7146190296355464 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 126467207.91008206, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.861120335104044, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.493982522357439 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 144927574.17552778, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.59695882475005, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.0031604716706388 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 134820980.90771708, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.973547529036949, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.9560970540961944 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "hs_code": "382200", "hs_description": "Reagents: diagnostic or laboratory reagents on a backing and prepared diagnostic or laboratory reagents whether or not on a backing, other than those of heading no. 3002 or 3006: certified reference material", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 57426083.99383332, "current_below_peak_pct": 35.39174640550255, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1201159814414345, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "hs_code": "490700", "hs_description": "Unused postage, revenue or similar stamps of current or new issue in the country in which they have, or will have, a recognised face value: stamp-impressed paper: cheque forms: banknotes, stock, share or bond certificates and the like of similar title", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 30139003.32659557, "current_below_peak_pct": 52.17333835809209, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2591663179024362, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "hs_code": "330210", "hs_description": "Odoriferous substances and mixtures: of a kind used in the food or drink industries", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 99563986.48242521, "current_below_peak_pct": 8.896038268575838, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4762195493613683, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "hs_code": "210690", "hs_description": "Food preparations: n.e.s. in item no. 2106.10", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20061389.144355282, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5076798416128616, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "hs_code": "847780", "hs_description": "Machinery: for working rubber or plastics n.e.s. in heading no. 8477", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14189690.394006751, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 3.4471519605265777, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "hs_code": "842230", "hs_description": "Machinery: for filling, closing, sealing, capsuling or labelling bottles, cans, bags or other containers, machinery for aerating beverages", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15782492.18345105, "current_below_peak_pct": 75.15890536026761, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0760068817760469, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "hs_code": "870323", "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 3000cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 130845575.57876068, "current_below_peak_pct": 34.384013187100074, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.784392024143924, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "hs_code": "300490", "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 175269033.34163058, "current_below_peak_pct": 29.39548193023177, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6708203789821863, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "hs_code": "880330", "hs_description": "Aircraft and spacecraft: parts of aeroplanes or helicopters n.e.c. in heading no. 8803", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 48739180.05782118, "current_below_peak_pct": 60.110234474524106, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4741716510843101, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "hs_code": "390110", "hs_description": "Ethylene polymers: in primary forms, polyethylene having a specific gravity of less than 0.94", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 32385601.726244293, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9715974190501792, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "distance_km": 6056, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": 1, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 1, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 40434.701517, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 858.0575491467309, "importer_population": 47123.531, "importer_biz_entry_days": 24, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 40.5, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 4223116.205968999, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 50801.7848771783, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 16.4352762899177, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 16.4352762899177, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DEU-UGA/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DEU-UGA/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DEU-UGA/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DEU-UGA/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DEU-UGA/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }