{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:54.149Z", "seo": { "title": "Germany exports to Thailand: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Germany to Thailand, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "DEU", "country_name": "Germany" }, "importer": { "iso3": "THA", "country_name": "Thailand" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "all_history_lane_count": 1486, "current_lane_count": 1430, "current_product_count": 1430, "first_observed_last_year": 1996, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 5032936792.290057, "attention_trade_usd": 4759385148.100764, "critical_trade_usd": 517278524.72367007, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 925391855.322873, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 1318164702.2946415, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 227894.0763209372, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 2231712445.194449, "access_friction_trade_usd": 5032936792.290057, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 5032936792.290057, "critical_lane_count": 23, "high_attention_lane_count": 596, "high_volatility_lane_count": 450, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 835, "declining_demand_lane_count": 2, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 936, "access_friction_lane_count": 1430, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.824413293727488, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 31.69855535362021, "product_concentration_hhi": 88.86109609790098, "top1_product_share_pct": 4.704163103412749, "top3_product_share_pct": 11.541867363466178, "top_product_hs6": "880240", "top_product_trade_usd": 236757555.60099402, "top_product_description": "Aeroplanes and other aircraft: of an unladen weight exceeding 15,000kg", "top_attention_product_hs6": "880240", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 9065.87890625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.0560000017285347, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 30.34129230020576, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 30.34129230020576, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 6, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 505981.655622, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 7233, "buyer_population_latest": 69950.844, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": -0.6503068707693682, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -0.6907461577446372, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.0407205626975049, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 25.753999999999998, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 31.083999999999996, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer economy and income contracted", "attention_trade_share_pct": 94.56477091847555, "critical_trade_share_pct": 10.277866503630399, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "declining_buyer_demand", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction", "buyer_macro_weakness" ], "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 505981.655622, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 7233, "buyer_population_2024": 69950.844 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 3707032985.3375926, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 3524465209.9332857, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.9249029109375675, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 2746054888.299017, "yoy_growth_pct": -22.085913046904594, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 1772990207.383391, "yoy_growth_pct": -35.43500477946999, "cagr_3y_pct": -21.796421044376967 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 1569987432.5241082, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.44974033211823, "cagr_3y_pct": -23.62797325155229 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 1795406401.1617944, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.358011024029317, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.20703627223152 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 2274643842.917644, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.69242136185648, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.659830428645044 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 2179552093.7553134, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.180511575841173, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.555338720108432 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 2273815763.530058, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.324910152174, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.192585973470589 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 2627287747.980214, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.545322102147674, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.921561393028773 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 2775619031.6644235, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.645795128388298, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.392076019519944 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 2936386551.999776, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.792132079413892, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.897853103549158 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 3508742236.426765, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.491837136946288, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.12382173218307 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 3939809467.412307, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.285520050755627, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.384164420443412 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 3136331814.8051877, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.393820037567668, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.2200900095472598 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 4023883951.6706114, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.2990509064027, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.672194033128596 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 4806580617.757764, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.451273334117825, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.853069847781446 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 5515956425.304203, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.758429410830477, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.707134734727116 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 5487514442.857514, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.5156310212352744, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.894517679986592 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 5351318551.0254965, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.4819231593875557, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.6433696856525755 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 4826447307.274992, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.808260127775814, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.3535370726959455 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 5172378497.616007, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.167408412800591, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.9521201457008308 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 5516628829.600201, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.655551834477347, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.01929194035566 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 6133406766.294353, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.18034139590376, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.315697226698093 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 5761773175.475089, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.059170783544743, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.662565605886714 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 4830996021.425787, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.154352587344857, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.327386372585518 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 5815724488.247357, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.383549530039645, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.7572104719564385 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 5658293790.06403, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.7069834291749806, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.6022748115749654 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 5797124642.244113, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.4535815447382925, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.265425638263555 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 5279898407.185587, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.922116859269458, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.17059854307149 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "hs_code": "880240", "hs_description": "Aeroplanes and other aircraft: of an unladen weight exceeding 15,000kg", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1189757046.4008942, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9514297920160787, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "hs_code": "300490", "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1387308678.8854704, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7754849248715596, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "hs_code": "854239", "hs_description": "Electronic integrated circuits: n.e.c. in heading no. 8542", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11175811259.396873, "current_below_peak_pct": 13.940291432618807, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.33063022970675326, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "hs_code": "854290", "hs_description": "Parts of electronic integrated circuits", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2752678417.963856, "current_below_peak_pct": 37.201870521174584, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7042085383592918, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "hs_code": "854231", "hs_description": "Electronic integrated circuits: processors and controllers, whether or not combined with memories, converters, logic circuits, amplifiers, clock and timing circuits, or other circuits", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 7262816264.841843, "current_below_peak_pct": 17.77097615849189, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5599472183977001, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "hs_code": "870380", "hs_description": "Vehicles: with only electric motor for propulsion", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1558258099.082817, "current_below_peak_pct": 47.923906235071975, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.4309349151875588, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "hs_code": "870829", "hs_description": "Vehicles: parts and accessories, of bodies, other than safety seat belts", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 801942441.1694044, "current_below_peak_pct": 39.37190914970712, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7723444471177973, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "hs_code": "847989", "hs_description": "Machines and mechanical appliances: n.e.s. in item no. 8479.8, having individual functions", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 824289201.056621, "current_below_peak_pct": 13.937415043542032, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.41876748445265755, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "hs_code": "853710", "hs_description": "Boards, panels, consoles, desks and other bases: for electric control or the distribution of electricity, (other than switching apparatus of heading no. 8517), for a voltage not exceeding 1000 volts", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1455372234.7282343, "current_below_peak_pct": 39.53515714375464, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.767261902656385, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "hs_code": "710812", "hs_description": "Metals: gold, non-monetary, unwrought (but not powder)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14067731674.616665, "current_below_peak_pct": 50.88199017000704, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4158848131677527, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "distance_km": 8615, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 1, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 505981.655622, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 7233.388858353161, "importer_population": 69950.844, "importer_biz_entry_days": 6, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 3, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 4223116.205968999, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 50801.7848771783, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 30.34129230020576, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 30.34129230020576, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DEU-THA/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DEU-THA/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DEU-THA/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DEU-THA/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DEU-THA/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }