{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:57.051Z", "seo": { "title": "Germany exports to Chad: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Germany to Chad, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "DEU", "country_name": "Germany" }, "importer": { "iso3": "TCD", "country_name": "Chad" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "all_history_lane_count": 26, "current_lane_count": 10, "current_product_count": 10, "first_observed_last_year": 1997, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 10833969.146, "attention_trade_usd": 1385168.1489999997, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 9203656.929, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 371001.19200000004, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 3115451.833, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 1, "high_volatility_lane_count": 7, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 4, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 8, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.1402230731080913, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 11.503902536285775, "product_concentration_hhi": 4893.286858978656, "top1_product_share_pct": 68.11797864243245, "top3_product_share_pct": 88.31203048545217, "top_product_hs6": "190190", "top_product_trade_usd": 7379880.789000001, "top_product_description": "Food preparations: of flour, meal, starch, malt extract or milk products, for uses n.e.s. in heading no. 1901", "top_attention_product_hs6": "300490", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 4433.431640625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.03252200037240982, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 58, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 11779.980802, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 696, "buyer_population_latest": 16914.986, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.541022538450768, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.4827542743241162, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 3.998973316349397, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 32.208000000000006, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 24.294, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 12.785417147984186, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 11779.980802, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 696, "buyer_population_2024": 16914.986 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 2643001.855561881, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 3713590.7059779614, "yoy_growth_pct": 40.50654933000348, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 1573841.9753177238, "yoy_growth_pct": -57.619401276930496, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 1707332.3336009735, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.481814589822513, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.554936227693037 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 2466953.133987024, "yoy_growth_pct": 44.491677773355164, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.745274962334241 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 2325000.0000000005, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.75418851827163, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.890441820611565 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 8333972.596752133, "yoy_growth_pct": 258.4504342689089, "cagr_3y_pct": 69.6333873047484 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 22187908.377309583, "yoy_growth_pct": 166.2344772522593, "cagr_3y_pct": 107.96256000494498 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 12131955.058782743, "yoy_growth_pct": -45.32177232537402, "cagr_3y_pct": 73.44799285651592 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 22134831.126900725, "yoy_growth_pct": 82.45065217972886, "cagr_3y_pct": 38.48669416557975 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 13059895.564618558, "yoy_growth_pct": -40.99844046812397, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.194128488970428 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 34180866.963116154, "yoy_growth_pct": 161.72389200199916, "cagr_3y_pct": 41.2377402400065 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 47886000, "yoy_growth_pct": 40.09591989481356, "cagr_3y_pct": 29.333426207629888 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 45926112.193245135, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.092820045012879, "cagr_3y_pct": 52.06875585359072 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 23253203.879030775, "yoy_growth_pct": -49.36822916517004, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.050526930200267 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 26409253.648999996, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.572537300183729, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.993327776892976 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 16037780.440000001, "yoy_growth_pct": -39.272117822204024, "cagr_3y_pct": -29.580188145998353 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 24680164.076999996, "yoy_growth_pct": 53.887654026269935, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.005067537385452 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 20979825.97049999, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.993166556572602, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.384874864337975 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 46929807.20750001, "yoy_growth_pct": 123.69016441551341, "cagr_3y_pct": 43.03253489406356 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 19800872.49399999, "yoy_growth_pct": -57.80747104617223, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.079380867359997 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 20502453.5815, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.5431826941595634, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.7642890778531752 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 12040934.690999994, "yoy_growth_pct": -41.27076233517288, "cagr_3y_pct": -36.45659588592252 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 16954767.625999987, "yoy_growth_pct": 40.80939778431687, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.0410643334789285 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 18068014.112, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.565979024642354, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.125849708922146 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 14582542.743999999, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.290838198344662, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.59193653322887 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 18123491.29199998, "yoy_growth_pct": 24.282106421096607, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.246866469417519 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 23124149.792000003, "yoy_growth_pct": 27.59213674358316, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.572153230912715 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 18272708.78800001, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.979975686191022, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.809382435305445 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 26973871.143999998, "yoy_growth_pct": 47.61834962156342, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.173979454203621 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "hs_code": "190190", "hs_description": "Food preparations: of flour, meal, starch, malt extract or milk products, for uses n.e.s. in heading no. 1901", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 33993782.08386564, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1947311109305458, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "hs_code": "300490", "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 53046596.44299666, "current_below_peak_pct": 33.4897791779548, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1816819451114062, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "hs_code": "330290", "hs_description": "Odoriferous substances and mixtures: used as raw materials in industries other than the food or drink industries", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11579691.767457034, "current_below_peak_pct": 39.110555154441826, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5899289926000841, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "hs_code": "300410", "hs_description": "Medicaments: containing penicillins, streptomycins or their derivatives, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10210797.595758148, "current_below_peak_pct": 23.46987838557761, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8062024817102258, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "hs_code": "210690", "hs_description": "Food preparations: n.e.s. in item no. 2106.10", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 57272215.31840835, "current_below_peak_pct": 14.182569471252302, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9335477235536941, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "hs_code": "851762", "hs_description": "Communication apparatus (excluding telephone sets or base stations): machines for the reception, conversion and transmission or regeneration of voice, images or other data, including switching and routing apparatus", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11891612.28079853, "current_below_peak_pct": 76.39031533500228, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5492463481623784, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "hs_code": "870422", "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), for transport of goods, (of a g.v.w. exceeding 5 tonnes but not exceeding 20 tonnes), nes in item no 8704.1", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18466117.622390874, "current_below_peak_pct": 92.48353327357405, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4953470027491214, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "hs_code": "854370", "hs_description": "Electrical machines and apparatus: having individual functions, not specified or included elsewhere in this chapter, n.e.c. in heading no. 8543", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11324048.946096722, "current_below_peak_pct": 87.27316133611878, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.597285890687836, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "hs_code": "040221", "hs_description": "Dairy produce: milk and cream, concentrated, not containing added sugar or other sweetening matter, in powder, granules or other solid forms, of a fat content exceeding 1.5% (by weight)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18151292.88010037, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0057579128442828, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "hs_code": "850760", "hs_description": "Electric accumulators: lithium-ion, including separators, whether or not rectangular (including square)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13945913.202, "current_below_peak_pct": 80.05653204798774, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6475401237764935, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "distance_km": 4485, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 1, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 11779.980801999998, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 696.42273437294, "importer_population": 16914.986, "importer_biz_entry_days": 58, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 169.3, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 4223116.205968999, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 50801.7848771783, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DEU-TCD/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DEU-TCD/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DEU-TCD/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DEU-TCD/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DEU-TCD/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }