{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:57.016Z", "seo": { "title": "Germany exports to Syrian Arab Republic: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Germany to Syrian Arab Republic, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "DEU", "country_name": "Germany" }, "importer": { "iso3": "SYR", "country_name": "Syrian Arab Republic" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "all_history_lane_count": 28, "current_lane_count": 11, "current_product_count": 11, "first_observed_last_year": 2008, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 16050175.627499998, "attention_trade_usd": 6313454.209000001, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 2172793.9615, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 9887218.273500001, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 6601097.992500001, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 16050175.627499998, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 3, "high_volatility_lane_count": 3, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 9, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 6, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8629168813738324, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 58.197944845133485, "product_concentration_hhi": 1495.1651233652594, "top1_product_share_pct": 22.351888896799554, "top3_product_share_pct": 60.74995691195903, "top_product_hs6": "300490", "top_product_trade_usd": 3587517.424, "top_product_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale", "top_attention_product_hs6": "300490", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 3093.485595703125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.009200000204145908, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 21.362679177983537, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 21.362679177983537, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 15.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 21445.775364, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 1266, "buyer_population_latest": 18275.703, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 0.9043464757107378, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -1.065563203855846, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 3.9239347234722777, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": null, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": null, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend weakened", "attention_trade_share_pct": 39.33573286377425, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "buyer_macro_weakness" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 21445.775364, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 1266, "buyer_population_2024": 18275.703 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 417669357.2203327, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 357408506.24764377, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.42788414590338, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 301134152.74802774, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.745107493503319, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 403709482.05880195, "yoy_growth_pct": 34.06300094981371, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.1267570889659573 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 323667700.4507552, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.826579549198787, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.2513695500541284 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 248412507.72504854, "yoy_growth_pct": -23.250757681691013, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.214042802642394 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 907632132.797638, "yoy_growth_pct": 265.37296012575837, "cagr_3y_pct": 31.002717374844412 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 825384419.3612789, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.061789514089046, "cagr_3y_pct": 36.62147446233315 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 652681511.209834, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.92393605940497, "cagr_3y_pct": 37.988412127557325 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 901712081.8243256, "yoy_growth_pct": 38.15499080905165, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.21789183910476684 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 534488021.7649698, "yoy_growth_pct": -40.72520125452856, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.484503707755223 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 729514634.8297585, "yoy_growth_pct": 36.48849087782695, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.779338811007582 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 823176892.1692767, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.838982642394203, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.99180423737615 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 851458413.644844, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.4356554155739794, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.790760967968964 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 821916924.2588617, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.4695164100292275, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.055403623330833 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 861947513.7631365, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.870393627722325, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.5459367408422908 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 766035561.7886386, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.127354095582964, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.4626966055010033 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 317807629.3319945, "yoy_growth_pct": -58.512679412697736, "cagr_3y_pct": -27.147331310078915 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 143967405.87983254, "yoy_growth_pct": -54.69982700464422, "cagr_3y_pct": -44.92838836873227 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 159526127.32850534, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.80711384190629, "cagr_3y_pct": -40.726446595688195 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 107506881.45322046, "yoy_growth_pct": -32.60860571645663, "cagr_3y_pct": -30.32280668068219 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 52539922.703406505, "yoy_growth_pct": -51.12878171778406, "cagr_3y_pct": -28.53801368593326 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 88922970.98644355, "yoy_growth_pct": 69.24838562938749, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.701096809064232 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 103560552.21345866, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.46096735706979, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.2388743708976802 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 98932179.50843896, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.469242975336507, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.48552403872388 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 66389941.600999914, "yoy_growth_pct": -32.89348124051303, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.281448463873776 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 52036175.44699995, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.620392800260845, "cagr_3y_pct": -20.499412646797143 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 46619636.42299999, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.409179724433882, "cagr_3y_pct": -22.18253091864438 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 48409743.77480476, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.8398140550954807, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.99288686890899 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 43467025.443500035, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.210172469198664, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.821554585146027 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "hs_code": "300490", "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 28190049.504011482, "current_below_peak_pct": 80.64732774780092, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9629044120017007, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "hs_code": "330210", "hs_description": "Odoriferous substances and mixtures: of a kind used in the food or drink industries", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13928677.875498382, "current_below_peak_pct": 22.984023450846017, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4832707882401569, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened", "risk_driver_labels": [ "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "hs_code": "180500", "hs_description": "Cocoa: powder, not containing added sugar or other sweetening matter", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12132509.694632571, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7377322984853433, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened", "risk_driver_labels": [ "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "hs_code": "330290", "hs_description": "Odoriferous substances and mixtures: used as raw materials in industries other than the food or drink industries", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16325101.042946378, "current_below_peak_pct": 85.78860572314481, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7191242276143546, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "hs_code": "901890", "hs_description": "Medical, surgical or dental instruments and appliances: n.e.c. in heading no. 9018", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10740121.039230622, "current_below_peak_pct": 88.87869185575474, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5901139325380247, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "hs_code": "721049", "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: flat-rolled, width 600mm or more, (not corrugated), plated or coated with zinc (not electrolytically)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12077686.760394584, "current_below_peak_pct": 93.7950864956505, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0588226012911706, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "hs_code": "999999", "hs_description": "Commodities not specified according to kind", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 35960269.96132102, "current_below_peak_pct": 98.50229063739366, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8810979051654568, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "hs_code": "210690", "hs_description": "Food preparations: n.e.s. in item no. 2106.10", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 26459813.709795218, "current_below_peak_pct": 83.16908369957817, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7138311487965986, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "hs_code": "300215", "hs_description": "Blood, human or animal, antisera, other blood fractions and immunological products: immunological products, put up in measured doses or in forms or packings for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12462131.304298287, "current_below_peak_pct": 91.5417219569012, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8492330795783409, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "hs_code": "271019", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 33043708.297536734, "current_below_peak_pct": 99.1070742933097, "lane_volatility_cv": 3.2795258951895194, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "distance_km": 2794, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 1, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 0, "exporter_is_eu": 1, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 21445.775364, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1173.4582994700668, "importer_population": 18275.703, "importer_biz_entry_days": 15.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 8.1, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 4223116.205968999, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 50801.7848771783, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 21.362679177983537, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 21.362679177983537, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DEU-SYR/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DEU-SYR/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DEU-SYR/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DEU-SYR/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DEU-SYR/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }