{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:54.159Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Germany exports to Marshall Isds: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Germany to Marshall Isds, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "DEU",
    "country_name": "Germany"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "MHL",
    "country_name": "Marshall Isds"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
    "importer_iso3": "MHL",
    "all_history_lane_count": 10,
    "current_lane_count": 5,
    "current_product_count": 5,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2002,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 203408226.28399986,
    "attention_trade_usd": 203292478.01199985,
    "critical_trade_usd": 200087203.38199985,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 87223537.94799994,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 200087203.38199985,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 203408226.28399986,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 203408226.28399986,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 3,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 1,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 4,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 3,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 5,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 5,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9179513266325375,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 80.13078945327007,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 4187.201603970992,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 57.1189722552234,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 98.36731140983298,
    "top_product_hs6": "890190",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 116184688.33599992,
    "top_product_description": "Vessels: n.e.s. in heading no. 8901, for the transport of goods and other vessels for the transport of both persons and goods",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "890190",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 13337.158203125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.548799991607666,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 17,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 248.6656,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 4171,
    "buyer_population_latest": 59.618,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.490832668578526,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 7.861183395493954,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -3.124711430763172,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": null,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": null,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 99.94309557970462,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 98.36731140983296,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Critical attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 248.6656,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 4171,
    "buyer_population_2024": 59.618
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 333648000,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 516283,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -99.84526117345226,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 572672,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.92211054789718,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 4312000,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 652.9615556548949,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -76.53268468178894
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 944808,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -78.08886827458255,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 22.316556357173777
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 55724999.99999999,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5798.023725455329,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 359.95432745399734
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 103573000,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 85.8645132346344,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 188.52886535071335
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 368389000,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 255.68053450223513,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 630.5574332454096
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 75473000,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -79.51268903251726,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.640427551549724
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 79068999.99999999,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.764617810342742,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.605534606123955
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 125612000,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 58.8637772072494,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -30.137923133475798
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 41493999.99999999,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -66.96653186001338,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -18.07849986284196
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 337829499.99999994,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 714.1646985106281,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 62.267087586343585
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 163579709.4941428,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -51.57921096466034,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.202546884565233
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 15588131.759499997,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -90.47062022074434,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -27.844475409746718
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 352738426.2815,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2162.8653114028743,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.4499259086359295
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 96760176.60399999,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -72.56885856638104,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -16.056113382151725
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 190804568.26,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 97.19328235714721,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 130.46141998613479
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 200544037.31899998,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.1044213185338805,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -17.15766585918509
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 756508419.6889998,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 277.2280790805275,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 98.47495151753532
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 647896227.664,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -14.35703677556559,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 50.304584587239276
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 160497370.42200002,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -75.22792021792198,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.156239520513341
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 447129907.589,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 178.5901765327054,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -16.078484499209868
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 792209448.3149999,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 77.17657326630803,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.9329436245217035
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 174552364.02699995,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -77.96638699547623,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.8377591068854846
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 1035627828.041,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 493.3049568327863,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 32.30918591407976
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 190371401.18559995,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -81.61777850777652,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -37.82908923301519
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 272573531.83300006,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 43.17987372864809,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.016381397690527
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 392071467.6809998,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 43.840623498694484,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -27.658555641684856
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 212745623.48499987,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -45.738050069459376,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.7734629309216228
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "hs_code": "890190",
      "hs_description": "Vessels: n.e.s. in heading no. 8901, for the transport of goods and other vessels for the transport of both persons and goods",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 6109203439.196996,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 83.39710573333991,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.801427063645971,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "hs_code": "890120",
      "hs_description": "Tankers",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1697673256.9736643,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 85.3484678776913,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0515150121610435,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "hs_code": "890110",
      "hs_description": "Cruise ships, excursion boats and similar vessels, principally designed for the transport of persons, ferry boats of all kinds",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 30076968.069999993,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 66.85053411541799,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0972980385505267,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "hs_code": "890391",
      "hs_description": "Sailboats: with or without auxiliary motor, for pleasure or sports, other than inflatable",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17258305.996999998,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2003310178785538,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "hs_code": "730890",
      "hs_description": "Iron or steel: structures and parts thereof, n.e.s. in heading no. 7308",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 114411888.25499998,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.460258952788241,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
    "importer_iso3": "MHL",
    "distance_km": 13077,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": null,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 0,
    "exporter_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 248.6656,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4170.98191821262,
    "importer_population": 59.618,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 17,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 12.9,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 4223116.205968999,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 50801.7848771783,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DEU-MHL/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DEU-MHL/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DEU-MHL/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DEU-MHL/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DEU-MHL/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}