{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:57.007Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Germany exports to Laos: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Germany to Laos, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "DEU",
    "country_name": "Germany"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "LAO",
    "country_name": "Laos"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
    "importer_iso3": "LAO",
    "all_history_lane_count": 73,
    "current_lane_count": 37,
    "current_product_count": 37,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1999,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 13986770.649196882,
    "attention_trade_usd": 9838280.604617255,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 10401854.841427477,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 6388014.414012691,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 13151189.871449003,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 13986770.649196882,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 13986770.649196882,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 5,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 28,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 22,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 35,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 37,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.4627988038711752,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 46.016455685798334,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 1117.9244832540621,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 19.763887273182174,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 49.634888947162345,
    "top_product_hs6": "870340",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 2764329.584265802,
    "top_product_description": "Vehicles: with both spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine and electric motor for propulsion, incapable of being charged by plugging to external source of electric power",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "870340",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 8842.2041015625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.001500000013038516,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 10.100160598765434,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 10.100160598765434,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 173,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 18827.148530000002,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 2551,
    "buyer_population_latest": 7379.358,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": -2.5109792412985388,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -3.884622678053995,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.4291609470088673,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 29.576,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 14.948000000000002,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer economy and income contracted",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 70.339900834666,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction",
      "buyer_macro_weakness"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 18827.148530000002,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 2551,
    "buyer_population_2024": 7379.358
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "LAO",
      "export_value_usd": 4681000,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "LAO",
      "export_value_usd": 4308350.409065381,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -7.960897050515259,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "LAO",
      "export_value_usd": 2769355.9999999995,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -35.72119867100686,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "LAO",
      "export_value_usd": 12966000.000000004,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 368.19549382600167,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 40.439451746644274
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "LAO",
      "export_value_usd": 8585456.436927844,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -33.78484932185839,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.839637006928527
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "LAO",
      "export_value_usd": 3074000,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -64.19526413554341,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.540047161276605
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "LAO",
      "export_value_usd": 6310999.999962939,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 105.30253740933438,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -21.338168438347072
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "LAO",
      "export_value_usd": 3699000,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -41.38805260621577,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -24.47217457537726
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "LAO",
      "export_value_usd": 6839999.999999999,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 84.91484184914839,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 30.552165365815974
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "LAO",
      "export_value_usd": 25394000.000000004,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 271.2573099415206,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 59.053896053291254
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "LAO",
      "export_value_usd": 8287021.968524881,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -67.3662204909629,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 30.849294764506553
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "LAO",
      "export_value_usd": 10759500,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 29.835543345557582,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.29971828330099
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "LAO",
      "export_value_usd": 31119998.72382982,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 189.23275917867764,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.012904522747099
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "LAO",
      "export_value_usd": 23316652.256196007,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -25.07502181116248,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 41.17438414291068
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "LAO",
      "export_value_usd": 15762530.26168686,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -32.39796996372739,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.573745340795341
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "LAO",
      "export_value_usd": 20764518.637215868,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 31.733410134583995,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -12.61690306808867
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "LAO",
      "export_value_usd": 35731976.49458317,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 72.08189180240083,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.29140930717643
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "LAO",
      "export_value_usd": 131035903.0429303,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 266.71887731369924,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 102.57606193216775
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "LAO",
      "export_value_usd": 46683907.59212418,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -64.37319352328232,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 31.00316181530094
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "LAO",
      "export_value_usd": 98894325.3857565,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 111.83814827540375,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 40.40140189468222
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "LAO",
      "export_value_usd": 40248600.93897679,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -59.301405028064735,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -32.52853176158341
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "LAO",
      "export_value_usd": 31315478.706892084,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -22.19486397956719,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -12.46186600475604
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "LAO",
      "export_value_usd": 33616901.257702254,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.349153344744042,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -30.20964050358347
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "LAO",
      "export_value_usd": 34552251.58848824,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.782381170756132,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.959541772475362
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "LAO",
      "export_value_usd": 25632874.451883275,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -25.814170499894807,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.456685996112843
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "LAO",
      "export_value_usd": 45436240.45889563,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 77.25768736622271,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.564295648795463
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "LAO",
      "export_value_usd": 27464342.627232287,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -39.554104059119524,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.3673080506201245
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "LAO",
      "export_value_usd": 32473254.24950655,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.237871884498258,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.203880018831612
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "LAO",
      "export_value_usd": 53890360.99301828,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 65.95306580287428,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.8529342462758205
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "LAO",
      "export_value_usd": 33844694.260173775,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -37.19712832400863,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.211275348022439
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "LAO",
      "hs_code": "870340",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: with both spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine and electric motor for propulsion, incapable of being charged by plugging to external source of electric power",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15750263.506058626,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6615431145746427,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "LAO",
      "hs_code": "110710",
      "hs_description": "Malt: not roasted",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 25676950.668672964,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 63.84455592259517,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.920008676322741,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "LAO",
      "hs_code": "854370",
      "hs_description": "Electrical machines and apparatus: having individual functions, not specified or included elsewhere in this chapter, n.e.c. in heading no. 8543",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 23764423.20079195,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 87.78396151582231,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.255147521386027,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "LAO",
      "hs_code": "330499",
      "hs_description": "Cosmetic and toilet preparations: n.e.c. in heading no. 3304, for the care of the skin (excluding medicaments, including sunscreen or sun tan preparations)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 33729371.13935311,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 24.510767252981527,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0814054812219351,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "LAO",
      "hs_code": "210690",
      "hs_description": "Food preparations: n.e.s. in item no. 2106.10",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 46279184.38423413,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 49.32187286814004,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.9580279300196686,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "LAO",
      "hs_code": "870323",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 3000cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14279774.002280176,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 81.06829949367368,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0326065772339275,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "LAO",
      "hs_code": "870380",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: with only electric motor for propulsion",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 65696141.65362594,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 46.08652926031982,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.477719948599949,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "LAO",
      "hs_code": "230990",
      "hs_description": "Dog or cat food: (not put up for retail sale), used in animal feeding",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 107434606.5973971,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5794926482934528,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "LAO",
      "hs_code": "340130",
      "hs_description": "Organic surface-active products and preparations for washing the skin, in the form of liquid or cream and put up for retail sale, whether or not containing soap",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13852954.379997587,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 5.936860827567264,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9815669650501992,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "LAO",
      "hs_code": "847490",
      "hs_description": "Machines, for sorting, screening, separating, washing, crushing etc mineral substances, for agglomerating, shaping or moulding solid fuels, ceramic pastes etc, for forming foundry moulds of sand: parts",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 25402466.524466366,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 59.66282788510169,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2980863392834112,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
    "importer_iso3": "LAO",
    "distance_km": 8389,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 18827.148530000002,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2551.3260814829696,
    "importer_population": 7379.358,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 173,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 4.6,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 4223116.205968999,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 50801.7848771783,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 10.100160598765434,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 10.100160598765434,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DEU-LAO/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DEU-LAO/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DEU-LAO/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DEU-LAO/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DEU-LAO/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}