{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:54.147Z", "seo": { "title": "Germany exports to Hungary: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Germany to Hungary, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "DEU", "country_name": "Germany" }, "importer": { "iso3": "HUN", "country_name": "Hungary" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "HUN", "all_history_lane_count": 1384, "current_lane_count": 1374, "current_product_count": 1374, "first_observed_last_year": 2017, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 32635908992.61061, "attention_trade_usd": 13146549601.105402, "critical_trade_usd": 639401354.5962527, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 7359174133.357349, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 4392450109.025333, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 4855192.761697753, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 14672399616.236246, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 18, "high_attention_lane_count": 364, "high_volatility_lane_count": 274, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 444, "declining_demand_lane_count": 1, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 521, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8051957511554843, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 20.490421527626104, "product_concentration_hhi": 84.26899621536215, "top1_product_share_pct": 5.571091569357026, "top3_product_share_pct": 10.091805843604233, "top_product_hs6": "880240", "top_product_trade_usd": 1818176374.4703615, "top_product_description": "Aeroplanes and other aircraft: of an unladen weight exceeding 15,000kg", "top_attention_product_hs6": "880240", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 976.2567138671875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.3517965078353882, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.276851853292182, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.276851853292182, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 8.276851853292182, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 7, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 182280.517581, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 18773, "buyer_population_latest": 9709.886, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.19142800064274, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 6.484674704790949, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.2753886462640631, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 26.228, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 30.585999999999995, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 40.28246801424171, "critical_trade_share_pct": 1.959195788727764, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "declining_buyer_demand", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 182280.517581, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 18773, "buyer_population_2024": 9709.886 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "HUN", "export_value_usd": 4365226712.110056, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "HUN", "export_value_usd": 4820487519.980952, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.429259186193175, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "HUN", "export_value_usd": 6293869212.931898, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.564993412881346, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "HUN", "export_value_usd": 8083760023.545107, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.438640048883656, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.801084656043713 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "HUN", "export_value_usd": 8544691498.046827, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.701944060179809, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.023156198900427 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "HUN", "export_value_usd": 8801096614.86762, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.0007533552194765, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.82520204073263 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "HUN", "export_value_usd": 8848020907.09372, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.5331641530537334, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.057018971414127 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "HUN", "export_value_usd": 9790515683.193548, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.652040563604492, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.641284002528412 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "HUN", "export_value_usd": 12456922425.88023, "yoy_growth_pct": 27.234589361455708, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.277135435776977 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "HUN", "export_value_usd": 16349859951.003542, "yoy_growth_pct": 31.251198265756486, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.712639844570948 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "HUN", "export_value_usd": 17228342971.449997, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.37303085824008, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.72929015310794 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "HUN", "export_value_usd": 20134883040.830673, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.87068845911217, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.35802271442184 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "HUN", "export_value_usd": 24812594237.032555, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.231876672519782, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.917467207143886 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "HUN", "export_value_usd": 26333641157.602512, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.130140629550973, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.192039634498844 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "HUN", "export_value_usd": 17335425392.66569, "yoy_growth_pct": -34.17004018200134, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.8675976475617055 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "HUN", "export_value_usd": 19380204476.42448, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.795378754442897, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.906553324074606 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "HUN", "export_value_usd": 22469850147.348415, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.94227591706996, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.151655664178623 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "HUN", "export_value_usd": 21365322228.07664, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.915599846143682, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.2156825319950935 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "HUN", "export_value_usd": 23359338279.633717, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.332955666527209, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.422647891730926 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "HUN", "export_value_usd": 25718060501.63816, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.097555820153259, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.603450959242461 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "HUN", "export_value_usd": 23504954791.298363, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.60525897821428, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.2325505903399776 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "HUN", "export_value_usd": 24518458748.06685, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.311873669902533, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.6274145043363442 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "HUN", "export_value_usd": 27021160111.32086, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.207417150359577, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.6612063878505001 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "HUN", "export_value_usd": 29912581453.983265, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.700581806075027, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.367276311649107 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "HUN", "export_value_usd": 29210995869.56451, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.3454531515377797, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.011032797276505 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "HUN", "export_value_usd": 27307558698.89408, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.516166648921606, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.3520606960375927 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "HUN", "export_value_usd": 32666343619.090466, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.623815439837934, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.9790491058288238 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "HUN", "export_value_usd": 33409273305.582348, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.274297041489848, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.577973529260948 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "HUN", "export_value_usd": 34222610209.248375, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.434464515964585, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.814395355314252 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "HUN", "export_value_usd": 34377896737.60123, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.4537541917562171, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.716855433363751 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "HUN", "hs_code": "880240", "hs_description": "Aeroplanes and other aircraft: of an unladen weight exceeding 15,000kg", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2065330811.8495104, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0223939535967423, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "HUN", "hs_code": "870840", "hs_description": "Vehicles: parts, gear boxes", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1191620388.1251802, "current_below_peak_pct": 4.821902534442881, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1045295738981626, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "HUN", "hs_code": "854239", "hs_description": "Electronic integrated circuits: n.e.c. in heading no. 8542", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1254147751.7486908, "current_below_peak_pct": 10.211064908551428, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6756806706850891, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "HUN", "hs_code": "854231", "hs_description": "Electronic integrated circuits: processors and controllers, whether or not combined with memories, converters, logic circuits, amplifiers, clock and timing circuits, or other circuits", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1846228802.4550996, "current_below_peak_pct": 16.216862689818115, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.71701266763305, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "HUN", "hs_code": "840991", "hs_description": "Engines: parts, suitable for use solely or principally with spark-ignition internal combustion piston engines (for other than aircraft)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1160050298.2000315, "current_below_peak_pct": 76.3514372730607, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5655112639811125, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "HUN", "hs_code": "300490", "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2291888411.364083, "current_below_peak_pct": 27.09284687463398, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.643793490597309, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "HUN", "hs_code": "870829", "hs_description": "Vehicles: parts and accessories, of bodies, other than safety seat belts", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1296758915.0394332, "current_below_peak_pct": 1.1833708159336156, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6206957419456778, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "HUN", "hs_code": "870899", "hs_description": "Vehicle parts and accessories: n.e.c. in heading no. 8708", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1308455519.923767, "current_below_peak_pct": 38.435963189559736, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6897261750563038, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "HUN", "hs_code": "840999", "hs_description": "Engines: parts for internal combustion piston engines (excluding spark-ignition)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 731322710.780902, "current_below_peak_pct": 42.73237087032373, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5485522363871871, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "HUN", "hs_code": "854129", "hs_description": "Electrical apparatus: transistors, (other than photosensitive), with a dissipation rate of 1W or more", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 642804957.1489283, "current_below_peak_pct": 13.82814288866431, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.242048097882198, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "HUN", "distance_km": 689, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 1, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 182280.517581, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 18772.673292044827, "importer_population": 9709.886, "importer_biz_entry_days": 7, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 4.5, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 4223116.205968999, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 50801.7848771783, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.276851853292182, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.276851853292182, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 8.276851853292182 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DEU-HUN/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DEU-HUN/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DEU-HUN/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DEU-HUN/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DEU-HUN/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }