{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:54.234Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Germany exports to Guatemala: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Germany to Guatemala, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "DEU",
    "country_name": "Germany"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "GTM",
    "country_name": "Guatemala"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
    "importer_iso3": "GTM",
    "all_history_lane_count": 312,
    "current_lane_count": 277,
    "current_product_count": 277,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1996,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 367685825.5373427,
    "attention_trade_usd": 95600640.5423483,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 199945021.28521138,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 39291318.20126824,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 146837624.0318406,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 19,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 139,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 101,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 147,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.190606248672735,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 14.717649717133456,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 189.65028990392392,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 6.253886360805917,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 14.734777551764298,
    "top_product_hs6": "300490",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 22994653.693896517,
    "top_product_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "293220",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 9256.5908203125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.03440000116825104,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.793402516543212,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.865879041358028,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 2.16560531111111,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 6.700273730246918,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 15,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 85986.321551,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 5026,
    "buyer_population_latest": 17109.747,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 7.963421520392089,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 6.390193560081858,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.4787339957434753,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 17.206,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 4.184,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 26.000632578815292,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 85986.321551,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 5026,
    "buyer_population_2024": 17109.747
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 119933299.85929018,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 108158954.40905672,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.81741139787492,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 120111688.89974084,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.051081767561222,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 132579187.2342916,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.379920929225772,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.3979328621122296
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 119619613.58936219,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.774968390798389,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.414151184598424
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 115311410.04086226,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.6015862442838165,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.3503225262475715
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 137631598.94490758,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 19.35644434157542,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.2544846717254643
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 137173554.77025962,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.3328045144860292,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.67010649466173
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 142978161.81985638,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.231578790327628,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.431706790147219
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 163432621.26847067,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.306002530921935,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.894530779648344
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 180772648.60399404,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.609893668069436,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.636234044125725
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 188571321.27407178,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.314077782398229,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.665152002979106
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 208006537.55373728,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.306559952145712,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.370916483455515
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 211544525.16192752,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.7009021205769637,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.37955403777155
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 198179309.76069131,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.317920726620441,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.6703274902082788
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 239901794.9045869,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 21.05289658858789,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.870218003121085
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 266758159.10515827,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.194732499293147,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.036865113657932
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 257392624.68810976,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.5108708383898124,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.105320403935323
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 271309868.6775914,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.407009624438763,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.186319883438561
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 269208782.335609,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.7744231170887406,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.3052898722632591
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 270252895.5253358,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.38784514408045645,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.638462255399964
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 269853488.1383315,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.14779023411679582,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.17925312688348294
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 297944252.908372,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.409635600352395,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.438432265969449
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 284904510.38185275,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.3765712542639275,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.7754402430512295
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 288846642.7278196,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.3836679316460376,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.29312100527701
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 269118340.5511045,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.830026477165996,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.3349615935713284
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 327192550.21451664,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 21.579432135501044,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.721220222037625
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 413256716.58424664,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 26.303828223871207,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.681044898425387
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 513504180.93096906,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 24.25791531600816,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.031947422057165
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 547795574.0262024,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.677918967098573,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.74218533139056
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "hs_code": "300490",
      "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 536205592.61456096,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 14.2012369779955,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8898875124511951,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "hs_code": "293220",
      "hs_description": "Heterocyclic compounds: with oxygen hetero-atom(s) only, containing an unfused furan ring (whether or not hydrogenated) in the structure, lactones",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18424303.776726425,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.5015988928103945,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "hs_code": "842230",
      "hs_description": "Machinery: for filling, closing, sealing, capsuling or labelling bottles, cans, bags or other containers, machinery for aerating beverages",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 37551769.163239054,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 15.261516689500388,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0684674672651486,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "hs_code": "382200",
      "hs_description": "Reagents: diagnostic or laboratory reagents on a backing and prepared diagnostic or laboratory reagents whether or not on a backing, other than those of heading no. 3002 or 3006: certified reference material",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 57877818.208532356,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9767848506725392,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "hs_code": "490700",
      "hs_description": "Unused postage, revenue or similar stamps of current or new issue in the country in which they have, or will have, a recognised face value: stamp-impressed paper: cheque forms: banknotes, stock, share or bond certificates and the like of similar title",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 23251787.391506847,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.257372949035864,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "hs_code": "870323",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 3000cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 258128359.61801517,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 58.137661299439,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5069108532476584,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "hs_code": "870340",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: with both spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine and electric motor for propulsion, incapable of being charged by plugging to external source of electric power",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 95724574.09927346,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.882382387135199,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "hs_code": "293499",
      "hs_description": "Nucleic acids and their salts, other heterocyclic compounds, n.e.c. in heading number 2934",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14813434.214318058,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8539391842182449,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "hs_code": "843840",
      "hs_description": "Machinery: industrial, brewery machinery",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11084829.193269787,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8559626268980067,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "hs_code": "330720",
      "hs_description": "Perfumery, cosmetic or toilet preparations: personal deodorants and antiperspirants",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 39663363.40050157,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.958738522040701,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
    "importer_iso3": "GTM",
    "distance_km": 9647,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 85986.321551,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5025.575278874668,
    "importer_population": 17109.747,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 15,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 17.3,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 4223116.205968999,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 50801.7848771783,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.793402516543212,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.865879041358028,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 2.16560531111111,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 6.700273730246918
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DEU-GTM/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DEU-GTM/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DEU-GTM/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DEU-GTM/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DEU-GTM/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}