{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:57.029Z", "seo": { "title": "Germany exports to Bahamas: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Germany to Bahamas, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "DEU", "country_name": "Germany" }, "importer": { "iso3": "BHS", "country_name": "Bahamas" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "all_history_lane_count": 41, "current_lane_count": 29, "current_product_count": 29, "first_observed_last_year": 2011, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 13137070.479413671, "attention_trade_usd": 4465147.735968156, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 8752859.980722584, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 5804269.933406166, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 9057686.749474606, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 3, "high_volatility_lane_count": 26, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 22, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 26, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.3795858782425072, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 39.97782998610039, "product_concentration_hhi": 1236.2589045412387, "top1_product_share_pct": 25.93378726541805, "top3_product_share_pct": 51.41207525966512, "top_product_hs6": "840999", "top_product_trade_usd": 3406939.911039177, "top_product_description": "Engines: parts for internal combustion piston engines (excluding spark-ignition)", "top_attention_product_hs6": "870340", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 7479.404296875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.487199991941452, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 29.982156900411518, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 31.39659712139917, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 3.303745250000001, "tariff_advantage_pp": 28.092851871399173, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 11.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 11208.6, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 28239, "buyer_population_latest": 396.914, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.5837320057948707, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.240316033278101, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.33263746733016575, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 28.464, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 21.665999999999997, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 33.988915131156716, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 11208.6, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 28239, "buyer_population_2024": 396.914 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "export_value_usd": 6789539.449357293, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "export_value_usd": 6402609.626402322, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.698911183019895, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "export_value_usd": 6649888.141612809, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.862151991756435, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "export_value_usd": 11388763.200866016, "yoy_growth_pct": 71.26247777912064, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.817045492419314 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "export_value_usd": 210975883.4871026, "yoy_growth_pct": 1752.4916162192198, "cagr_3y_pct": 220.59636727314276 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "export_value_usd": 26675831.056922913, "yoy_growth_pct": -87.35598087515359, "cagr_3y_pct": 58.89169796843969 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "export_value_usd": 71013152.25763196, "yoy_growth_pct": 166.20783474786109, "cagr_3y_pct": 84.05773616939334 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "export_value_usd": 533525346.5021063, "yoy_growth_pct": 651.3049759662894, "cagr_3y_pct": 36.24087183364655 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "export_value_usd": 50314913.05660671, "yoy_growth_pct": -90.56934906907782, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.55479072194866 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "export_value_usd": 8477400.75060914, "yoy_growth_pct": -83.15131591090766, "cagr_3y_pct": -50.76114172080831 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "export_value_usd": 394387931.17252034, "yoy_growth_pct": 4552.227053724949, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.581731385008062 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "export_value_usd": 13364385.363750393, "yoy_growth_pct": -96.61136046328348, "cagr_3y_pct": -35.718783382536564 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "export_value_usd": 41657171.56851957, "yoy_growth_pct": 211.70286125922883, "cagr_3y_pct": 70.01047796479338 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "export_value_usd": 30392002.783608243, "yoy_growth_pct": -27.042567607793234, "cagr_3y_pct": -57.44552522662525 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "export_value_usd": 42250497.19332598, "yoy_growth_pct": 39.01846974070939, "cagr_3y_pct": 46.766727685872866 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "export_value_usd": 17868784.142974284, "yoy_growth_pct": -57.70751747319818, "cagr_3y_pct": -24.583146707768556 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "export_value_usd": 71757393.06072125, "yoy_growth_pct": 301.5796065729245, "cagr_3y_pct": 33.158566357164545 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "export_value_usd": 183392171.61046833, "yoy_growth_pct": 155.57251146969833, "cagr_3y_pct": 63.123421840500946 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "export_value_usd": 102564321.23782782, "yoy_growth_pct": -44.073773521980975, "cagr_3y_pct": 79.04702223338857 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "export_value_usd": 31167216.92251928, "yoy_growth_pct": -69.61202828979071, "cagr_3y_pct": -24.268401504067317 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "export_value_usd": 367849628.40865564, "yoy_growth_pct": 1080.2453498594957, "cagr_3y_pct": 26.11396387368108 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "export_value_usd": 311629938.3551104, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.283334741088561, "cagr_3y_pct": 44.8374781673039 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "export_value_usd": 403481454.1994241, "yoy_growth_pct": 29.474548026141978, "cagr_3y_pct": 134.80563649537717 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "export_value_usd": 348829447.22407496, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.545110043233088, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.7541368155688741 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "export_value_usd": 341092756.39736915, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.217900721476662, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.0570660481920475 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "export_value_usd": 455405157.0843881, "yoy_growth_pct": 33.51358202220111, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.117753500713217 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "export_value_usd": 525236193.2710445, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.33382639619878, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.616506859979106 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "export_value_usd": 24190064.422643147, "yoy_growth_pct": -95.39444068543844, "cagr_3y_pct": -58.60751410674463 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "export_value_usd": 115069458.38715361, "yoy_growth_pct": 375.6889290441189, "cagr_3y_pct": -36.780065501096594 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "export_value_usd": 36063730.95445978, "yoy_growth_pct": -68.65916337841567, "cagr_3y_pct": -59.05143661946523 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "hs_code": "840999", "hs_description": "Engines: parts for internal combustion piston engines (excluding spark-ignition)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 21478170.34846811, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8653273794065444, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "hs_code": "870340", "hs_description": "Vehicles: with both spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine and electric motor for propulsion, incapable of being charged by plugging to external source of electric power", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19320310.78951836, "current_below_peak_pct": 92.07630170471016, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6462187695154813, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "hs_code": "850220", "hs_description": "Electric generating sets: with spark-ignition internal combustion piston engines", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13463756.346021172, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6232739904993891, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "hs_code": "020329", "hs_description": "Meat: of swine, n.e.s. in item no. 0203.2, frozen", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11108287.144414287, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3708480714346876, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "hs_code": "870323", "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 3000cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 62259409.98181328, "current_below_peak_pct": 97.58266642213981, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6894404565767995, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "hs_code": "870380", "hs_description": "Vehicles: with only electric motor for propulsion", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13451922.320424605, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4784066862982281, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "hs_code": "890392", "hs_description": "Motorboats: (other than outboard motorboats), for pleasure or sports, other than inflatable", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 343446023.5262091, "current_below_peak_pct": 98.15484423130061, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.708255687252672, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "hs_code": "732690", "hs_description": "Iron or steel: articles n.e.s. in heading no. 7326", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22089425.014563154, "current_below_peak_pct": 67.4734706965452, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5255238558255142, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "hs_code": "870322", "hs_description": "Vehicles: with only spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine, cylinder capacity over 1000 but not over 1500cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 35762963.81176753, "current_below_peak_pct": 88.3174141555938, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.451542885248585, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "hs_code": "210690", "hs_description": "Food preparations: n.e.s. in item no. 2106.10", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 37348770.29497464, "current_below_peak_pct": 72.92355297145903, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4345811032091056, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BHS", "distance_km": 7886, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 0, "exporter_is_eu": 1, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 11208.6, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 28239.366714200056, "importer_population": 396.914, "importer_biz_entry_days": 11.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 11, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 4223116.205968999, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 50801.7848771783, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 29.982156900411518, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 31.39659712139917, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 3.303745250000001, "tariff_advantage_pp": 28.092851871399173 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DEU-BHS/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DEU-BHS/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DEU-BHS/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DEU-BHS/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DEU-BHS/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }