{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:57.053Z", "seo": { "title": "Germany exports to Burundi: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Germany to Burundi, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "DEU", "country_name": "Germany" }, "importer": { "iso3": "BDI", "country_name": "Burundi" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BDI", "all_history_lane_count": 3, "current_lane_count": 2, "current_product_count": 2, "first_observed_last_year": 2003, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 1894999.2880596323, "attention_trade_usd": 1329530.0109434612, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 1329530.0109434612, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 1329530.0109434612, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 0, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 1894999.2880596323, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 1, "high_volatility_lane_count": 1, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 0, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.1835969425719304, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 67.78868246077336, "product_concentration_hhi": 5812.844861326492, "top1_product_share_pct": 70.15992139526458, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "100199", "top_product_trade_usd": 1329530.0109434612, "top_product_description": "Cereals: wheat and meslin, other than durum wheat, other than seed", "top_attention_product_hs6": "100199", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 6459.99365234375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.012000000104308128, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 21.382469001646086, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 21.382469001646086, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 2902.029386, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 237, "buyer_population_latest": 12255.429, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 1.4274001092142052, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -1.3041796202539757, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.767675185188234, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 13.686000000000002, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": -4.234, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend weakened", "attention_trade_share_pct": 70.15992139526458, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "buyer_macro_weakness" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 2902.029386, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 237, "buyer_population_2024": 12255.429 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BDI", "export_value_usd": 16346107.855469057, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BDI", "export_value_usd": 6825107.386644504, "yoy_growth_pct": -58.24628439386586, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BDI", "export_value_usd": 5467317.131219756, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.89404969776296, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BDI", "export_value_usd": 6939094.652274369, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.91955644296531, "cagr_3y_pct": -24.844145475185297 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BDI", "export_value_usd": 4999202.2494283905, "yoy_growth_pct": -27.955987056757557, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.857332402049456 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BDI", "export_value_usd": 4811242.864329913, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.759787576507212, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.171577703758455 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BDI", "export_value_usd": 6495434.318343296, "yoy_growth_pct": 35.0053302546794, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.178317555997411 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BDI", "export_value_usd": 3408363.4925336335, "yoy_growth_pct": -47.52678072799049, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.986680871920141 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BDI", "export_value_usd": 4275298.542456964, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.43552211559712, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.8602351415764624 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BDI", "export_value_usd": 8618884.947284235, "yoy_growth_pct": 101.5972653533351, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.887332046074615 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BDI", "export_value_usd": 8092678.882821019, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.10526846200703, "cagr_3y_pct": 33.40808014810885 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BDI", "export_value_usd": 10383887.231923241, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.31211249424408, "cagr_3y_pct": 34.420190159925326 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BDI", "export_value_usd": 17391042.382175665, "yoy_growth_pct": 67.4810405173728, "cagr_3y_pct": 26.364430190111943 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BDI", "export_value_usd": 19204748.980805717, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.428970033958084, "cagr_3y_pct": 33.3845237132715 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BDI", "export_value_usd": 12569292.816982515, "yoy_growth_pct": -34.55112155048234, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.573761297738834 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BDI", "export_value_usd": 17513025.853713, "yoy_growth_pct": 39.331831223240734, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.2332606472363885 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BDI", "export_value_usd": 13817529.190680679, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.10141727592336, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.393279027181702 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BDI", "export_value_usd": 19096735.8607492, "yoy_growth_pct": 38.20658959511456, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.960708704723968 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BDI", "export_value_usd": 21233983.761634175, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.191692216248338, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.632624238642593 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BDI", "export_value_usd": 17651186.38515688, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.87294017315176, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.504521655281593 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BDI", "export_value_usd": 8263962.198370384, "yoy_growth_pct": -53.18183141888038, "cagr_3y_pct": -24.361473426575674 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BDI", "export_value_usd": 13510845.163643321, "yoy_growth_pct": 63.4911297913197, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.989723196226155 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BDI", "export_value_usd": 12783560.823359044, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.3829670274169406, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.196627394493063 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BDI", "export_value_usd": 11906841.822714658, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.858175220181073, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.945627024165084 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BDI", "export_value_usd": 17608721.35714535, "yoy_growth_pct": 47.887421528966875, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.231635111518655 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BDI", "export_value_usd": 11150268.495484358, "yoy_growth_pct": -36.677579993849186, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.454296818180293 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BDI", "export_value_usd": 12195933.562638214, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.377936213619709, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.8028525024782684 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BDI", "export_value_usd": 16643943.160892867, "yoy_growth_pct": 36.47125146598833, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.8607350286123148 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BDI", "export_value_usd": 13773182.706902742, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.248078933214295, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.295867261209321 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BDI", "export_value_usd": 14963444.009903828, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.641875507863261, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.054642210937567 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BDI", "hs_code": "100199", "hs_description": "Cereals: wheat and meslin, other than durum wheat, other than seed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14583465.45198807, "current_below_peak_pct": 80.79547848404734, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2673552069588705, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BDI", "hs_code": "300490", "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 21501033.11287582, "current_below_peak_pct": 37.20713478172924, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.98666471181504, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened", "risk_driver_labels": [ "buyer_macro_weakness" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BDI", "distance_km": 6375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 1, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 2902.029386, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 236.79541417929966, "importer_population": 12255.429, "importer_biz_entry_days": 5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 12.3, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 4223116.205968999, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 50801.7848771783, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 21.382469001646086, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 21.382469001646086, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DEU-BDI/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DEU-BDI/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DEU-BDI/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DEU-BDI/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/DEU-BDI/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }