{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:09.925Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Cyprus exports to Papua New Guinea: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Cyprus to Papua New Guinea, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "CYP",
    "country_name": "Cyprus"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "PNG",
    "country_name": "Papua New Guinea"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "CYP",
    "importer_iso3": "PNG",
    "all_history_lane_count": 2,
    "current_lane_count": 1,
    "current_product_count": 1,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2012,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 95282.68069383023,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 95282.68069383023,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 95282.68069383023,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 95282.68069383023,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 1,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.1131496243032668,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 82.49251726279171,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 10000,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "300490",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 95282.68069383023,
    "top_product_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 12781.16796875,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.3799999952316284,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 16.264865000989907,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 16.264865000989907,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 41,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 26594.277245999998,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 2916,
    "buyer_population_latest": 9119.005,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.140334920164524,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.142267314450886,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.9371957372452453,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 27.46,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 48.532,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 26594.277245999998,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 2916,
    "buyer_population_2024": 9119.005
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "CYP",
      "importer_iso3": "PNG",
      "export_value_usd": 163825.26035949605,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "CYP",
      "importer_iso3": "PNG",
      "export_value_usd": 175411.71882494222,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.072449291410243,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "CYP",
      "importer_iso3": "PNG",
      "export_value_usd": 196896.75030096498,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.248344420742185,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "CYP",
      "importer_iso3": "PNG",
      "export_value_usd": 126397.11229358845,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -35.80538424306895,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.282523931815211
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "CYP",
      "importer_iso3": "PNG",
      "export_value_usd": 120468.79756790363,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.690229561506786,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.772225643980427
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "CYP",
      "importer_iso3": "PNG",
      "export_value_usd": 104439.94589274909,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.305396915014189,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -19.05139604742355
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "CYP",
      "importer_iso3": "PNG",
      "export_value_usd": 105343.84765854596,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.8654751379564063,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.892549431740502
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "CYP",
      "importer_iso3": "PNG",
      "export_value_usd": 90559.90160801473,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -14.033990953558916,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.074201818626316
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "CYP",
      "importer_iso3": "PNG",
      "export_value_usd": 65099.895673414634,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -28.113994695801246,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -14.577708360849739
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "CYP",
      "importer_iso3": "PNG",
      "export_value_usd": 85529.04291777388,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 31.381228853031896,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.710060418391217
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "CYP",
      "importer_iso3": "PNG",
      "export_value_usd": 91288.39393884166,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.733795707973389,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.26742800221759566
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "CYP",
      "importer_iso3": "PNG",
      "export_value_usd": 93379.86029554569,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.29105395161755,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.77797936249232
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "CYP",
      "importer_iso3": "PNG",
      "export_value_usd": 95170.91808324002,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.9180343406229872,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.6247626608478134
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "CYP",
      "importer_iso3": "PNG",
      "export_value_usd": 191.01767058366696,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -99.79928987296665,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -87.20954504027634
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "CYP",
      "importer_iso3": "PNG",
      "export_value_usd": 211659.27445878315,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 110706.12270689117,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 31.359462002805614
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "CYP",
      "importer_iso3": "PNG",
      "export_value_usd": 457675.9107926908,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 116.23239140499604,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 68.79176917210074
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "CYP",
      "importer_iso3": "PNG",
      "export_value_usd": 79540.27939185042,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -82.6208289498813,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 646.7430498096918
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "CYP",
      "importer_iso3": "PNG",
      "export_value_usd": 301430.23400000005,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 278.9655207458124,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.507939040323723
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "CYP",
      "importer_iso3": "PNG",
      "export_value_usd": 96691.839,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -67.92231564933198,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -40.44147661106643
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "CYP",
      "importer_iso3": "PNG",
      "export_value_usd": 167581.794,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 73.31534463834117,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 28.19760381902516
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "CYP",
      "importer_iso3": "PNG",
      "export_value_usd": 290351.74,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 73.25971578989063,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.2404261135397276
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "CYP",
      "importer_iso3": "PNG",
      "export_value_usd": 208553.38822057197,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -28.17215828616285,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 29.203955610304178
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "CYP",
      "importer_iso3": "PNG",
      "export_value_usd": 941078.3599861038,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 351.2409834314428,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 77.74592404186728
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "CYP",
      "importer_iso3": "PNG",
      "export_value_usd": 615772.0543350397,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -34.56739836796031,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 28.478911187525078
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "CYP",
      "importer_iso3": "PNG",
      "export_value_usd": 897150.2531410176,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 45.69518815039972,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 62.63573548605821
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "CYP",
      "importer_iso3": "PNG",
      "export_value_usd": 665778.4705448196,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -25.789635770166818,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.895154796932205
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "CYP",
      "importer_iso3": "PNG",
      "export_value_usd": 269857.37794439576,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -59.46739195042367,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -24.042363930960676
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "CYP",
      "importer_iso3": "PNG",
      "export_value_usd": 1190098.5826582238,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 341.0102075858175,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.87677855635225
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CYP",
      "importer_iso3": "PNG",
      "hs_code": "300490",
      "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12939489.98379366,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 82.49251726279171,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1131496243032668,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "CYP",
    "importer_iso3": "PNG",
    "distance_km": 12775,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 1,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 26594.277246,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2916.357348855495,
    "importer_population": 9119.005,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 41,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 18.6,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 27719.33767,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 22803.234048049177,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 16.264865000989907,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 16.264865000989907,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CYP-PNG/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CYP-PNG/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CYP-PNG/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CYP-PNG/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CYP-PNG/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}