{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:02.914Z", "seo": { "title": "Cyprus exports to Germany: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Cyprus to Germany, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "CYP", "country_name": "Cyprus" }, "importer": { "iso3": "DEU", "country_name": "Germany" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "CYP", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "all_history_lane_count": 56, "current_lane_count": 29, "current_product_count": 29, "first_observed_last_year": 1997, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 80474408.46222563, "attention_trade_usd": 7158625.037018171, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 36210804.69969539, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 22307635.26344913, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 84028.6590583666, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 7528041.685362712, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 1, "high_volatility_lane_count": 21, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 7, "declining_demand_lane_count": 1, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 4, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.2049516913372924, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 23.389063246618843, "product_concentration_hhi": 1936.513972363573, "top1_product_share_pct": 35.759599747815884, "top3_product_share_pct": 67.28369027068108, "top_product_hs6": "040690", "top_product_trade_usd": 28777326.36551436, "top_product_description": "Dairy produce: cheese (not grated, powdered or processed), n.e.c. in heading no. 0406", "top_attention_product_hs6": "890190", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 2776.079833984375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.4691395163536072, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.1795674181049383, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.544072754526749, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.970229945885547, "tariff_advantage_pp": 3.573842808641202, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 4223116.205969, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 50802, "buyer_population_latest": 83129.288, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.422772294996279, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.3176380750794765, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.10175824948728263, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.237999999999996, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 27.802, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 8.895529863233975, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "declining_buyer_demand", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 4223116.205969, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 50802, "buyer_population_2024": 83129.288 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "CYP", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 79979195.49997997, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "CYP", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 72233524.6593564, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.684607093385322, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "CYP", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 49504567.89250375, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.46593894460966, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "CYP", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 56435329.741896294, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.000247137682887, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.97239740149465 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "CYP", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 50908028.47201872, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.794044431309901, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.008370899186282 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "CYP", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 144164547.5563366, "yoy_growth_pct": 183.18627117052029, "cagr_3y_pct": 42.803132154273406 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "CYP", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 109059207.57457112, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.350882777228588, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.557655082415696 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "CYP", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 45035296.728245676, "yoy_growth_pct": -58.70564464036472, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.003459259346565 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "CYP", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 112072087.97150306, "yoy_growth_pct": 148.85389042238194, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.051144062446625 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "CYP", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 125442696.33938777, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.930364294885365, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.775806925723258 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "CYP", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 207649928.0569083, "yoy_growth_pct": 65.53369316544917, "cagr_3y_pct": 66.44071986471796 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "CYP", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 368048324.8875371, "yoy_growth_pct": 77.24461950531965, "cagr_3y_pct": 48.640033349649656 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "CYP", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 506566943.2759944, "yoy_growth_pct": 37.6359866413694, "cagr_3y_pct": 59.24427275649131 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "CYP", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 241364667.0707391, "yoy_growth_pct": -52.352858733769445, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.1430659058983474 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "CYP", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 189149378.77916443, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.633360394158863, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.899844729681003 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "CYP", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 283647409.041976, "yoy_growth_pct": 49.95947164761234, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.577207390123128 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "CYP", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 290350920.69008094, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.3633255352996763, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.3530226725560635 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "CYP", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 142376514.69511423, "yoy_growth_pct": -50.963987179125844, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.034269238745917 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "CYP", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 133517047.25116503, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.222562381809182, "cagr_3y_pct": -22.210801015597394 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "CYP", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 106797421.30145507, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.012145639684842, "cagr_3y_pct": -28.35060631216638 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "CYP", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 108528977.55507874, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.6213465011819306, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.651283136549083 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "CYP", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 134225712.77827573, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.67730333601994, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.17661051183395227 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "CYP", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 117193318.98462817, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.689367365687199, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.1448057912013105 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "CYP", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 114301382.5933122, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.4676631879461453, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.7423873613348517 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "CYP", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 111368734.05198921, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.565715719955408, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.032893340179701 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "CYP", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 114745736.23210378, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.032271318212265, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.7010702570776184 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "CYP", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 175350696.8312791, "yoy_growth_pct": 52.816742991291335, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.332579148519088 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "CYP", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 217122238.80341718, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.821714271446726, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.924324131662235 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "CYP", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 121988179.69653983, "yoy_growth_pct": -43.81589819226757, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.06113600662714 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "CYP", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 130992879.51273434, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.38161667679178, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.263909249283142 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "CYP", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "040690", "hs_description": "Dairy produce: cheese (not grated, powdered or processed), n.e.c. in heading no. 0406", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 4389555758.450911, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9065132499234808, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CYP", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "210690", "hs_description": "Food preparations: n.e.s. in item no. 2106.10", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 3252604351.1556425, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.1431062268220007, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CYP", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "070190", "hs_description": "Vegetables: potatoes (other than seed), fresh or chilled", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 294277311.0410187, "current_below_peak_pct": 54.98335323294942, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4721226733469216, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CYP", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "890190", "hs_description": "Vessels: n.e.s. in heading no. 8901, for the transport of goods and other vessels for the transport of both persons and goods", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2786041619.2285304, "current_below_peak_pct": 96.20848392781525, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0624979701825408, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CYP", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "940350", "hs_description": "Furniture: wooden, for bedroom use", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 996361453.8822258, "current_below_peak_pct": 36.83863489527704, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3804003891636378, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CYP", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "871200", "hs_description": "Bicycles and other cycles: including delivery tricycles, not motorised", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 860020525.6041728, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.234327741040045, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CYP", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "220299", "hs_description": "Non-alcoholic beverages: other than non-alcoholic beer, n.e.c. in item no. 2202.10, not including fruit, nut or vegetable juices of heading no. 2009", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 907336502.5762606, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6856404501867914, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CYP", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "842123", "hs_description": "Machinery: filtering or purifying machinery, oil or petrol filters for internal combustion engines", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 740771166.0688523, "current_below_peak_pct": 63.302264304579396, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.47025217191164387, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CYP", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "250810", "hs_description": "Clays (excluding expanded clays of heading no. 6806): bentonite, whether or not calcined", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 98859606.09242928, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.781872944555892, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CYP", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "842131", "hs_description": "Machinery: intake air filters for internal combustion engines", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 324198238.53545433, "current_below_peak_pct": 51.356159983586814, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.581745789532949, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "CYP", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "distance_km": 2492, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 1, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 4223116.205968999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 50801.7848771783, "importer_population": 83129.288, "importer_biz_entry_days": 8, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6.5, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 27719.33767, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 22803.234048049177, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.1795674181049383, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.544072754526749, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.970229945885547, "tariff_advantage_pp": 3.573842808641202 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CYP-DEU/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CYP-DEU/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CYP-DEU/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CYP-DEU/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CYP-DEU/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }