{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:07.465Z", "seo": { "title": "Cuba exports to Russia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Cuba to Russia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "CUB", "country_name": "Cuba" }, "importer": { "iso3": "RUS", "country_name": "Russia" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "all_history_lane_count": 22, "current_lane_count": 5, "current_product_count": 5, "first_observed_last_year": 1996, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 1406590.299870967, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 889485.5719078337, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 1159781.6682027644, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 1185013.7099723495, "access_friction_trade_usd": 1406590.299870967, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 3, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 4, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 4, "access_friction_lane_count": 5, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.5816364047146012, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 65.59146267772209, "product_concentration_hhi": 2651.5598647343522, "top1_product_share_pct": 40.31361391902532, "top3_product_share_pct": 78.87045380214336, "top_product_hs6": "880240", "top_product_trade_usd": 567047.3829124421, "top_product_description": "Aeroplanes and other aircraft: of an unladen weight exceeding 15,000kg", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 9603.390625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.701394466704979, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 11.425769714942529, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 6.92081698762452, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.504952727318008, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 10.1, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 1775799.919353, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 12380, "buyer_population_latest": 143446.06, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.12549554382431, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.397317436553406, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.26532954061908587, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.657999999999998, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 28.309999999999995, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 1775799.919353, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 12380, "buyer_population_2024": 143446.06 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 158872567.95090786, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 421281052.2014338, "yoy_growth_pct": 165.16915892717932, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 369651040.5583251, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.25547918030313, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 352282028.6935491, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.698759088718285, "cagr_3y_pct": 30.400880668447392 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 314343421.1440604, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.76938488465774, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.299262926663566 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 297172807.7213544, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.462374036718531, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.016538105066472 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 395113610.0711799, "yoy_growth_pct": 32.95752498380007, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.8987925142772717 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 267943535.45184535, "yoy_growth_pct": -32.18569833532812, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.1844352890247585 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 153096814.62832412, "yoy_growth_pct": -42.862284633906164, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.834834087985453 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 140789711.7733425, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.038771338815776, "cagr_3y_pct": -29.10488520486415 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 56453448.62115654, "yoy_growth_pct": -59.90229121852241, "cagr_3y_pct": -40.495602173741844 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 25803686.165386654, "yoy_growth_pct": -54.2920994277107, "cagr_3y_pct": -44.761925410644544 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 94098667.42857087, "yoy_growth_pct": 264.67141487248375, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.567911785644792 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 114083706.93136005, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.238387374571044, "cagr_3y_pct": 26.42832447368091 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 90153621.3366478, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.97590115046849, "cagr_3y_pct": 51.74013812652265 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 93248426.62166305, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.432813057457529, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.30209941103999105 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 72530855.70132779, "yoy_growth_pct": -22.217609101752124, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.01294815617371 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 46409249.10490896, "yoy_growth_pct": -36.014474589937365, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.855488073819938 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 32014629.191062577, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.016705056587057, "cagr_3y_pct": -29.977815662931594 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 44242075.65566536, "yoy_growth_pct": 38.193309663621775, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.191854948790473 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 31494194.370152164, "yoy_growth_pct": -28.813931300894524, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.12298010598991 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 32591454.89172224, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.4840088578673933, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.5970141873904877 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 9793805.998254456, "yoy_growth_pct": -69.94977355017697, "cagr_3y_pct": -39.506970538995624 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 12008883.910325902, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.61713079130052, "cagr_3y_pct": -27.485635094844007 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 17891782.91224883, "yoy_growth_pct": 48.98789134654293, "cagr_3y_pct": -18.11897120614726 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 14360202.695113402, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.738559507770947, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.606459215400267 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 13346212.678300321, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.0611121468231675, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.5822001772845224 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 17613985.171756323, "yoy_growth_pct": 31.97740509856399, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.5202537588847367 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 14826017.500729239, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.828148166591715, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.069778238087471 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 1967882.8853087546, "yoy_growth_pct": -86.72682744903032, "cagr_3y_pct": -47.17002532829318 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "hs_code": "880240", "hs_description": "Aeroplanes and other aircraft: of an unladen weight exceeding 15,000kg", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16852044.348719664, "current_below_peak_pct": 98.80853215652414, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.174912804169, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "hs_code": "840710", "hs_description": "Engines: for aircraft, spark-ignition reciprocating or rotary internal combustion piston engines", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 28640260.590731382, "current_below_peak_pct": 52.29044162211842, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8393290775117073, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "hs_code": "901420", "hs_description": "Navigational instruments and appliances: for aeronautical or space navigation (excluding compasses)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13612913.861622121, "current_below_peak_pct": 17.603686635944733, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.828993691727398, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "hs_code": "090121", "hs_description": "Coffee: roasted, not decaffeinated", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 177692509.37774616, "current_below_peak_pct": 56.88255282141795, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.836161512522328, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "hs_code": "240110", "hs_description": "Tobacco, (not stemmed or stripped)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 38004096.86909413, "current_below_peak_pct": 50.63251699996252, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.410892889816934, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "distance_km": 9605, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 1775799.919353, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 12379.565666376617, "importer_population": 143446.06, "importer_biz_entry_days": 10.1, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 107352, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9485.488753786394, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.701394466704979, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 11.425769714942529, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 6.92081698762452, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.504952727318008 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CUB-RUS/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CUB-RUS/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CUB-RUS/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CUB-RUS/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CUB-RUS/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }