{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:02.943Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Cuba exports to the Philippines: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Cuba to the Philippines, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "CUB",
    "country_name": "Cuba"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "PHL",
    "country_name": "Philippines"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "CUB",
    "importer_iso3": "PHL",
    "all_history_lane_count": 15,
    "current_lane_count": 5,
    "current_product_count": 5,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2000,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 5274950.319379044,
    "attention_trade_usd": 4059390.3121446795,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 4262995.110912374,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 1011955.2084666699,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 0,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 5274950.319379044,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 2,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 4,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 0,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 5,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.3254894910305848,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 24.30037409170192,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 3950.4920326576994,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 57.77182568871563,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 88.5486571489706,
    "top_product_hs6": "240120",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 3047435.1036780095,
    "top_product_description": "Tobacco: partly or wholly stemmed or stripped",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "240120",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 15122.3583984375,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.02969999983906746,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 19.392619136161617,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 19.392619136161617,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 33,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 394086.419343,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 3549,
    "buyer_population_latest": 111046.913,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.14271163092057,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.220520105972713,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.893418793085976,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 21.322000000000003,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 15.036000000000001,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 76.9559913622569,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 394086.419343,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 3549,
    "buyer_population_2024": 111046.913
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "CUB",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "export_value_usd": 130127.17568143546,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "CUB",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "export_value_usd": 154289.557408163,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.56828260522576,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "CUB",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "export_value_usd": 140629.1301564466,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.85376008667822,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "CUB",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "export_value_usd": 96469.02459307646,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -31.40181946247058,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.49484958106419
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "CUB",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "export_value_usd": 45099.15090331228,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -53.250122416445556,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -33.63425957917533
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "CUB",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "export_value_usd": 318936.89514072204,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 607.1904653470936,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 31.38420490095011
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "CUB",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "export_value_usd": 203914.18879551018,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -36.064409009331236,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 28.337385100966106
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "CUB",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "export_value_usd": 57267.93126865444,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -71.91567119143237,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.288177170376443
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "CUB",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "export_value_usd": 18211.510116367397,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -68.19946222444489,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -61.492345568726826
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "CUB",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "export_value_usd": 1281411.3601401388,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6936.271851989277,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 84.53569066619573
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "CUB",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "export_value_usd": 1058465.1788268494,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -17.398486407121226,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 164.39608902615265
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "CUB",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "export_value_usd": 651786.915069442,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -38.42150614800097,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 229.54892000456684
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "CUB",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "export_value_usd": 2453140.217866798,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 276.3715044211095,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.168452210423965
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "CUB",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "export_value_usd": 1406330.5670244948,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -42.67223060541513,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.93524460293196
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "CUB",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "export_value_usd": 2765147.0297418917,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 96.62141281564918,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 61.88410072408483
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "CUB",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "export_value_usd": 2510230.7509536855,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.218905036380686,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.7698064285849959
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "CUB",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "export_value_usd": 5544352.075710726,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 120.87021576021719,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 57.97479295499246
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "CUB",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "export_value_usd": 3990810.0193871707,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -28.020263415980995,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.00932347328474
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "CUB",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "export_value_usd": 5021183.147700463,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 25.818646422851188,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.99814144094723
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "CUB",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "export_value_usd": 3640858.6844740943,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -27.49002421587654,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.080409033991614
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "CUB",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "export_value_usd": 5252289.876136401,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 44.25964672932836,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.587884760138055
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "CUB",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "export_value_usd": 5399683.222810798,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.80626831630284,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.4520705555659106
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "CUB",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "export_value_usd": 7763082.516451708,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 43.76922119536199,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 28.709358753163315
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "CUB",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "export_value_usd": 4522642.744342034,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -41.741663382328575,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.863347679956231
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "CUB",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "export_value_usd": 2590384.914623429,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -42.724087197378545,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -21.71738223839118
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "CUB",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "export_value_usd": 5772389.604002813,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 122.83906810204539,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.404391891897257
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "CUB",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "export_value_usd": 6460798.257622823,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.925886865686252,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.624091070825362
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "CUB",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "export_value_usd": 5700077.566336588,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.774407139066644,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 30.068506772909732
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "CUB",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "export_value_usd": 5400513.458471631,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.255439147602436,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.195281909897606
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CUB",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "hs_code": "240120",
      "hs_description": "Tobacco: partly or wholly stemmed or stripped",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 156739376.82454386,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 17.70556548443742,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2332505900846535,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CUB",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "hs_code": "240110",
      "hs_description": "Tobacco, (not stemmed or stripped)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17511803.96079183,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 73.34979223119804,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9179716678811127,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CUB",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "hs_code": "300215",
      "hs_description": "Blood, human or animal, antisera, other blood fractions and immunological products: immunological products, put up in measured doses or in forms or packings for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 102737814.60419434,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8955358797777928,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CUB",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "hs_code": "300212",
      "hs_description": "Blood, human or animal, antisera, other blood fractions and immunological products: antisera and other blood fractions",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 44384313.24911422,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.9445937345964965,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CUB",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "hs_code": "300290",
      "hs_description": "Toxins, cultures of micro-organisms (excluding yeasts) and similar products",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13586035.246225553,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3858184119766774,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "CUB",
    "importer_iso3": "PHL",
    "distance_km": 15125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 394086.419343,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3548.828226706311,
    "importer_population": 111046.913,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 33,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 23.3,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 107352,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9485.488753786394,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 19.392619136161617,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 19.392619136161617,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CUB-PHL/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CUB-PHL/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CUB-PHL/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CUB-PHL/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CUB-PHL/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}