{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:57.763Z", "seo": { "title": "Cuba exports to Canada: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Cuba to Canada, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "CUB", "country_name": "Cuba" }, "importer": { "iso3": "CAN", "country_name": "Canada" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "all_history_lane_count": 77, "current_lane_count": 14, "current_product_count": 14, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 436998686.93216425, "attention_trade_usd": 422736859.4154627, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 44511563.82766164, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 17406126.472643696, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 423756385.692564, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 5, "high_volatility_lane_count": 8, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 8, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 9, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.48279199252154587, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 31.95275343924017, "product_concentration_hhi": 7447.02462860096, "top1_product_share_pct": 85.93455480698563, "top3_product_share_pct": 95.22284225442903, "top_product_hs6": "750120", "top_product_trade_usd": 375532876.12752825, "top_product_description": "Nickel: oxide sinters and other intermediate products of nickel metallurgy", "top_attention_product_hs6": "750120", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 2302.272216796875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.02969999983906746, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 5.251296291090909, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 7.513050048545455, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 4.141017184121213, "tariff_advantage_pp": 3.3720328644242423, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 1.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 1990761.6096649999, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 52051, "buyer_population_latest": 38246.109, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.170733773212577, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.2307679188356975, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.8792515966772338, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.134000000000004, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 22.016, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 96.73641410302099, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 1990761.6096649999, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 52051, "buyer_population_2024": 38246.109 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "export_value_usd": 227921235.7827498, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "export_value_usd": 281950034.8883102, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.705030783993998, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "export_value_usd": 246066558.0492478, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.726892143594537, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "export_value_usd": 224137658.39809376, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.911775669558963, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.5564362154149682 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "export_value_usd": 277249376.54179484, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.696026148969885, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.5588491453758837 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "export_value_usd": 457662815.71207744, "yoy_growth_pct": 65.07262213557605, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.979015287419546 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "export_value_usd": 387031662.5078565, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.433011111974649, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.971260443987514 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "export_value_usd": 350641045.99164695, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.402490814422926, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.142745629997993 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "export_value_usd": 416910743.1870361, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.899583478018677, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.0608621888389864 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "export_value_usd": 413158242.6121237, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.9000728899972055, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.201352227616926 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "export_value_usd": 447694344.18527335, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.359049393472318, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.485813899486882 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "export_value_usd": 551958340.488306, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.289102857168142, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.804735785801167 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "export_value_usd": 1206695013.6251924, "yoy_growth_pct": 118.62066846524222, "cagr_3y_pct": 42.94216826464978 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "export_value_usd": 1187482231.4172292, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.5921821165269856, "cagr_3y_pct": 38.42520350778174 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "export_value_usd": 976836482.5628302, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.738854803999782, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.95909355058594 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "export_value_usd": 650260827.8702263, "yoy_growth_pct": -33.43196742977897, "cagr_3y_pct": -18.62393385587209 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "export_value_usd": 1052232071.7088256, "yoy_growth_pct": 61.816924318686084, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.950567109753167 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "export_value_usd": 843056113.5994328, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.879260833562206, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.790956161527693 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "export_value_usd": 813124048.2562306, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.5504238520265408, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.734897875806124 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "export_value_usd": 760080836.0326625, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.523385003471594, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.274459607555887 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "export_value_usd": 534253461.1356734, "yoy_growth_pct": -29.710968122249138, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.105843185836942 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "export_value_usd": 312508137.6656242, "yoy_growth_pct": -41.50564097398277, "cagr_3y_pct": -27.294347720632395 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "export_value_usd": 453982291.9136444, "yoy_growth_pct": 45.270550490238406, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.784303767202212 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "export_value_usd": 555878581.3131549, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.444992065658155, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.3314363419919317 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "export_value_usd": 442453562.320302, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.404639215439534, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.28854517552782 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "export_value_usd": 449733660.39369875, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.6453925775212763, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.31293104474384714 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "export_value_usd": 587043421.7348943, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.531350760135222, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.8349282611127338 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "export_value_usd": 560736617.2003571, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.48123657646865, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.217394581139814 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "export_value_usd": 485424958.12823284, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.430843779765967, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.578317016318077 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "export_value_usd": 439386620.0324923, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.484130826989489, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.205640904754542 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "hs_code": "750120", "hs_description": "Nickel: oxide sinters and other intermediate products of nickel metallurgy", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 441948713.2419761, "current_below_peak_pct": 32.51121213301105, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4051973183573439, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "hs_code": "170114", "hs_description": "Sugars: cane sugar, raw, in solid form, other than as specified in Subheading Note 2 to this chapter, not containing added flavouring or colouring matter", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 814631519.7389851, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0802571297821033, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "hs_code": "030192", "hs_description": "Fish: live, eels (Anguilla spp.)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 25663388.837407056, "current_below_peak_pct": 13.998143603387536, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3396580232327888, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "hs_code": "999999", "hs_description": "Commodities not specified according to kind", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 7205591740.5451765, "current_below_peak_pct": 99.11728874403755, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5602937557049779, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "hs_code": "240210", "hs_description": "Cigars, cheroots and cigarillos: containing tobacco including the weight of every band, wrapper or attachment thereto", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 25026320.010142043, "current_below_peak_pct": 62.09483607676097, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.427459903296368, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "hs_code": "030611", "hs_description": "Crustaceans: frozen, rock lobsters and other sea crawfish (Palinurus spp., Panulirus spp., Jasus spp.), in shell or not, smoked, cooked or not before or during smoking: in shell, cooked by steaming or by boiling in water", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12616464.03434775, "current_below_peak_pct": 43.65277064676943, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.2894016537662622, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "hs_code": "220840", "hs_description": "Rum and other spirits obtained by distilling fermented sugar-cane products", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 88671963.38193461, "current_below_peak_pct": 80.37040475920104, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0331391151556408, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "hs_code": "843143", "hs_description": "Boring or sinking machinery: parts of the machinery of item no. 8430.41 or 8430.41", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 398954918.01247615, "current_below_peak_pct": 82.30918197507499, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0817388080181236, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "hs_code": "850153", "hs_description": "Electric motors: AC motors, multi-phase, of an output exceeding 75kW", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 301252484.0725941, "current_below_peak_pct": 17.60368663594468, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.728428775179381, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "hs_code": "850300", "hs_description": "Electric motors and generators: parts suitable for use solely or principally with the machines of heading no. 8501 or 8502", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 339737551.6539964, "current_below_peak_pct": 72.33916555720519, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8695876287287395, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "CUB", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "distance_km": 2299, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 1990761.6096649999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 52051.3501037452, "importer_population": 38246.109, "importer_biz_entry_days": 1.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.3, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 107352, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9485.488753786394, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 5.251296291090909, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 7.513050048545455, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 4.141017184121213, "tariff_advantage_pp": 3.3720328644242423 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CUB-CAN/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CUB-CAN/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CUB-CAN/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CUB-CAN/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CUB-CAN/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }